Community Projection '08: Jeremy Guthrie

by Scott Christ on Mar 24, 2008 2:46 PM EDT in Fun & Games

Jeremy Guthrie came out of nowhere -- well, Buffalo, mostly -- last year to become a solid No. 2 in the O's rotation. This year, with Bedard gone, Guts is the man, the closest thing we have to an ace. Ne ver forget that this guy was taken 22nd overall out of Stanford in '02 by the Indians. He's always had talent.

I admit I wasn't a big believer in Guthrie when we picked him up, but that Greg Maddux impression he had going for a while last year was truly impressive. He faded down the stretch, but that happens to guys that aren't used to throwing 170+ innings.

Can Guthrie repeat, or was he a Bruce Chen-like one-year wonder? Can he IMPROVE?

YOU make the call. Guthrie's last three seasons:

            IP     W   L   K   BB   ERA  WHIP
05 BUF     136.1  12  10  100  49  5.08  1.47
   CLE       6.0   0   0    3   2  6.00  1.83
06 BUF     123.1   9   5   88  48  3.14  1.23
   CLE      19.1   0   0   14  15  6.98  2.02
07 BAL     175.1   7   5  123  47  3.70  1.21

That's our line: IP, W-L, K, BB, ERA, WHIP

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Comments

Guthrie

Wow, we're doing W-L now? Kinda antithetical to our beliefs, no? Anyhow:

IP 185
W-L 13-8
K 150
BB 55
ERA 3.85
WHIP 1.30

by Jonny Pops on Mar 24, 2008 3:06 PM EDT reply actions

re:

I've decided W-L is like RBI; the individual doesn't have everything to do with it, but it's fun to project so fuck it.

by Scott Christ on Mar 24, 2008 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions

Guts

I'm not nearly as optomistic:

IP 210
W-L 10-11
K 140
BB 65
ERA 4.25
WHIP 1.35

"Every time I fail to smoke a cigarette between innings, the opposition will score." ~Earl Weaver~

by dmouthhog on Mar 24, 2008 5:16 PM EDT reply actions

by merdon1332000 on Mar 24, 2008 9:00 PM EDT reply actions

re:

I'm betting he can't go near the 200.

INN 155
W 7
L 11
K 100
BB 50
ERA 4.78
WHIP 1.43

by drj on Mar 24, 2008 9:57 PM EDT reply actions

jgut

ip: 150
w-l: 6-8
k: 97
walk: 54
era: 4.8
whip: 1.45

by brya on Mar 25, 2008 1:48 AM EDT reply actions

Not so good

I think Guthrie will evolve into a solid middle to back of the rotation guy--which means #1 starter on this team--but that's about it. I love the guy, though.

IP 178
W-L 10-14
K 130
BB 68
ERA 4.48
WHIP 1.43

by silverstadium on Mar 25, 2008 12:37 PM EDT reply actions