CC's 2009 Prop Bets Results
by Stacey on Oct 5, 2009 11:05 PM EDT
in Fun & Games
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PrintBack in February, SC proposed a Prop Bet contest in lieu of community projections. With the season over, it's time to review those bets. Check out the original post for the contest details. Here are the results:
| Bet | Result |
| Over/Under, Nick Markakis HR total: 23.5 | Under |
| Over/Under, Koji Uehara's starts: 17.5 | Under |
| Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff | Huff |
| Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara | Guthrie |
| Over/under, Felix Pie's on-base percentage: .315.5 | Over |
| Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? | Wieters |
| Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? | Scott |
| Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? | Hill |
| Over/under, Cesar Izturis' stolen bases: 21.5 | Under |
| Over/under, Aubrey Huff's OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 | Under |
| Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? | Sherrill |
| Over/under, Ryan Freel's games played, any role: 110.5 | Under |
| Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? | Mickolio |
| Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? | Wiggy |
| True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. | True |
| Over/under, Adam Jones' strikeouts: 122.5 | Under |
| Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? | Jones |
| Over/under, Chris Waters' starts: 11.5 | Under |
| True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. | False |
| Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 | Under |
And now the final tally. It seems appropriate that the winner is a dude named math geek, don't you think?
| math_geek | $14,000 |
| PhilR8 | $10,800 |
| SC | $10,200 |
| punkrawka | $9,400 |
| Stacey | $8,000 |
| typozzz | $8,000 |
| duck | $7,400 |
| sickuvitall | $6,200 |
| wscott | $6,000 |
| wicked witch | $5,600 |
| dfa | $5,200 |
| Fred Sanford | $5,000 |
| VB O's Guy | $4,000 |
| Chanumas | $3,600 |
| balt-phila | $1,000 |
| Joltin' Joe Orsulak | $800 |
| artmonk4ever | $0 |
| cdavis627 | $0 |
| Nick Markaces | $-3,100 |
| Coach of Earl | $-4,400 |
| silverstadium | $-18,600 |
Congratulations to math_geek! To see the detailed tally for each participant, you can check out my fancy spreadsheet.
- The largest single bet that was correct goes to PhilR8, who bet $11,000 on Felix Pie having an On Base Percentage higher than .315 1/2. Gutsy! That was also my biggest single bet, but I only put down $5,000.
- The largest single bet that was incorrect goes to silverstadium, who put all his eggs into one basket, betting $18,100 that the O's would use more than 12.5 starting pitchers this year. It seemed like a safe bet given the O's history, but they ended the year with 12 different starters. So close!
- math_geek had the most correct bets with 15. silverstadium and Joltin' Joe Orsulak had the least correct answers with 13 each.
- Only five of us (wscott, Fred Sanford, cdavis627, NickMarkaces, and PhilR8) correctly guessed that Nolan Reimold would start more than 12 games.
- Though it was hardly a bold prediction, most of us knew Ryan Freel wouldn't play many games for the Orioles. 18 out of 21 said that he'd get less than 110.5 games as an O. Almost as many knew Chris Waters didn't have a chance, as 17 correctly bet that he'd make less than 11.5 starts.
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haha i think some of these are hilarious
ryan freel’s games played. i rofled. who knew it’d be like 2?
i love how you were like "if i wanted to win, i'd have...."
and you put all of that money on koji picking up more than 17.5 starts……
epic fail
by twistedlogic on Oct 7, 2009 12:52 AM EDT up reply actions
ha ha
I almost put the results to that one too because it was hilarious.
Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts
Decent showing
Can’t believe I bet against Nolan though. I was one of few who was high on him coming into this year…must have been the premature Pie promise.
So do I get the #2 draft pick then?
"I feel like I learned more in eight major league starts than I did in three years of college," -- Brian Matusz
Damn, I did all right
If I wasn’t one of the damned fools who bet on Freel and against Reimold, I coulda been a contenda.
Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
.
"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer
He played for 110 different teams this year, right?
I assume he’s whining about playing time for his church league softball team now
"I hate making excuses. If I suck, then I suck. And I suck. That's the way I'm playing. If you suck, you suck. You have to take responsibility in this game. Right now, that's the way I feel. Yes, I suck." - Jose Guillen/quote of the year
Argh!
If Hendrickson hadn’t come through for us late in the season we would have thrown another starter to the wolves and I would have been at the top of the standings instead of the bottom!
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