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Mike Mussina returning to Baltimore: Yay or Nay?

Capt There has been a lot of talk all over the place about Mike Mussina maybe returning to Baltimore, at least in fan circles.

There are good reasons to do it, and good reasons not to do it. Of course, it may not matter, as most believe that Mussina, sitting on 270 wins, will retire. At least they believe that for now -- Mussina hasn't made up his mind, and says he isn't thinking about it right now, enjoying his time at home after his first 20-win season.

Mussina pitched excellently this year (20-9, 3.37/1.22, 43.1 VORP), and though he turns 40 in December, he still throws a good six innings and does his job.

Let's just say that Mussina does decide to return in 2009. He'll be looking for a three-year deal.

Pros

Mussina, again, throws a good six innings still. He's a highly intelligent pitcher that has worked around a loss of velocity and stayed very competitive. The Orioles, even in a rebuilding phase, need guys that throw strikes, and Moose throws strikes.

He's also a guy that could assume a leadership role on the staff, a veteran that commands respect for his career achievements and the fact that he still gets it done.

On a three-year deal, Mussina would only need to average 10 wins a season to reach 300, and he'd do it as an Oriole. While he left for New York and angered a lot of Orioles fans (and I don't want to go into who's to blame again, because we know how I feel and I know how y'all feel), I still remember Mussina's time as an Oriole very fondly. He's one of the best pitchers this team has ever known.

Cons

He's going to turn 40. This is a team that is focused on the future. As many good things as there are to say about Mussina on the club, even in rebuilding, you can't ignore his age and the increasing likelihood that he gets hurt and misses a lot of time, and then what are you getting out of him?

He's going to be expensive. Mussina is not a man fixated on personal achievement, really, and I don't think anything he's ever done goes against that idea. 300 wins would be great, but I don't think that'll drive Moose to come back. If he comes back, it'll be to win a World Series, something that the Orioles can't offer.

At $15 million a year or so, are the leadership and the six innings really worth it?

I don't think it's as easy a question as it appears to be at first thought. There are some very nice things Mike Mussina could do for us, but the price will be steep and the rewards just may not justify the contract.

What say you? And, again, assume he's even going to pitch next year, and that he'd entertain the idea of doing it for a team that has no World Series hope.

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emotionally I kinda hope he does

I suppose he goes into the Hall as a Yankee, but the sap in me wants to see all that overplayed “redemption” baloney. Plus I like the dude as a dude. He’s not Kyle Farnsworth, if you catch my meaning (though thank god for Farnsworth just for inspiring a great Dugout character).

But is it worth 15 million for 175 slightly above average innings? Eh, probably not.

by pipkin on Oct 9, 2008 7:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would love it

I love Mike Mussina and I always will no matter what team he plays for. His price tag would be steep but I think he’s the kind of pitcher who could age well (even though his lousy 2007 keeps forcing itself into my thoughts). Plus I’d just like to see him back in an O’s uniform. Mussina has been quoted as saying that if he doesn’t come back with the Yankees and he does come back, it would only be to an American League team on the east coast. So that sort of narrows down his options.

I don’t think there is a chance in hell that he’d come back to Baltimore, personally. But I would still love to have him.

[Guthrie's] president of my heart. ~PhilR8

by Stacey on Oct 9, 2008 7:59 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

word.

"The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. This field, this game: it's a part of our past, Ray. It reminds of us of all that once was good and it could be again."

by 2632 on Oct 9, 2008 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did he say he would want three years?

Or is that speculation? I wouldn’t be surprised if he could be had on a one- or two-year deal with some incentives, or maybe even toying around with option years that automatically vest based on performance and/or health.

by punkrawka on Oct 9, 2008 8:22 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think it was Tracy Ringolsby that said he heard three years

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 9, 2008 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and as for three years

I assume he’d also want a partial no-trade clause, at the least, and the three years for assurance that he’s not moving all over the place in his 40s.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 9, 2008 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd be happy as hell if he returned

even though it wouldnt really make much sense. I just am still a huge Muss fan.

"I’m sure glad he didn’t try to bunt." - DD on Melmo's game winning double, 6/17

by daveh873 on Oct 9, 2008 8:52 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

three years??

that is way too much time on an arm that could fall off any moment now… would rather use that money for someone with longer term potential

by Slobbity on Oct 9, 2008 8:59 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes to a one-year deal

No to a three-year deal

by dkdc on Oct 9, 2008 9:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yes.

Mussina’s WHIPs the last five years:
1.32
1.36
1.11
1.47
1.22

2007 looks scary, but the rest of it is solid. We definitely will need stopgap arms in 2009.

But three years is too long. By 2010 he’ll be blocking people, and we’ll be keeping him on the roster because he’s going to cost a lot of money. Make no mistake, I love Mussina, but there will be no discount for signing a 20-game winner.

And where’s this “he’ll tutor the kids” BS coming from? Mussina has historically kept to himself and professed no interest in mentoring the young ‘uns. WOuld they pick up some stuff being around him and watching him? Sure. But he’s not going to be another Sutcliffe in terms of hands-on teaching.

I would compromise at 2, but no way would I go 3.

by zknower on Oct 9, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And where’s this "he’ll tutor the kids" BS coming from? Mussina has historically kept to himself and professed no interest in mentoring the young ‘uns.

Well a guy doesn’t have to go, “You know what I wanna do? Help kids out!” to be able to or even want to help. Even if he did want to do it, I don’t think Mussina’s the type of guy to announce it to the beat writers.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 9, 2008 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

re

anecdotally, during his time in baltimore, i feel like there was stuff written about how he kept to himself on the pitching staff. there weren’t any stories about someone coming along (a parish or coppinger, for example) and saying, “mike taught me a different grip on my curve” or “he tutored me a little on saving my best fastball for later in the game.”

does this mean it wasn’t happening? no. but without any evidence to the contrary, from the kids or from mike himself, i have to assume the reputation is deserved.

Of course, in his twilight years, maybe that has changed a bit.

by zknower on Oct 9, 2008 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd say no

The last thing the Orioles should be doing now is considering anyone over the age of 35 to fill in any role. We don’t need leadership right now, we guys who can show that they’ll be able to contribute to this team and get ML hitters out in 2010 and beyond.

And why would he want to retire? Only 5 wins away from a nice round 275 (which maybe the new 300) and only 30 wins away from 300; which granted would be a long shot (although not out of the question).

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Oct 9, 2008 10:34 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't understand this logic

I’ve never understood the age cutoff alot of people have for rebuilding teams. Obviously you don’t want to fill the team with guys over 30, but a couple is not going to destroy the process. In fact I think it could be helpful for the younger guys.

Also look at the Tigers, they were rebuilding in 2005 and signed a 41 year old Kenny Rogers. He would up having a great year and really anchored the staff, especially in the playoffs. Mussina could play a similar role and should still be productive in 3 years when we could possibly be competitive again.

by edsachs1 on Oct 9, 2008 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Age cutoff

I think when you bring in someone over 35 or so, you’ve got an extremely good chance that they are going to completely fall apart in a year or so. More so than a younger player. Maybe that doesn’t apply to Mussina becase he’s been relatively consistent. I’d still put my money on a guy in his early 30’s being able to contribute in 3 years than a guy who’s around 40.

And if you’re just looking for someone to eat innings for a couple of years, Mussina is probably not your guy. There are far cheaper alternatives that can give you more innings and have a higher upside (or at least less of a downside) a few years out.

The only reason I can see to bring him in is if you believe he’s going to help the younger guys. I don’t know if there is any proof that there is much value in that. Especially at the money Moose would probably require.

And yes, there are times where it works out like Kenny Rogers, but I don’t think anyone really saw that coming.

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Oct 9, 2008 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know what I would choose

I have no major attachment to Mussina anymore, so I don’t get any sentimentality out of it.

We do need to fill out our rotation somehow, however. And I’d rather Mussina than AJ Burnett, who will be uber-expensive and not very good.

How many decent middle-of-the-rotation pitchers are there that we have a chance at signing this year?

Moose may be our best choice from a practical standpoint.

by math_geek on Oct 9, 2008 10:43 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

see...

i sort of agree. moose has a solid record of being healthy and shouldn’t require as much money or years as burnett and is likely to be at least as, if not MORE productive over the life of his respective contract.

"When people ask me what my motivation is, I have a simple answer: Money."

--Jerry Reed, on acting

by j.q. higgins on Oct 9, 2008 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

I am not sold on Burnett at ALL. Too fragile, and isn’t he a bit of a head case?

by Brotz13 on Oct 9, 2008 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But but but

He has the “home-town” connection: his wife is from Maryland, so she is an Orioles fan by default! Plus, he lives in Maryland! If you drive up to Monkton, you might be able to see him right now1! Etc etc etc.

by PhilR8 on Oct 9, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Suuuuuure

John Bale was born in Cheverly, MD. Let’s bring his ass back! ;)

by Brotz13 on Oct 9, 2008 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Oct 9, 2008 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love the guy and would love to see him get to 300 as an O, but I don't see it happening.

He’s already said that if he comes back for one year, that he’ll basically be deciding to come back for 3 and the shot at 300 (his words – it’ll be too tempting if I’m at 282…). If it was 1-2 years I could see that O’s taking a flyer on him to get the redemption story, bring back some old fans, and get his veteran presence and solid 6 innings every 5th day, but 3 years is a long commitment to an old guy who in 2007 looked about as done as can be.

I’d also hate to see him come back and struggle. Nothing worse than that. Part of me would be very happy to see him retire now and go out with a great season like he had.

I do think he’d be great with the youngsters though…

You guys should check out the book Living on the Black about him and Glavine in 2007. Good read.

by O'sFan21 on Oct 9, 2008 10:56 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sure, as long he's willing to apologize for being a Yankee bastard

Kinda like Darth Vader turned good again at the end of Return of the Jedi

"Whether your name is Gehrig or Ripken, DiMaggio or Robinson, or that of some youngster who picks up his bat or puts on his glove, you are challenged by the game of baseball to do your very best day in and day out. That's all I've ever tried to do."

by spike2131 on Oct 9, 2008 12:02 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

AH JESUS WITH THE SPOILERS

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 9, 2008 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

soylent green is people!

statue of liberty? hmmm?

"When people ask me what my motivation is, I have a simple answer: Money."

--Jerry Reed, on acting

by j.q. higgins on Oct 9, 2008 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that chick in The Crying Game is ...

..nah, I won’t spoil that one.

Writing is God's way of showing you how sloppy your thinking is.

by typozzz on Oct 10, 2008 1:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sleepaway Camp

That girl…SHE’S GOT A DICK

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 10, 2008 2:04 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bambi's mother?

Dead

"Whether your name is Gehrig or Ripken, DiMaggio or Robinson, or that of some youngster who picks up his bat or puts on his glove, you are challenged by the game of baseball to do your very best day in and day out. That's all I've ever tried to do."

by spike2131 on Oct 10, 2008 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So is Bambi.

Godzilla got her.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Oct 10, 2008 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Memento...

Hell, someone will have to explain that to ME, and I’ve seen the movie 5 times.

/seriously, did his wife have diabetes or not? Did she realy die in teh attack or not?

"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby

by duck on Oct 10, 2008 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i used to love that movie

now I think I was a moronic high schooler. I should watch it again and see if it really makes any sense at all.

I’m guessing no.

by pipkin on Oct 11, 2008 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought I was the only one in America

to have caught that movie on IFC last year….

"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby

by duck on Oct 10, 2008 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

what, Sleepaway Camp?

I have it on DVD. It was a semi-big deal at the time and remains a horror cult classic. That shit was certainly out there for the time, I suppose.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 10, 2008 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Negative

No on Mussina. I like the dude a lot, aways have and always will, but let’s put the past behind us. Like OsFan21 said – the man could come back and struggle and leave a bad taste in everyone’s mouth.

Also, for some reason this thread prompted me to look up a bunch of ex-O’s stats on baseball reference. Raffy was pretty awesome in 1999.

by PhilR8 on Oct 9, 2008 12:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As was stanozolol

I didn’t spell that right.

by punkrawka on Oct 9, 2008 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That was 2005

He might have been using something else in 1999, or nothing at all.

by PhilR8 on Oct 9, 2008 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A Moose Apologist

I never thought it would come to that, but I flip-flopped this season. For those wondering why it would be three years, Mussina himself said that he was intrigued by 300 wins but knows that it would take more than a year: “”http://bats.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/09/28/after-winning-20-retirement-is-tempting-mike-mussina/" target="new">If I’m in for one, I’m in for three".

I’d like to see him here. As lousy as our rotation has been, his durability alone nearly makes him worth $15MM. Forget six innings – if we could get five out of him, he’d be our #2 by default. Sure, it seems like madness to give three years to a 40-year-old, but it’s not just anyone. We’ve established that he’s smart enough to stay effective. Hell, Moyer’s 45 and going strong. I realize that we’re rebuilding, but he’s certainly not blocking anyone in 2009, or even beyond. If we’re committed to not rushing Arrieta and Tillman, they’re probably two years away at least. Matusz could be ready sooner, but we haven’t even seen him throw a pitch yet.

With all this said, it’s a moot point. No way in hell Moose comes back. I think the Yankees bring him back or he retires.

by Brotz13 on Oct 9, 2008 12:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Editing comments too easily allows people to act like they never said anything. A correction comment is really not a big deal.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 9, 2008 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Leadership Pro or Con

“He’s also a guy that could assume a leadership role on the staff, a veteran that commands respect for his career achievements and the fact that he still gets it done.”

I’d rather see Guthrie in a lead role with the pitchers.

Writing is God's way of showing you how sloppy your thinking is.

by typozzz on Oct 9, 2008 12:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Mike Mussina could teach Jeremy Guthrie a few things, too. Let’s not kid ourselves there.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 9, 2008 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also

a team with both Guthrie and Mussina is pretty freaking awesome. Too sneaky, smart, Stanford guys.

[Guthrie's] president of my heart. ~PhilR8

by Stacey on Oct 9, 2008 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I totally agree Mussina would be a great veteran presence. I’d still rather see Guthrie take a lead role with the pitchers. To me it fits better with where the team is now.

Writing is God's way of showing you how sloppy your thinking is.

by typozzz on Oct 9, 2008 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, just look at what a wily old veteran like Kenny Rogers has done for the Tigers rotation...

oh, wait.
In all seriousness, I would love to have Moose back, I don’t want to have to hate such a vivid memory from my childhood.

Maybe in order to understand mankind, we have to look at the word itself: "Mankind". Basically, it's made up of two separate words—"mank" and "ind". What do these words mean? It's a mystery, and that's why so is mankind.
-Jack Handey

by jobe on Oct 10, 2008 1:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Moose won't average 10 wins per year playing for the O's

Jeremy Guthrie couldn’t muster up 10 wins despite pitching well.

I endorse signing Moose to a one year deal although he’ll be wrecking his quest to reach 300 wins if he does.

Zartan says, "Sign Dan Johnson."

by birdman on Oct 9, 2008 1:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

well

Garrett Olson won nine despite being horrible. It’s just run support. Guthrie got none. Maybe Mussina would get some.

"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum

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by SC on Oct 10, 2008 1:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's true,

But Olson got kind of lucky. I’m willing to bet that any particular O’s pitcher won’t get much run support especially since the offense was so fluky good for awhile last year.

Zartan says, "Sign Dan Johnson."

by birdman on Oct 10, 2008 2:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fact checking

You have a point as far as the Orioles’ lousiness costing Moose wins. However, Guthrie was 10-12 this year, and to be fair he might have even won 11 or 12 if he hadn’t gotten injured. Just being anal about the numbers.

by Brotz13 on Oct 9, 2008 1:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You also have to remember the O’s lineup was just horrible whenever Guthrie pitched. He probably had the worst run support in the league.

by edsachs1 on Oct 9, 2008 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is only partlially true

I’ll attempt some fuzzy math to see if I can get an expected Win record.

Jeremy Guthrie pitched 30 games with an ERA of 3.63.
The Orioles scored 782 runs in 181 games, which would average out to about 130 runs in the games which Jeremy Guthrie started.

If we extend Jeremy Guthrie’s ERA to include the bullpen (which is a bit of a stretch, because our bullpen did not have a 3.63 ERA, but Guthrie’s games were generally close and got the better bullpen arms), then the Orioles would be expected to allow 109 runs in the games which Guthrie pitched. That would imply a Pyth record of 17-13. Giving Gutrhie 22/30 of the decisions, his record would be 12-10. Admittedly, the numbers look more like 12.46-9.53, so we could stretch this record to about 13-9, but still, it’s not that far off from 10-11.

by math_geek on Oct 9, 2008 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Count me in

As long as it doesn’t break the bank, I’d take Moose back for 3 years. He’s stayed healthy over the years and he has used his brains to adapt his pitching style to his aging arm. Even if he’s not actively tutoring the young’uns, his presence couldn’t hurt the clubhouse and would give them a model of what a smart pitcher looks like.

Plus, if he finishes his career with the O’s and wins 300 with us, that’s one more Oriole cap in the Hall and one less Yankee one. Some might argue with that point, but I bet that’s how the Hall would call it.

by silverstadium on Oct 9, 2008 3:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I've never lost my love for Mussina.

I had fantasies of Baltimore’s FO being smart enough to work a trade with NY to bring him back about 3 years ago (say Penn, Fontenot and who ever we sent them for Wright). Instead we get Jaret my arm’s attached by sewing thread Wright.

I think Moose would be a nice addition to the staff. The questions are;

for how much

for how long

and would he even be interested

I don’t have a problem with a 3 year deal. I highly doubt he will be blocking someone, even if he’s posting an ERA between 4.00 and 4.50. The O’s have maybe 3 quality arms in their system who have not been injured. History says only one of them is likely to become a quality starter. So in 3 years we could be looking at Guthrie/new guy/Mussina as the front end of the rotation.

Money wise, I don’t care too much as it is not my money. $15 million for 3 years does not sound unreasonable. The issue with money, in my opinion, is what else could the O’s do with that money. If it means they spend less on their minor league system or shy away from a top draft pick because of sign bonus issues, then I’d reluctantly say no to Mussina. If it means we don’t sign Burnett or Texiaxa, then big deal. I’d rather bet on Mussina staying healthy than Burnett and as much as I’d like to see the big guy in an O’s uniform, he’s going to be way to expensive (and make Mussina’s $15 mil look like chump change).

I think that it will come down to Mussina not seeing any benefit to signing with the O’s. We just aren’t competative and do not look as if we will be any time soon.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Oct 9, 2008 6:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As a stop gap

Sure, but only if moves are made to build for the future as well.

I don’t think Moose would want to come back to Baltimore, though.

My best game plan is to sit on the bench and call out specific instructions like 'C'mon Boog,' 'Get ahold of one, Frank,' or 'Let's go, Brooks.' -Earl Weaver

by Baltimo on Oct 9, 2008 7:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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