2010 CHONE projections for BAL Hitters

by OsandRoyals on Nov 16, 2009 2:09 PM EST

While taking a brief break from dying of overwork, I saw that the 2010 CHONE projections for hitters was up. For those who don't know Chone is a projection system like ZIPS or Bill James' which Stacey used for her 3-part articles projecting, except probably more accurate (at least compared to bill James). Granted these projection systems are all projects or estimates that will vary due to injuries and other factors.the

So without further ado I present the CHONE projections: http://www.baseballprojection.com/2010/BAL2010.htm

Interesting tidbits are:

The highest OBP will be from Nick

No Oriole will slug 500 although four are projected for slugging percentages in the .470s

Our leader in homeruns will be Luke Scott with 21

Nobody will break 100 RBIs or Runs.

These projections seem fairly pessimistic to me and I have the feeling that the true outcome will be somewhere inbetween CHONE and Bill James. Anyway discuss the projections as you will, maybe you can find more interesting tidbits. Or maybe just tell us all who all the nonames are near the bottom of the list. I recognize a handful of players including possible backup catcher Robby Hammock.

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Comments

Yeah, pessimistic

I’d say a happy medium is in order between James and CHONE. Have ZiPS been released?

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Nov 16, 2009 3:16 PM EST reply actions

ZiPS is up next.

Dan just did the Pirates. The Orioles are next.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Nov 16, 2009 3:47 PM EST up reply actions

Nope, sadly

Phillies, then Padres, then O’s.

by dkdc on Nov 16, 2009 6:46 PM EST up reply actions

F*******CK

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Nov 16, 2009 6:59 PM EST up reply actions

If there are some that you guys would like to see in the meantime, I’d be happy to post them.

--
Dan Szymborski
dan@baseballprimer.com

by D.Szymborski on Nov 18, 2009 5:21 PM EST up reply actions

Fuck those fuckin' projections!

by O'sFan21 on Nov 16, 2009 3:27 PM EST reply actions

44 2B for Brian Bob?

32 isn’t that old. I guess CHONE is the conservative answer for BJOL’s pie in the sky predictions.

"I feel like I learned more in eight major league starts than I did in three years of college," -- Brian Matusz

by CoachOfEarl on Nov 16, 2009 3:37 PM EST reply actions

What the what!

If Luke Scott leads us in home runs I will punch myself in the face.

by O Nina on Nov 16, 2009 10:17 PM EST reply actions

hahahah

that hardly seems necessary. I suggest you punch an Oriole in the face instead.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Nov 17, 2009 7:51 AM EST up reply actions

Well...

If he leads the Os in homeruns with less than 25 minimum I will go and punch out all the power hitters on the Os myself…except Jones. Wouldn’t want him to injure himself or something

by OsandRoyals on Nov 17, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions

Speaking of Chone

will we have any chance in signing Chone Figgins this offseason? He beat us up this season.

by Ravens Boner on Nov 17, 2009 7:11 PM EST reply actions

I hope not.

"I hate making excuses. If I suck, then I suck. And I suck. That's the way I'm playing. If you suck, you suck. You have to take responsibility in this game. Right now, that's the way I feel. Yes, I suck." - Jose Guillen/quote of the year

by getxstoked on Nov 17, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions

Yeah, I'd hate...

…to have a speedy guy with a .380+ OBP and a good 3B glove at the top of the order to be driven in by Markakis, Wieters, Reimold.

by sabertooth5185 on Nov 18, 2009 2:30 PM EST up reply actions

Who’ll cost a ton of money and who will be 32 next season which is especially worrisome given that speed, one of his main assets, is a sensitive to aging. I like Figgins. I just wouldn’t break the bank for him.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Nov 18, 2009 3:21 PM EST up reply actions