Minor League Scouting Reports
Wanted to share some of my Orioles scouting reports that I have written for my website.
Brian Matusz: Regarded as the top pitcher in the 2008 class, Matusz was drafted by the Orioles 4th overall. The Orioles organization continued their willingness to spend money in the draft as they need to do this to be a competitive team. Matusz breezed through the minor leagues in 2009, eventually making his MLB debut with the Orioles. He demonstrated elite command in the minors and that should carry over to the major leagues along with his ability to strikeout batters and get ground balls.
Matusz should be a lock to make the Orioles opening day rotation in 2010. Matusz has potential to be a #1 starter in the MLB and should emerge as the leader of the Baltimore rotation by 2011. He is still eligible as a 2010 rookie and I see him as the front runner for AL rookie of the year.
Scouting: Matusz has a unique set of pitches, not many pitchers come into pro ball with his type of secondary stuff. His curveball is his best pitch and he can command it to both sides of the plate. His change up is also an above average pitch. His fast ball works in the 90-92 mph range, sometimes touching 94 mph. He also has an average slider. He needs to establish his fastball better, in order for his other pitches to work more effectively. He tends to lean away from his fastball at times.
More after the jump.
Zach Britton: Zach Britton exploded onto the scene with Frederick in 2009. His amazing combination of strikeouts (8.42 K/9 IP) and ground balls (3.40 GO/FO) gives him the ability to get batters out quickly, and use less pitches. He has also improved his strikeout rate every year that he has been in the minor leagues. Britton has decent command at 3.54 BB/9 IP, and keeps the ball in the park, allowing just .39 HR/9 IP while holding opposing batters to only a .238 average.Britton has the makeup of an excellent big league starter who I compare to Justin Masterson. Britton has the potential of a #2 starter, and I can definitely see him reaching that potential.
Scouting: Britton is known as a ground ball pitcher. His fastball sits in the 88-91 range. He has a nice sinker/slider combo. He gets a lot of ground balls shown by his 3.40 GO/FO ratio this season. He has an inconsistent change up, but it is improving. He needs to improve his command, and throw more strikes. He has a frame to which he could get bigger, which could help his velocity.
Jake Arrieta: The 2007 draft was huge for the Orioles’ organization. The Orioles finally decided to spend money on the players they wanted in the draft. The Orioles signed Arrieta to an over slot bonus for $1.1 million. Arrieta throws a great fastball, and also has a curve, slider, and change up in his arsenal. He dominated at Double A Bowie, and got called up to Triple A Norfolk. Arrieta had some rough starts at first, but settled in and finished with a solid 3.93 ERA.
I believed that Arrieta had the chance to be better than Matusz and Tillman, but I do not see that anymore. I think Arrieta will settle in nicely as a #3 starter behind Tillman and Matusz. Arrieta does still have potential to be a front of the rotation starter, but I still see him turning out to be an above average #3 starter.
Scouting: He is currently playing at AAA Norfolk. Arrieta will be the last of the "Big Three" to reach the big leagues. Although he has potential to be the best out of any of the three (Matusz and Tillman). He has a great fastball which he can command which can reach 96-97 MPH. He has a slow big breaking curveball which he needs to work on. His slider could end up being his best pitch and it has lots of potential. His change up should become better as he uses it more.
Josh Bell: Josh Bell came to the Orioles in the trade for George Sherrill. Bell is a switch hitter, power third basemen. Bell has tremendous bat speed from both sides of the plate. Bell struggles against lefties, and tends to lift the ball as a right handed hitter. With Bowie in 2009 Bell hit .353 against righties, but only .143 against lefties. I would like to see bell trying some at bats against lefties, as a left handed hitter. This would tell me if Bell should stick with switch hitting or not.
Bell should make his MLB debut in 2010 with the Orioles. He has a slight chance to make the opening day roster, but I do not see that happening. Bell was just added to the Orioles’ 40-man roster which is a good sign that he will see some MLB playing time this year. Bell has 25-30 home runs power potential with the ability to hit .260-.280 annually.
Scouting: Bell has lots of raw power, and has a nice swing with good leverage. He uses the whole field. He has some defensive concerns at third due to his range but does have an above average arm. He has recently been more dedicated to his career. Bell should turn out to be a middle of the order bat if he reaches his ceiling.
Brandon Erbe: Brandon Erbe has really become one of my favorite Oriole prospects. I really believe that Erbe will sort out his problems and become a major leaguer. Or should I say problem. Erbe really only has one major problem, which is his command. If he can sort his command out he really has loads of potential and a very high ceiling.
Erbe should start 2010 with Triple A Norfolk, if he performs well there he could be in Baltimore by mid-2010 as a middle reliever. Erbe has the potential to be a #2 started if he can sort out his command issues. He was placed on the 40-man roster for the Orioles.
Scouting: Erbe greatly improved in two back to back years at High A Frederick. He improved his ERA by almost 2 runs. His change up needs improvement and is still an average pitch. He has improved his command but still leaves the ball up evidenced by his 21 home runs given up in 2008. His fastball can reach the mid 90's but he generally works in the low 90's. His slider should become a plus pitch if he continues to develop it.
More reports to come later........
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2 recs |
26 comments
Comments
Feel free to critisize, also say what you like!
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 12:29 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Few things
Erbe has 2 problems: command and injuries. Not that the injuries have been terribly severe, but they seem to come a little too often.
I don’t quite follow the comparison between Britton and Justin Masterson. Unless there are some statistical similarities, I just don’t see it.
Arrieta can likely hit 96-97mph consistently, but in game situations it is normally closer to 93-94…which is still nothing to sneeze at.
Great post, thanks for the info.
by sickuvitall on Nov 27, 2009 9:40 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Yeah thats all true
Erbe – I wrote that he needed to improve command, and yeah I agree with the injuries, just didnt put it in.
Britton – I compare him to Justin Masterson because they both have a good sinker, and get tons of ground balls with striekouts.
Arrieta – I said can “reach” 96-97, I just didnt put what it normally sits at.
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 10:59 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sitting at 93-94 as a starter
is fucking awesome! There really aren’t that many starters in the major leagues that ACTUALLY sit at 93-94.
by O'sFan21 on Nov 27, 2009 12:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah Arrietas fastball is great
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 2:18 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Seriously.
If he actually has command of it at that velocity, and if it still has some movement, that is downright fantastic.
Are any of his secondary pitches well-developed? It sounds like they all still need a lot of work.
Weaver's Fourth Law: Your most precious possessions on offense are your twenty-seven outs.
by Vuff on Nov 27, 2009 2:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
The reason he is still at Triple A and will likely spend more time there is to work on his change up and slider.
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 2:46 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Any idea what the potential of each of his secondary pitches is?
Sounds like you’re thinking his slider could be above-average, and that he’ll hopefully be able to get the curve and change to be average pitches. If so, that’d be quite solid, especially if he’s throwing 93-94 regularly.
Thanks for the info, man. Good stuff.
Weaver's Fourth Law: Your most precious possessions on offense are your twenty-seven outs.
by Vuff on Nov 27, 2009 5:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah his slider definitley has potential to be a plus pitch
Arrieta has tons of potential. I used to think he could be the best of Matusz and Tillman. I don’t see that anymre, but Arrieta can still be great with two plus pitches (fastball, slider) and above average curve and change is probably going to be his least used pitch
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 5:51 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
this is very true
Over at fangraphs, these are the best 5 amongst starters:
Jimenez, 96.1
Verlander, 95.6
Josh Johnson, 95.1
Edwin Jackson, 94.5
AJ Burnett, 94.2
Librarians are hiding something
by dfa on Nov 27, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah that Josh Johnson name jumps out at me. Wouldn't mind seeing him in an O's uni.
by O'sFan21 on Nov 28, 2009 12:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I was thinking about him a lot
Does the cost outway the need?
by Dr Orpheus on Nov 28, 2009 8:35 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good post
Your websites cool, like the prospect list a lot, just check over some of your work because there are some mistakes in prospects reviews on LJ Hoes, and a few others
"I Can't Wait Until Tomorrow...'Cause I Get Better Looking Every Day" Joe Namath
by Civardi on Nov 27, 2009 2:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Thanks I will go through it
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 2:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
proofread a little too.
there are some typos. :)
"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic
by zknower on Nov 27, 2009 5:11 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah I'm going through everything now
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 27, 2009 5:49 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Britton
I was thinking about Zach Britton the other day while trying to come up with a ceiling. I came up with Andy Pettitte.
At age 20, in the SALLY, Britton’s components: 147.1 IP, 7.0 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 2.33 K/BB
At age 21, in A+, 140 IP, 8.4 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 2.38 K/BB
At age 20, in the SALLY, Pettitte’s components: 168 IP, 7.0 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 2.33 K/BB
At age 21, in A+, 160 IP, 7.4 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 2.74 K/BB
I’m not sure where to get GB/FB on both, but I’d love to see Britton have a reasonable facsimile of Pettitte’s career obviously.
Librarians are hiding something
by dfa on Nov 28, 2009 9:25 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Very good comp
Seems like something I could post to my website if you don’t mind me stealing your idea! :p
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Nov 28, 2009 9:44 PM EST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Great stuff
I hope they can all reach their ceilings. I really hope to see Arrieta, Erbe, Bell, and Snyder soon and I hope they all pan out. Britton is a great addition for our arms too; though, I was hoping he threw a bit hard, but it’s all good! Is L.J. Hoes suppose to be our future 2B? I haven’t read much into him. Also, I was very excited about Ryan Berry. I hope the kids stays healthy and dominates. Great site.
by LoveForTheGame13 on Dec 4, 2009 1:05 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Berry is a favorite of mine as well
Hoes can be out heir to Roberts, if he can improve his defense, and he still needs to show more at the plate. But he has potential to be an MLB 2B
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Dec 4, 2009 6:51 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
They have time on that
There’s always a chance a trade or draft brings in a better option at 2nd before B-Rob’s contract runs out.
by Dr Orpheus on Dec 5, 2009 9:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
Just saying he has potential to do that, not necessarily that it will happen.
Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com
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by ravensfan3 on Dec 5, 2009 9:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He does throw pretty hard. He touches 95 and lives in the 91-93 range. He actually upped his fastball velocity this past year. You can clearly see in his statistics(k/9, ERA, FIP and GB%) as he added velocity and improved his stuff since he has been a pro.
by QBsIllest1 on Dec 8, 2009 4:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs



























