Your Player Projections

by ravensfan3 on Nov 8, 2009 9:49 PM EST Comment 12 comments

Thought it would be fun to predict Orioles players basic stats for 2010. Here are some of my favorites one:

Brad Bergesen: 3.80 ERA 13-11 200 IP 100K 30BB

Chris Tillman: 3.95 ERA 9-9 170 IP 145K 80BB

Brian Matusz: 3.65 ERA 14-8 185 IP 180K 76BB

Nolan Reimold: .290/.380/.480 29HR, 8 SB

Matt Wieters .310/.390/.500 25HR

Feel free to criticize, and post your own.

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I like Reimold...

I just don’t see him hitting 29 next year. I’d be excited if he did, but 20-25 seems a bit more realistic….

by NewYorkOriole on Nov 9, 2009 12:38 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I find the home run totals to be the most plausible

But if these predictions really happen, the Orioles are a playoff contender. That said, I don’t think that Wieters puts up an OPS equivalent to Evan Longoria or that Reimold puts up the equivalent of Andre Ethier. I don’t think we have the equivalent of a rotation of Ryan Dempster, John Danks, and Matt Garza either. Put it this way: the only starters in baseball who pitched 200+ innings and had less than 40 BBs were Pineiro, Carpenter, Halladay and Haren. You have Wieters having a better OBP than Mark Teixeira.

by James F on Nov 9, 2009 1:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I don't see Reimold being THAT much of a power threat.

I’d say 17 dongs.

I now have a blog: http://justanotherbaltimoresportsblog.blogspot.com/

by BaltimoreSportsFan on Nov 9, 2009 4:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Orioles should trade some young arms for Roy Halladay

How about Tillman, Hernandez and Arrieta For Halladay. Starting rotation would be Halladay, Bergesen, Matusz, Guthrie, and a fifth to be named. I would love to see it. Halladay is a horse. I dont care if hes 32. The great ones pitch until 42. We would still have Erbe. And Berken.

by snikin2 on Nov 9, 2009 5:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Halladay is a free agent after next season

So that deal is more than a lot crazy. You could have him for Tillman alone right now. And be overpaying.

by James F on Nov 9, 2009 7:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

No way you get Tillman for Halladay straight up.

But any deal would still be crazy.

by kba26 on Nov 9, 2009 8:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

IF THAT WERE TRUE

They should do it. I dont think Jays would trade Halladay for Tillman. Halladay gives us extra 10-15 wins easy. Not to mention the young guns absorbing his insight.

by snikin2 on Nov 9, 2009 9:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Now that is a lot of wins.

The stock market will never recover, our armies will never again be #1, and our children will drink filthy water for the rest of their lives - HST

by the fix is in on Nov 10, 2009 12:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Projections

If you all are already doing projections, how about hopping over to http://camdencrazies.com/2010-orioles-projections/ and filling them in for me as well. I’m hoping to use the wisdom of crowds approach to predict how the Orioles will do next year. Click on a player and put in his name, playing time (number of plate appearances for position players or innings pitched for pitchers), production (BA/OBP/SLG for position players or ERA for pitchers), position(s), defense (on a -15 to +15 scale), and baserunning (on a -5 to +5 scale).

Before Spring Training I’m going to pull them all together and see what we get.

by KakesForROY on Nov 9, 2009 7:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

those are ridiculous projections

i’m all about being optimistic, but talk about delusions of grandeur

by twistedlogic on Nov 9, 2009 10:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

+1

All pitchers not named Tim Lincecum go through a sophomore slump. Reimold and Wieters stats are more on the fourth year projections. They still have to face Yankee and Red Sox pitching.

When you're born into the human race you're given a ticket to the freak show. When you're born in America, you're given a front row seat. And some of us have notepads.-George Carlin

by Afghanistan Steve on Nov 10, 2009 9:26 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Bergesen: Agree with all of his stats except I don’t see him having almost +1.3 in his K/B ratio.
Tillman: Bit higher of an ERA (I see around 4.15). I think his K/B ratio is accurate.
Matusz: Agree with ERA, I doubt his strikeout to walk ratio will decline in 2010. You have him at a K/B rating of 2.36, when last year (MLB only) his K/9 rating was 2.71.
Reimold: Agree with the average projection, but 29 HRs is too much. Look for more around 23 HRs.
Wieters: Slugging .500 and hitting 25 HRs is unlikely, cause I just don’t think power comes that quickly. However, batting .310 is accurate.

by ColbertNation on Nov 14, 2009 1:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs