The Six-Hole: Great futility by O's shortstops
There has been much (very deserved) talk this season about the totally inept players the O's have run out to the shortstop position. Currently, veteran Alex Cintron is occupying the spot, with Trembley and Co. threatening to recall Brandon Fahey from Norfolk, which is just terrible, terrible, terrible news. I assume it has something to do with his positional flexibility, mythical or not.
Fahey will play shortstop, second base, third base, left field, and has volunteered in the past to serve as an emergency catcher, so I suppose that does make him a shortstop, second baseman, third baseman, left fielder, and emergency catcher. And I also suppose if you sent him into a space a few times, that'd make him an astronaut. But other than that, he is no more a major league shortstop, second baseman, third baseman or left fielder than he is an astronaut. (tip of the cap to Bill James and those that spotted the reference, and a virtual high-five of sorts to those that know the former Oriole who was the subject of the original James joke)
For this, we have to ignore defensive ability, and to be perfectly and brutally honest, knowing what we do now about the values of hitting and fielding to the overall outcome of the game (and there is still much to learn, yes), it is rather hard to defend Mark Belanger as a very good player no matter how great his glove was. He had a couple years where he was around league average offensively, but most of the time he was terrible. He was a Gold Glove guy to be sure, but give me a competent fielder that can hit.
Let's take a look at what The Big Three did this year before Cintron thankfully was awarded the job. You can't say he won it, only that everyone else lost the hell out of it.
| Player | Year | AB | AVG | OBP | SLG | adj OPS+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Bynum | 2008 | 99 | .192 | .238 | .242 | 30 |
| Brandon Fahey | 2008 | 25 | .200 | .231 | .240 | 27 |
| Luis Hernandez | 2008 | 79 | .241 | .295 | .253 | 50 |
Not a pretty picture! But despite the fact that the Orioles do have a rich history of shortstops, including two Hall of Famers (Ripken and Aparicio), the truth is that some of the bigger and better names are about to pop up on the next list: all-time crappy Oriole shortstop seasons.
| Player | Year | AB | AVG | OBP | SLG | adj OPS+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Hunter | 1954 | 411 | .243 | .281 | .304 | 66 |
| Willy Miranda | 1955 | 487 | .255 | .313 | .310 | 74 |
| Willy Miranda | 1956 | 461 | .217 | .287 | .282 | 57 |
| Luis Aparicio | 1967 | 546 | .233 | .270 | .313 | 72 |
| Mark Belanger | 1968 | 472 | .208 | .272 | .248 | 58 |
| Mark Belanger | 1970 | 459 | .218 | .303 | .259 | 56 |
| Mark Belanger | 1973 | 470 | .226 | .302 | .262 | 61 |
| Mark Belanger | 1975 | 442 | .226 | .286 | .276 | 64 |
| Mark Belanger | 1977 | 402 | .206 | .287 | .274 | 58 |
| Mike Bordick | 1997 | 509 | .236 | .283 | .318 | 59 |
| Deivi Cruz | 2003 | 548 | .250 | .269 | .378 | 69 |
Notes:
1957: Miranda (314 AB) was at 30
1958: Miranda (214 AB) was at 40; Foster Castleman (200 AB) was at 37
1959: Chico Carrasquel (346 AB) was at 64; Billy Klaus (321 AB) was at 86; Miranda (88 AB) came in at 22
Conclusion: Willy (or Willie, depending on the listing) Miranda was f-ing terrible.
Past Ripken and the contemporary Miguel Tejada, the best shortstops in O's history (post-STL Browns) are largely considered to be Belanger, Aparicio and Bordick. All three were glove men who generally carried a weak stick. Aparicio would be ridiculed as a leadoff hitter in today's game -- if there were blogs in Luis' heyday and the same statistical understanding we now have, he'd be Adam Everett. Simply put, if the game were the same then as it is now, Aparicio would never have even sniffed the Hall of Fame. He was not a bad player; he could run and he could field like crazy. But Hall of Fame? No disrespect meant to Mr. Aparicio, but his credentials are fairly shaky.
Belanger was the heir to Aparicio, and was simply a taller, caucasian version most of the time. That and he didn't steal a whole lot of bases. And he had a lot more truly awful seasons at the plate. Bordick had one freaky good year with a 113 OPS+ (2000), which is how we wound up with Melvin Mora. Thanks again, Mike!
Just so this isn't all gloomy (if you choose to take it that way, anyway), here are the ten best offensive seasons by OPS+ in O's shortstop history. It's a pretty exclusive list.
| Player | Year | AB | AVG | OBP | SLG | adj OPS+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1991 | 650 | .323 | .374 | .566 | 162 |
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1984 | 641 | .304 | .374 | .510 | 145 |
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1983 | 663 | .318 | .371 | .517 | 144 |
| Miguel Tejada | 2004 | 653 | .311 | .360 | .534 | 131 |
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1988 | 575 | .264 | .372 | .431 | 128 |
| Miguel Tejada | 2005 | 654 | .304 | .349 | .515 | 128 |
| Miguel Tejada | 2006 | 648 | .330 | .379 | .498 | 126 |
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1985 | 642 | .282 | .347 | .469 | 124 |
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1986 | 627 | .282 | .355 | .461 | 122 |
| Cal Ripken Jr. | 1982* | 598 | .264 | .317 | .475 | 115 |
* Ripken played 94 games (813 innings) at SS in 1982, and 71 games (604 innings) at third base
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actually, it's funny...
in the bill james historical abstract, it lists ripken as the 2nd or 3rd best ss of all time. beyond the fact, that his offensive numbers are pretty great, james tells a story of how he had read in baseball america that kurt stillwell had the best ss arm, so he went to take in a royals-o’s series and determined it was no contest: ripken was FAR superior in the filed. he played really deep, had a cannon and just great judgment.
foghat goes with everything--birdman, 5/16/08
by j.q. higgins on Jun 25, 2008 12:46 PM EDT 0 recs
I love me some Bill James
I have his 1994 Player Ratings Book, and I still flip through it to see how his predictions panned out: for instance, I recall that he saw Tino Martinez having a few monster years before he was done, but he also panned the hell out of Rudy Seanez (who is still pitching, which is as much an indictment of the quality of MLB pitching as anything). I also get a kick out of his digs at players and teams. Of Shawn Hillegas, he said: “Truly a horrible pitcher…I have no idea what in the hell he’s still doing in the majors.”
As far as Cal, he really did play out of his mind in ‘91. I’m surprised to see that 1988 was his fourth-best season, considering that the team as a whole was total dogshit.
by Brotz13 on Jun 25, 2008 1:53 PM EDT 0 recs
SS is a sad state of affairs
for us right now, no doubt. But what’s the solution? We sure as shit don’t have anyone in our system. Anybody have any ideas on this? Because the future is looking pretty bleak for a long time coming.
by Jonny Pops on Jun 25, 2008 4:22 PM EDT 0 recs
Trade from the pitching surplus
That’s what MacPhail has suggested all along. Draft strong pitchers and athletic outfielders. Then you trade from the glut of pitching to fill out the infield and you’re set. ...also, you have a catcher in there somewhere.
by Dr Orpheus on
Jun 25, 2008 4:46 PM EDT
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I have an idea
Ask the Florida Marlins really nicely if they could send the Orioles Hanley Ramirez.
by yurizanow on
Jun 25, 2008 4:58 PM EDT
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I started
to type that exact same thing. Well, not exactly but the Hanley Ramirez part.
I've got two nickels and a paradigm. - RWH
by BPinOK on
Jun 25, 2008 5:37 PM EDT
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oh it's a lost cause for this season
Revisit it in the offseason, when you can see what pitchers did well or whatever within the system, find out who needs what, etc.
Honestly I’m having as much fun as I can watching these guys as they make me want to pull my hair out.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jun 25, 2008 6:58 PM EDT
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All true, but
not entirely fair to Aparicio and Belanger. Remember that before Cal, SS was not expected to be much of a production center. They were expected to plug the hole, bat leadoff, draw some walks, do the hit & run, and immediatley bunt if (God Forbid) anyone was on base when they came to the plate. That’s why they were mostly short—a tiny strike zone was their main offensive asset (as a group). Classic example: Phil Rizzutto. OK, so Belanger didn’t exactly fit the mold, but his gangly arms made him extra good at plugging the hole. Post Cal, it’s a whole new world. Also, a lot more lefty hitters in the game (I think) so 2nd is as important defensively as short.
by fishoutawata on Jun 25, 2008 11:30 PM EDT 0 recs
Oh, I know, and agree. You don’t go back and change the times. The game was the same, but it was played differently. Shit, Bordick was essentially Belanger/Aparicio and we’re talking late 90s.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jun 26, 2008 9:26 AM EDT
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Shorstops in the 1950's and 1960's
Were in that Phil Rizzuotto, Pee Wee Reese, Maury Wills mode at best. Before that there were a number of higher OBP guys with some pop like Eddie Joost, Vern Stevens, Joe Cronin, and Luke Appling (who didn’t have a ton of power, but lived on base).
Also, the shortstop revolution didn’t exactly start with Cal Ripken. Robin Yount and Roy Smalley were playing in a Ripken-esque manner before him and Alan Trammel emerged about the same time as Ripken.
by yurizanow on
Jun 26, 2008 12:48 PM EDT
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yeah
But Ripken was a LOT bigger than any of them, which was the real establishment he made in the changing of major league shortstops. He had about 40 pounds on the biggest (which was Smalley) and was 3-4 inches taller than all of them. Guys like A-Rod and Jeter (who are 6’3” to Cal’s 6’4”) are very post-Ripken.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jun 26, 2008 4:22 PM EDT
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Size is the biggest difference
The big revolution caused by Ripken moving over to short and doing well was other teams saying “hmm, maybe our corner infielder/outfielder could play there as well.” As a result, better hitters started manning the position.
Offensively speaking, there were other guys who could hit who played shortstop, but as you said, they weren’t big guys. From basically the end of World War II to Yount and Smalley, teams accepted really horrible baseball players at short like Belanger, Dave Concepcion, and Bert Campaneris because they thought shortstop was such an important defensive position that it didn’t matter that those guys were designated outs.
If Cal Ripken is the player who revolutionized the offensive expectations of the shortstop position, then Derek Jeter might be the player who revolutionizes the defensive expectations of the shortstop position. His defense was always lousy, but it never substantially hurt the Yankees. I wouldn’t be surprised if a lot of GM’s have looked at him and said, “gee, maybe a good defensive shortstop isn’t so important after all.” Mayo Smith thought that in the 1969 World Series when he put Mickey Stanley at shortstop so he could get Al Kaline in the game, it could be he was ahead of his time and it took the rest of baseball 40 years to catch up.
by yurizanow on
Jun 27, 2008 12:17 PM EDT
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