Gameday Thread: Royals (38-46) @ O's (42-40)
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
7:05 :: MASN :: 85° W-12 MPH (S) :: Rain: 10%
Today's Starting Pitchers GS IP ERA WHIP BAA HR BB K W-L Gil Meche - RH - #55 17 102.1 4.66 1.32 .255 12 35 82 6-8 Daniel Cabrera - RH - #40 17 109.1 4.53 1.41 .261 14 47 64 5-4
Yesterday started the real second half of the 2008 season. Seems like it's been kinda short, doesn't it?
Meche, career v. BAL: 96.2 IP, 3.26/1.31, 4-5
Cabrera, career v. KC: 44 IP, 2.25/1.23, 4-0
Guys that have had success against the opponent.
Cabrera has, well, hit a wall. After his May 20th start, his ERA stood at 3.48. He was oupitching even optimistic predictions, really, and going seven routinely.
Since then, his ERA has risen to 4.53. Why? The walks are back in some part. Over his last 42 innings, he's walked 23. Not as awful as he used to be, but pretty bad. But the walks aren't killing him. May 20 and prior, he had just twice given up more hits than innings he'd pitched. Since then, he's done it five times, and the other two starts had him giving up six in six innings and six in seven innings.
The lack of strikeouts -- a problem that started last season -- are hurting him. When he doesn't have his best stuff, he's going to get rocked. Plus, the fact is he's throwing almost all fastballs. That's a great theory, and it worked well for a little bit. But his fastball is not so good that he can work six-seven innings off of that pitch exclusively on a consistent basis. He doesn't blow it by anyone anymore. His K/9 is a really pedestrian 5.28, which gives him a pretty crappy K-to-BB ratio, too.
I'm really not trying to harsh any buzzes, but Cabrera's as good as he's going to get unless he suddenly figures out how to strike batters out again. He's a fourth/fifth starter that can eat up innings. Someday, I really think he'll put it together and have one outstanding season, maybe two. Lots of guys have them, and there's no reason Cabrera can't find a zone for one entire season sometime. He was more effective -- if ever so slightly -- in '05 and '06 than he has been this season. He's better than he was last year, sure, but it wasn't going to take much to top that dismal campaign.
But I've rambled about Danny C enough for right now. Go get 'em, champ. Throw a few good starts together and look attractive at the deadline.
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Comments
Alright, Danny, here's the deal...
You’re on my fantasy team, I’m currently up 13-0 in this week’s game, I’d really like to you return to the form you had against KC earlier in the year, or, better yet, like that one game you had against the Yankees that may have aired on some other four letter network…you can do this for me, Danny, I know you can.
p.s. Nick and Brian keep hitting, thanks.
by getxstoked on Jul 2, 2008 4:40 PM EDT 0 recs
Speaking of keep hitting
Is anyone else surprised that Huff and Luuuuke are tied for HRs at 14 apiece? It’s like Sherrill pulling a couple dozen saves out of his arse. I know Luuuke/Shutdown get a lot more time with our team, but still. Good numbers.
by blawk359 on
Jul 2, 2008 5:01 PM EDT
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just a comparison....
Huff
AB HR AVG RBI R SB
307 14 .277 47 46 2
Alex Rodriguez
AB HR AVG RBI R SB
237 16 .316 44 45 11
Yeah, I know, Huff has had 70 more AB, but STILL
by zknower on
Jul 2, 2008 7:09 PM EDT
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More stats
Huff: OPS+ 124
A-Rod: OP+ 163
SLIGHT difference.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:12 PM EDT
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uhh
Hmm.
I uh.
Don’t compare Aubrey Huff to Alex Rodriguez. Get serious, Z. Get real.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 7:16 PM EDT
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I was gently trying to point that out
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:16 PM EDT
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O's Lineup
BRob – 2B
Markikass – RF
Audrey- 1B
Razor – C
Luuuuke – DH
MelMo – 3B
Jay- LF
Dr. Jones – CF
Fahey – SS
Danny Cabs – P
Geaux Eaux's
by NawlinsOriole on Jul 2, 2008 5:14 PM EDT 0 recs
RAZOR is out cloeanup hitter?
I mean, I know he’s been hot th elast 2 weeks, but, really? Razor?
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:24 PM EDT
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Ramon’s been really unlucky this year. He’s hit the ball pretty hard.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 5:26 PM EDT
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which is not to say he doesn't piss me off
but a good second half wouldn’t surprise me.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 5:26 PM EDT
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I can see an uptick
but I don’t see a full-fledged second-half comeback.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:28 PM EDT
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Yeah I agree
I think he’ll do better than he did in the first half but I don’t think it will be a monster second half.
Geaux Eaux's
by NawlinsOriole on
Jul 2, 2008 5:30 PM EDT
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He’s never had a monster anything. I’m just saying he’ll start hitting like Ramon Hernandez again.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 5:32 PM EDT
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I think he’ll do better than he did in the first half
Sure, he can’t do any worse!
Wolf, wolf, wolf.
by birdman on
Jul 2, 2008 6:54 PM EDT
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just repeat this to yourself
“At least it’s not Mora”
or, if that fails
“At least it’s not Fahey”
by getxstoked on
Jul 2, 2008 5:28 PM EDT
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But it could be
1. B-Rob
2. Nicky
3. LUUUUUUUUUUKE
4. Aubrey
5. JayPay
6. Razor
7. Adam Jones, son!
8. MelMo
9. Lil’ Bro
Just sayin’.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:30 PM EDT
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Nick-Luke-Aubrey
Three lefties in a row. Not happening.
Payton at five is just as bad as anything.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 5:31 PM EDT
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unlees it's against the Yankees
and Pettite isn’t starting, DD’s done it a couple times already.
by getxstoked on
Jul 2, 2008 5:33 PM EDT
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I don’t disagree with the idea, either. As has been said before, they take this L-R shit too far.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 5:36 PM EDT
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Roch on O's Extra said
indeed, DD didn’t want 4 lefties in a row. And Brandon Fahey wasn’t an option. Yes, he said that. Sometimes, Roch is actually funny.
And, Roch confirms he asked George Sherrill why did JayPay flip his bill last nihgt. “Casue I blew two in a row,” Sherrill said.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 6:51 PM EDT
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You and your stupid facts
You’re the guy at the bar at 1 am who remembers stuff like, you know, the fumblerooskie has been outlawed, Buckner’s miscue didn’t really lose the Red Sox the Series, and that Hack-A-Shack actually DID work in the playoffs. Reality has a well-known liberal bias!
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:38 PM EDT
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I was thinking
to put someone slightly faster than a dump truck in from of Ramon, instead of a dump truck in front of JayPay.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:40 PM EDT
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And in my ideal world
Jones is hitting at least 6th, if not 2nd or 3rd. I think if he’s sandwiched between B-Rob and Nicky, he’d do the job. But it’s complete gut instinct without a lick of data or analysis to back it up.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:43 PM EDT
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He doesn’t blow it by anyone anymore
I still find that strange. Didn’t he used to throw 96-97? He’s hitting 92 more often.. every once in a while 94.. do you think they told him to sacrifice velocity for control?
by Y Not on Jul 2, 2008 5:20 PM EDT 0 recs
The velocity isn’t the problem I don’t think. A lot of the time his fastball is straighter than a grizzly’s dick. Matt Anderson threw like 102 but these are big league hitters.
But yeah, he’s definitely dropped down and it has to be on purpose. I guess it’s all they could really do.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 5:27 PM EDT
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I think it was Millar who said
You can time a missle if you see it enough times.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 5:28 PM EDT
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According to Walter Matthau, apparently.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 7:12 PM EDT
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What movie is THAT from?
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:12 PM EDT
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Grumpy Old Men
“Gustafson’s straight as a grizzly’s dick, he’d never cheat on his taxes!”
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 7:16 PM EDT
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KC Lineup
1 David DeJesus -LF
2 Mike Aviles – SS
3 Alex Gordon – 3B
4 Jose Guillen – DH
5 Mark Grudzielanek -2B
6 Mark Teahen – RF
7 Ross Gload – 1B
8 John Buck – C
9 Joey Gathright – CF
Geaux Eaux's
by NawlinsOriole on Jul 2, 2008 5:52 PM EDT 0 recs
For those who are interested
Adam Jones’ OPS has finally climbed up to .700 last night.
by math_geek on Jul 2, 2008 6:19 PM EDT 0 recs
woo
He’s almost adequate offensively.
I’m not busting. Not really anyway.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 6:24 PM EDT
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How does that compare with Markakis' 1st year
Is it a similar trajectory or is Jones’ climb to adequacy a bit less pronounced?
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 6:29 PM EDT
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In May 2006 Markakis had a OBP of .270 and a SLG of .288
He was batting .182—AVG doesn’t mean much, but in this case it meant he was BAD
In June his OBP was .403!!!! and his SLG was .400, so he still wasn’t hitting for power at all, but he has gotten quite good at getting on base.
by math_geek on
Jul 2, 2008 6:48 PM EDT
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ALMOST
His OPS+ is now 87. Gettin’ close….
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 6:31 PM EDT
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if you could direct me to a primer on OPS+ i'd be quite grateful
i know statistics, but i’ve never figured out how that works
by math_geek on
Jul 2, 2008 6:41 PM EDT
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That's one I'm still getting a grasp on myself
but I know 100 is league average. I think.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 6:50 PM EDT
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Here's a link from
Hardball Times with a quick explanation.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 6:52 PM EDT
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But his fastball is not so good that he can work six-seven innings off of that pitch exclusively on a consistent basis.
When his fastball has that sinking action, ti’s pretty good enough to work off exclusively. The problem is that he can’t consistently put that sinking action on his pitches. Anyways, TRADE HIM!!!
Wolf, wolf, wolf.
by birdman on Jul 2, 2008 6:57 PM EDT 0 recs
that's what I was saying, but said better
He’s not good enough with it often enough.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 7:01 PM EDT
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He needs that ball to sink
or he needs a changeup. He’s got to have one or the other. Because hitters will catch up to ANY fastball that doesn’t move.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:02 PM EDT
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David DeJesus looks pretty uncomfortable
But not unconfortable enough, apparently.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on Jul 2, 2008 7:07 PM EDT 0 recs
Nice way to kick the game off, dickhead.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on Jul 2, 2008 7:07 PM EDT 0 recs
I'm guessing that's not what the game plan was for Daniel
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:09 PM EDT
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Why do we always have to come from behind?!?!?
I’m getting a little tired of it.
Geaux Eaux's
by NawlinsOriole on Jul 2, 2008 7:11 PM EDT 0 recs
nice throw, Melvin
Dumbass.
Nice tag, Aubrey. F’real.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on Jul 2, 2008 7:11 PM EDT 0 recs
We better get a decent SS prospect for him
in about 4 weeks.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:13 PM EDT
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dudes,
let’s not give up after one inning, okay?
i have to get in the car for 2.5 hours now, so instead of watching this game on my computer, i’ll be listening to john fucking sterling and suzyn fucking waldman.
blechhh.
by zknower on Jul 2, 2008 7:13 PM EDT 0 recs
You know, XM would solve that for ya
Just sayin’.
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:14 PM EDT
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Tweedle-dee and Tweedle-dum
Both of their voices are worse than nails on a chalkboard.
by MiamiMagic on
Jul 2, 2008 7:15 PM EDT
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Waldman’s so hideous that Sterling has to calm her down sometimes. I mean consider THAT.
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on
Jul 2, 2008 7:17 PM EDT
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OK, those Dos Eques commercials are awesome
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on Jul 2, 2008 7:14 PM EDT 0 recs
1-0 PHN
Pedroia went yard off of Kazmir
Geaux Eaux's
by NawlinsOriole on Jul 2, 2008 7:15 PM EDT 0 recs
jesus, Gary
“It’s why Meche has struggled against Baltimore in his career. Four wins, five losses.”
HIS ERA AGAINST BALTIMORE CAREER IS 3.2f-ing6
"Yesterday I was lying, today I am telling the truth." -- Bob Arum
by SC on Jul 2, 2008 7:15 PM EDT 0 recs
Yeah
Gary: “There’s Roberts being Roberts.”
Geaux Eaux's
by NawlinsOriole on
Jul 2, 2008 7:16 PM EDT
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Brian Robers is the second best second baseman in the American league
look it up
by math_geek on Jul 2, 2008 7:16 PM EDT 0 recs
Behind Kinsler, right?
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:17 PM EDT
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Don't, don't believe, don't believe the hype....
"I wasn't here for the losing years. But it feels a little like the days with Earl in charge and John Lowenstein smashing birthday cakes in the middle of the clubhouse with a bat." - John "T-Bone" Shelby
by duck on
Jul 2, 2008 7:19 PM EDT
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He's in the top 10-15 of a lot of offensive categories (hits, runs, 2B, 3B, even OBP/AVG are pretty good in the rankings)
by O'sFan21 on
Jul 2, 2008 7:18 PM EDT
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he's just awesome
any numbers on the number of pitches he sees each at bat?
by math_geek on
Jul 2, 2008 7:20 PM EDT
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