Sickels on Montanez

by birdman on Oct 6, 2008 1:56 PM EDT Comment 10 comments

John Sickels did an analysis on Lou Montanez.

What does the future hold? Montanez turns 27 in December, so he is at his peak now. Although he hit well for the Orioles, I do not like his 4/20 BB/K ratio in 112 at-bats. The strikeouts are not out of bounds, but the walk rate is too low, and major league pitchers will take advantage of his lack of patience eventually. He's never hit that well in Triple-A, and I'd like to see more data from Triple-A and the majors before concluding that he's really truly turned a corner.

In other words, what he did this year was obviously impressive, but I'm not ready to say you should invest a lot of hope or resources in Montanez stock.

Last line of Sickels' analysis says it all. At best, maybe Lou could be a useful bench player, but let's not kid ourselves into thinking that he could a good regular player much less a high caliber, late bloomer like Luis Gonzalez or Melvin Mora.

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comversely, look at oscar salazar’s walk rate. that would be good for second on the team to markakis. i’m not saying give the guy a starting job, but i do thing he’s more likely to be useful role player off the bench and good for the occasional spot start.

"When people ask me what my motivation is, I have a simple answer: Money."

--Jerry Reed, on acting

by j.q. higgins on Oct 6, 2008 4:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs