Community Projection '08: Adam Jones

by SC on Mar 14, 2008 1:53 PM EDT in News

A true test of your projecting acumen!

Photo © Baltimore Sun

A few things to keep in mind:

1. Jones is 22 years old. He ripped up AAA ball last year at age 21.
2. Amazingly, he's the first Major League Baseball player in history named "Adam Jones."
3. He was still playing shortstop in 2005-06.

Jones' last three seasons:

                           AB   AVG   OBP   SLG   2B   HR  RBI    BB/K
2005 Inland Empire (A+)        271  .295  .374  .494   20    8   46   29/64
     San Antonio (AA)          228  .298  .365  .461   10    7   20   22/48
2006 Tacoma (AAA)              380  .287  .345  .484   19   16   62   28/78
     Seattle                    74  .216  .237  .311    4    1    8    2/22
2007 Tacoma (AAA)              420  .314  .382  .586   27   25   84   36/106
     Seattle                    65  .246  .300  .400    2    2    4    4/21

I know it's tough to project a guy with really no ML experience, but give it a go. This promises to be one of the more interesting projections.

The line: AB, AVG/OBP/SLG, 2B, HR, RBI, BB/K

0 recs | Comment 31 comments

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Comments

WAG (wild ass guesses)

475/.255/.335/.475/25/18/65/45/80

I came to Camden Yards to watch the O's and all I got was this lousy "Fenway South" t-shirt.

by Dave at Bottomfeeder Baseball on Mar 14, 2008 2:05 PM EDT 0 recs

with young guys, you just never really know

Blue chip prospects flame out on a regular basis. Not saying Jones will, but theres always a shot (and its usually as about as equal as them blossoming into a star).

Im gonna take the pessimist route here and say Jones will have a less than ideal season. I say Jones struggles badly through May or so, Macphail decides he needs some additional seasoning in AAA, and in typical O's fashion Jay Payton somehow ends up 350+ ABs. Eventually, Jones returns shortly after the all star break and plays well enough to ensure continued optimism going into 2009.

355 ABs
.243/.310/.428
19 2Bs
12 HRs
42 RBI
30/81 K/BB

Of course I have no basis in my predictions, just completely random guesses.

by UMterp08 on Mar 14, 2008 2:20 PM EDT 0 recs

hmm...

AB: 450
AVG: .260
OBP: .305
SLG: .400
2B: 30
HR: 15
BB/K: 40/90

I dunno.

"When you are in with the Lord there's just one reward, and they'd just as soon make it come true." -REK

by BPinOK on Mar 14, 2008 2:24 PM EDT 0 recs

who really knows

500 ABs
.221/.305/.428
22 2Bs
16 HRs
57 RBI
82/91 K/BB

He will get the AB's, but disapoint. People will criticize the Bedard trade and hopefully it doesnt get to Adam's head.

by Reddrummer9187 on Mar 14, 2008 2:28 PM EDT 0 recs

Adam

I think he'll play out there all year, no sending him back to the minors. But 2009 will be the year he breaks out, not 2008.

AB    AVG/OBP/SLG  2B HR RBI BB/K

545 .255/.315/.401 27 14 62 43/140

by Stacey on Mar 14, 2008 2:57 PM EDT 0 recs

Agree

with most of the other predictions -- I don't see 2008 being his year. I think he'll struggle with strikeouts, post a low AVG/OBP with good power.

AB: 500
AVG/OBP/SLG: .250/.303/.430
2B: 32
HR: 19
RBI: 78
BB/K: 38/125

Hard to know for sure about the power, though -- last year in AAA is really promising.

by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Mar 14, 2008 4:18 PM EDT 0 recs

ajon

AB: 479
AVG/OBP/SLG: .266/.325/.455
2B: 24
HR: 20
RBI: 68
BB/K: 35/119

by brya on Mar 14, 2008 4:29 PM EDT 0 recs

Jones

AB: 550
AVG: .275
OBP: .330
SLG: .450
2B: 15
HR: 12
RBI: 80
BB/K: 20/98

He's only been an Orioles for a month but I love this guy. I heard on XM radio this morning. He went on this spiel about how he knows that everybody is counting the O's out but he sees some really talent here and he know that the team is going to play the Yanks and RS tough. Yeah, it's standard BS but I love his optimistic, go get them attitude.

Rocky Cherry, son of Merry Cherry.

by birdman on Mar 14, 2008 6:56 PM EDT 0 recs

Swinging for the fences

Putting him near the bottom of the lineup and having Markakis being able to counsel him (Nick was in a similar situation 2 yrs ago) makes me more optimistic than I should be. Trembley's also patient and won't bench the kid. I'm actually more worried about his glove, considering he's still relatively new to CF.

AB: 570
AVG/OBP/SLG: .286/.335/.460
2B: 31
HR: 21
RBI: 85
BB/K: 45/130

by Cockeysville Crony on Mar 14, 2008 7:04 PM EDT 0 recs

Celeb look-alike?

Is it just me, or does he look a lot like Gilbert Arenas in that pic? From the shots I've seen of him, he doesn't look like Gilbert. I should fly down to Ft Lauderdale just to answer this burning question. And then head over to A1A and Beachfront Avenue to check out spring break activities. Not sure if that would make me feel young or old again.

by Cockeysville Crony on Mar 14, 2008 7:11 PM EDT 0 recs

Just you

I don't see the resemblance but maybe it is there.

MVP.

by Baltimo on Mar 14, 2008 10:48 PM EDT up 0 recs

Looks more like Bo Jackson

"All I have to say is our partner is going to shock the world because he is none other than THE SHOCKMASTER!"-Sting

by jobe on Mar 16, 2008 7:34 PM EDT up 0 recs

AJ was on XM the other day

saying that he is having a great time with the Orioles and loves Trembley. "All I can control is how much effort I put into the game, and I'm always gonna give my best" etc. It was good to hear.

Also said that the O's "aren't gonna lay down for anybody" or something to that effect. "Everyone has put us in last place, fourth place, already written us off, but we're not gonna make it easy for anyone." I like your enthusiasm, AJ, but the O's are going to get spanked in a major way this season. I hope you still have the same attitude going into next season, and the season after that.

by PhilR8 on Mar 14, 2008 7:40 PM EDT 0 recs

Jones

I really liked what I heard from Jones in that interview. He didn't say the O's would be any good, he just said that the team had the potential to play everyone hard. Like I said, it's standard BS from a player, but he seems realistic about the team's capability and he's enthusiastic about that. Of course, Tejada said a lot of rah rah stuff when he first showed up. Hopefully, the losing won't affect Jones in the same way.

Rocky Cherry, son of Merry Cherry.

by birdman on Mar 15, 2008 5:59 PM EDT up 0 recs

Out the gates slow

But post All-Stars rebounds to round out as follow;

AB: 480
AVG: .277
OBP: .327
SLG: .477
2B: 38
HR: 22
BB/K: 44/92

by merdon1332000 on Mar 14, 2008 9:52 PM EDT 0 recs

re:

AB   492

AVG .264

OBP .335

SLG .460

2B    21

HR    18

RBI   70

BB    38

K    110

This is Birdland

by drj on Mar 14, 2008 10:01 PM EDT 0 recs

Gonna go with

AB: 500
AVG: .270
OBP: .320
SLG: .470
2B: 23
HR: 18
RBI: 68
BB: 40
K: 115

MVP.

by Baltimo on Mar 14, 2008 10:45 PM EDT 0 recs

Adam Jones

who knows? not me

AB: 527
AVG/OBP/SLG: 264/322/455
2B: 32
HR: 18
RBI: 72
BB/K: 42/90

ZIPS = 276/335/477/812

Librarians are hiding something

by dfa on Mar 15, 2008 3:18 AM EDT 0 recs

ROY

That's right.

AB 500
AVG .290
OBP .360
SLG .520
2B 35
HR 25
55 BB/125 K

"Indeed"

by Jonnypops on Mar 15, 2008 11:12 AM EDT 0 recs

oh, and

95 RBI

"Indeed"

by Jonnypops on Mar 15, 2008 11:13 AM EDT up 0 recs

Woop!

My bad. AJ has 139 Major League career AB going into this season, so he doesn't qualify for ROY consideration. Damn.

"Indeed"

by Jonnypops on Mar 15, 2008 5:30 PM EDT up 0 recs

I always

Thought it was based on Games?

by merdon1332000 on Mar 15, 2008 7:04 PM EDT up 0 recs

130 AB

or 50 IP is the limit.

"Indeed"

by Jonnypops on Mar 15, 2008 7:51 PM EDT up 0 recs

don't worry

I believe Luis Hernandez has the ROY already wrapped up.

Librarians are hiding something

by dfa on Mar 15, 2008 8:59 PM EDT up 0 recs

yay

adam jonez

rookie of year!!!

by thewaywardO on Mar 16, 2008 11:21 AM EDT 0 recs

So reluctant...

...to project this guy.

Anyway, here it goes:

AB 435
AVG .268
OBP .335
SLG .458
2B 24
HR 19
RBI 66
BB 31
K 128

by KenDixonFanClub on Mar 17, 2008 10:32 AM EDT 0 recs

by Jonnypops on Mar 19, 2008 4:53 PM EDT up 0 recs

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