Sickels on Montanez
by birdman on Oct 6, 2008 1:56 PM EDT
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John Sickels did an analysis on Lou Montanez.
What does the future hold? Montanez turns 27 in December, so he is at his peak now. Although he hit well for the Orioles, I do not like his 4/20 BB/K ratio in 112 at-bats. The strikeouts are not out of bounds, but the walk rate is too low, and major league pitchers will take advantage of his lack of patience eventually. He's never hit that well in Triple-A, and I'd like to see more data from Triple-A and the majors before concluding that he's really truly turned a corner.
In other words, what he did this year was obviously impressive, but I'm not ready to say you should invest a lot of hope or resources in Montanez stock.
Last line of Sickels' analysis says it all. At best, maybe Lou could be a useful bench player, but let's not kid ourselves into thinking that he could a good regular player much less a high caliber, late bloomer like Luis Gonzalez or Melvin Mora.
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comversely, look at oscar salazar’s walk rate. that would be good for second on the team to markakis. i’m not saying give the guy a starting job, but i do thing he’s more likely to be useful role player off the bench and good for the occasional spot start.
"When people ask me what my motivation is, I have a simple answer: Money."
--Jerry Reed, on acting
by j.q. higgins on Oct 6, 2008 4:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
stick him at SS
He can’t be any worse than the committee we’ve been using.
Curt never met a buttered roll he didn't like.
by CoachOfEarl on Oct 6, 2008 6:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I was semi hoping he turns out as a good righty platoon
with Luke Scott.
CoachEarl’s suggestion doesn’t sound too bad either.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Oct 7, 2008 5:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Shortstop
I believe he was a defensive liability.
by Dr Orpheus on Oct 7, 2008 5:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd love to see a measure of if
he wasn’t walking because people were pitching to him
by math_geek on Oct 7, 2008 8:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
he's never walked much
So I’d say no.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on Oct 8, 2008 7:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
walking
i’d rather teach a player who can hit to be more selective, than a player who is selective to hit
by Slobbity on Oct 9, 2008 9:03 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The latter is easier than the former, though, by most accounts
by punkrawka on Oct 9, 2008 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it's pretty hard to teach plate discipline
Look at Jeff Francoeur. He says stuff every off-season about being more selective, then goes right back to hacking away.
Being selective is part of being a good hitter for most of the guys out there. The ones who aren’t Vlad Guerrero-good with the stick.
by pipkin on Oct 9, 2008 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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