Are we even rebuilding?
I want to like Andy MacPhail. And given the last few Executive Vice Presidents of shit ass Baseball Operations that we've had, it'll will be quite the coup to actually do much worse. I'm even optimistic about the farm system.
But still, I wonder. Trading Tejada (for next to nothin') and Bedard were essentially obvious moves. We still have Roberts and Mora and Walker and Bradford and Millar and Huff and Gibbons and Payton. All of these players are fairly useless to us. So why are they here?
Further, we have a pretty low payroll. But are we investing in overseas talent? I don't expect us to get the next Dice-K, but what about the Devil Ray Japanese guy? That seems like a smart mid-level type signing...
I just fail to see how we are rebuilding given that we've made only two trades and a Rule 5 pick.
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This is a very good start.

by OEutaw on Mar 21, 2008 4:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ten guys for two guys . . .
As for getting rid of Roberts, Mora, et al, they seem to be putting a concerted effort into getting a good deal for Roberts and other teams just aren't going to be interested in trading for worthless players like Gibbons, Huff, and company.
Even when it comes to good players like Roberts, other teams know the Orioles aren't in a good bargaining position and are going to lowball for him. It's probably good that any deal for him is taking a long time because that makes it more likely they're holding out for something of worth. There is no point in a 1999-style giveaway.
The Orioles haven't had an overseas presence since the 1970's, so that's something that is going to take time no matter what. It would be great if they could go to Asia and the Caribbean and be players with the talent that is from there, but the fact of the matter is that almost all of the teams in the Major Leagues have been camped out there for a decade or more and have a better infrastructure for getting local talent.
I'm very cynical about the Orioles, but MacPhail hasn't even been on the job for a year. Give him some time.
by yurizanow on Mar 21, 2008 4:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
patience bro
Remember we dont want to rush into anything, and it takes time to find the right places to look overseas and to make sure we invest the money wisely and not just spend money.
The most important detail you forgot was that we drafted and signed the best available talent in the draft. Matt Wieters should be a stud and we went above slot for Jake Arrieta. That hopefully is a telling sign of things getting better for us here in Charm City.
by Reddrummer9187 on Mar 21, 2008 4:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Good points.
See those jerseys in my sig? You're looking at a cut player, a contract that may or may not see it's conclusion, and a throw-in to a trade.
Not getting much (anything?) back for any of them - but those roster spots and lack of DH/1B/OF clutter sure do go a long way, IMO.

by OEutaw on Mar 21, 2008 4:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
re:
This is a forfeit season.
And as far as trading Bedard goes, too, that was not obvious. That was a ballsy move by Andy MacPhail. Bedard wasn't overpaid, wasn't HIGHLY paid, wasn't rising losing trade value like Tejada was, isn't clearly on a downward trend like Tejada, etc. He wasn't even raising holy hell like Johan Santana was.
I think a lot of us tend to overstate that "Well you gotta trade him and get SOMETHING!" idea. You do get something when free agents like Bedard leave. You get draft picks. And I know it doesn't seem like it, but believe it or not some teams make good players out of those things.
Bedard didn't need to be traded. Given the talent they got back from doing it, I think it was worth it.
Overseas talent is super when it works out, and Akinori Iwamura was a fine pickup by the Rays. That said there are plenty of guys as good as Iwamura. Seriously. A lot of the Japanese guys that come over (not the Ichiro, Hideki Matsui, Fuk U Do Me types) could easily be replaced by someone that isn't a Japanese star and you'd hardly know the difference. In '07 there wasn't a lot of difference in the value of Iwamura and Melvin Mora.

Gone but not forgotten...
by SC on Mar 21, 2008 4:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Replying to a bunch of valid counterpoints
If Bedard wasn't going to extend (and who knows if there was a real effort), then it made sense to trade him. While he was my fave Oriole, he was a risk of injury, so in a sense we had to trade him (well, we didn't have to, but to a point the reward outweighed the risk).
Kevin Millar still OBPs decently and at his salary he does some value. Plus he has all those bullshit intangibles. When Pedro Feliz is getting $21MM, I have to believe that Millar could get us a B-ish prospect.
My concern is that the Orioles are not trading high. Given the volatility of relievers, doesn't it make the most sense to package cash along with Walker and Bradford for prospects now, before they could either get hurt or be ineffective? Especially given that Sherrill is the closer?
2008 is a forfeit season. But that doesn't mean that we should wasting at bats on guys who won't be part of winning team. Could Scott Moore be an every day thirdbaseman on a competitive team? Maybe, I'd sure like to know. And letting him play everyday this year would go along way to finding that out. But we have to have team player MelMo wasting those at bats. And what about first? Can't we find somebody who could be good rather then a bunch of guys with marginal value down the road? (Note: Given Huff's fairly respectable finish, I would think he would also have value, especially if we covered half his salary.)
I'll believe the Tejada deal sucked until the end. I've come around a bit on Luke Scott, but I would've rather worked with a team with a better farm system. Patton's hurt (which was known apparently), Albers has control issues (heh, we're not the only team with these types of pitchers), Costanza is hacktastic, Sarfate is a middle reliever and Scott is 30.
And sure, we shouldn't trade just to trade, but I wonder if MacPhail is being creative enough with some of these players that aren't doing a lot for us. How will Millar be any more valuable then he is today?
Having said that, I'm definitely being a impatient. I just don't want to forfeit opportunity cost which is what we are doing (i.e., why isn't Hayden Penn in the rotation?).
by dfa on Mar 21, 2008 5:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
opportunity cost
Millar is a decent hitter, but what really hurts his value is he plays 1B/DH/a really sucky corner outfield, and there are plenty of decent hitters at those positions.
I think most of us would love to see Scott Moore start at 3b and Melmo to find a home elsewhere, but there is that no trade clause which adds lots of complications.
I understand what you say about relief pitchers being volatle, which is definately true, but teams arent desparate for relief pitching yet. If play off of other teams misery's here and try and pull a deadline trade, we could get more for our relief pitchers. Just look back at the Nationals and Reds trade that involved Austin Kearns.
And you are right about most the players received in the Tejada trade, they are unspectacular, but dont forget that we saved $24 million that can be spent elsewhere. I would love to see that applied to the next few drafts and come away with several premium talents.
by Reddrummer9187 on Mar 21, 2008 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
a couple points
Re: Moore/Mora...I'd like to see Moore get 500 at bats this year. If he does that, I'll believe he will have gotten a legit opportunity. If he plays once a week and accumulates 120 at bats, well that'll suck.
Re: the money...I too was pleasantly surprised that we went over slot to get Arrieta and Wieters. Of course, we've reduced our payroll twenty five million bucks from last year. For what, though? Is PGA going to spend it? It's not like we're some small market team. We sure as shit better spend that money on amateur talent. At this point I remain unconvinced, but Arrieta could be a sign of things to come. It could also be an isolated incident since we didn't have a second or third round pick.
by dfa on Mar 21, 2008 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mora

MelMo happy again!!
by zknower on Mar 22, 2008 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mora
Yeah, but I doubt the O's could get much. Probably another one Scott Moore type of prospect and this is assuming the O's throw in some cash.
Rocky Cherry, son of Merry Cherry.
by birdman on Mar 22, 2008 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
re:

Gone but not forgotten...
by SC on Mar 21, 2008 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
fair enough...
This is why I'd like to see Moore, Penn and Olson get a lot of playing time this year.
by dfa on Mar 21, 2008 7:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mora, Baez, Gibbons, Huff
Think MacPhail came in and just shook his head when he looked at all the deadwood?
This is Birdland
by drj on Mar 22, 2008 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's not forget
Well, yeah, we probably do, after you wait another 2 months for the fallout to fade away. But I don't think you get even what the O's got for him.
Timing and context are important to consider in the Tejada trade.
I remember 14 straight foul balls in one at-bat.
by duck on Mar 22, 2008 9:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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