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Report: Deal in Place to send Millwood to Baltimore for Chris Ray

EDIT [Stacey, 11:08 PM]: This is officially a done deal. Ray and a PTBNL to the Rangers, Millwood and cash to the O's. Lots of feel good quotes and such in this Sun article

Per Jeff Zriebec at the Baltimore Sun, the Orioles have a tentative deal in place with the Texas Rangers that would bring starting pitcher Kevin Millwood to the Orioles and send up-and-down relief pitcher Chris Ray to the Rangers. The Rangers would also send an undetermined amount of money to the Orioles to help offset Millwood's $12M salary. The deal is contingent upon review of medical records but could be finished by this evening.

I went on record just over a week ago with my belief that Kevin Millwood would be a bad pickup for the Orioles. I'm still not super excited about it, but the fact is that Chris Ray is hardly worth getting upset over. It's clear the Rangers needed to dump salary and this is how they chose to do so.  It's clear the Orioles wanted to pick up a veteran starter and this his how they chose to do so.

In 2009 the Orioles desperately needed a pitcher who could pitch deep into games, and it's likely Millwood will give them that in 2010. In 31 starts in 2009, Millwood went at least 5 innings in all but two starts, one of which was due to a rain delay. He pitched at least 6 innings in 23 of his starts. In his 13 year career Millwood has averaged 178 innings/year and has that includes his rookie year in 1997 when he threw 51 innings over 12 starts. For his career he averages 6.133 innings/game.

Star-divide

I don't hate this deal. I don't love it, but I don't hate it. Best case scenario is that Millwood gives the Orioles more than 6 innings/start and is flipped for a few extra players after Jake Arrieta has established that he's ready to join the rotation. Mid-case he's with the O's all year, provides stability, and gives the bullpen a break. Worst case is that his 35 year old body will start to break down and the O's will have spent a load of cash on nothing.

So welcome to Birdland, Kevin Millwood. Treat us right and we'll like you ok.

As for the player leaving the birds, Chris Ray has had a few shining moments with the Orioles but in recent history has proven to be expendable. He'd been with the club since 2005, the only Oriole who could say that other than Brian Roberts. After a good rookie season setting up B.J. Ryan, Ray took the sting out of Ryan's departure by earning 33 saves with a 2.73 ERA (167 ERA+) in 2006. A substandard 2007 was cut short by injury and he missed the entire 2008 season after having elbow surgery. The O's had high hopes for him in 2009 but he couldn't deliver. He bounced between the O's, AAA Norfolk, and the disabled list, racking up a 7.27 ERA in 46 appearances.

I always liked Chris Ray, but it got so that I didn't like seeing him come into games. Godspeed, young man. Thanks for 2006.

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At the very least

I think this move is better than some of the Luke Scott/ Derek Lowe/ Rafael Soriano rumors. Welcome Kevin Millwood.

by cjatud2012 on Dec 9, 2009 3:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think this is the kind of stop gap you want. Eats innings, goes deep, doesn’t tax the ’pen, veteran mentor, etc.

Plus, anytime you can get starting pitching for a reliever like Ray you do it.

I think this will pay dividends. Not a flashy move, more like buying a new set of tires.

From the Land of Pleasant Living...

by OEutaw on Dec 9, 2009 3:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

your second point speaks to why the trigger was pulled, IMO.

by bigity b on Dec 9, 2009 4:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ehh...

I’m indifferent. I liked Ray and I think he may have needed more time but Millwood could prove to be much more valuable than Ray.

I’m sure I’ll get to see Ray here in OKC with the TEX AAA team before the season is out.

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 3:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I like it.

Now bring me a healthy Bedard on a sliver platter, Andy, and maybe I’ll start thinking about what to get you for christmas.

"Believe it or not, I read the paper." - Nick Markakis

by 2632 on Dec 9, 2009 3:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Oh

I’ve pretty much convinced myself that Bedard is gonna be an Oriole in 2010. It’s may be to the point that if it doesn’t happen I’ll be totally upset.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:22 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Heh, me too

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 3:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not me

I now have a blog: http://justanotherbaltimoresportsblog.blogspot.com/

by BaltimoreSportsFan on Dec 9, 2009 5:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I really don’t want another SP in the mix unless it is one of our SP prospects. Only way I would really want Bedard is if he won’t be ready until a few months in. I love the idea we wanna win, but lets not get carried away, the idea here is to let the pitching prospects get ML innings in if they are ready for the ML. If we add another vet SP with Millwood to the rotation, one of our future rotation anchors will be left out….

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 3:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think that it's highly unrealistic to think that we won't need more starting pitching

PItchers don’t work out, they get injured, they would be better in the bullpen, etc. Having Bedard around would only help this team.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Of course pitchers don’t work out, but if we want to seriously start competing in 2011, then we have to get the players their ML experience as soon as they are ready before we compete. If we sign Bedard, yes we will win more games in 2010, but do you think that will make us win more games as a result in 2011 when things really start to matter? I don’t personally…..And who would Bedard bump out of the rotation? I can’t imagine Bergy or Matusz getting bumped out since they are the most ML ready to eat innings while giving quality production, so would we then stunt Tillman’s acclimation period to the ML until later this year or 2011? I just don’t like the idea of that. This year we need Tillman, Matusz, Bergy, and Arrieta to get a good amount of ML IP. At this point in our rebuild IMO we cannot afford to wait for Tillman and/or Arrieta to get their IP and get acclimated until someone in our rotation gets hurt or doesn’t do well.

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 4:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If the Orioles sign Erik Bedard

It’s not as a stop gap. it’s to be on the team when it is contending. Do you honestly think that all of the O’s prospects would end up pitching better than a healthy Erik Bedard?

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 4:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I couldn’t imagine all of our rpospects pitching better than a pre labrum surgery Bedard, but post labrum surgery, he is almost a wildcard. Regardless, that is aside from the point, and I see what you are getting at. But on the same notion, we absolutely need Tillman, Matusz and Bergy on the OD rotation. If we sign Bedard, I would hope we have another deal lined up to trade Guthrie. We could always go with a 6 man rotation as well. It will be interesting to see how things shape up…..

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 4:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Tillman, Matusz, Bergy, Guthrie, Millwood

I don’t think Bedard would be ready on OD.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 4:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good move, potentially

If he does decent he can provide us an extra draft pick next year. Though, he is the bigger picture. If he we sign Bedard, he won’t be ready for a while, of course. The Orioles could always consider trading Millwood to a contending team who desperately needs an innings eater, which can provide us with more prospects. Afterwards, Bedard replaces him. If MacPhail pulls something like that off, he will be a bigger genius.

by LoveForTheGame13 on Dec 9, 2009 4:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that this acquisition offers us some flexibility. It all depeneds on how he performs this year. Millwood could also become a type A FA and the O’s could get some draft picks for him if he turns down arbitration…..

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 4:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bedard being late could help

Imagine the kickstart he would be after the ASG when the O’s typically start their dive to the bottom of the division…

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 7:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I read somewhere that the Orioles only have interest in pitchers that are going to be healthy on opening day.. I need to start marking where i read these things..

What up?

by snakethejake on Dec 9, 2009 5:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Also Bedard won't be ready for the beginning of the season.

Lots of time to see how things shake out/who gets injured.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I dont want to see Bedard pitch for the orioles, just a press conference where he puts the jersey back on

Maybe with Adam Jones and Chris Tillman laughing at a crying Bill Bavasi in the back of the room

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 3:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Make that a healthy Erik Bedard, Adrian Beltre, and Bill Bavasi’s head on a silver platter. Seriously, how funny would it be if we got both of them? The head thing might be a little weird, but I think AMac could do it.

Also, while we’re at it, if the Dodgers are really shopping Sherrill, let’s get him back too and really stick it to ’em.

by Dr. J on Dec 9, 2009 3:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

almost forgot

Bring Tejada back too.

by Dr. J on Dec 9, 2009 3:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No on Tejada and Beltre

But I could go for getting Flat Breezy back in here.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Tejada at 3rd with his BA?

I’d do it.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 3:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah his stats would be ok

I liked Miggi while he was here but given the reports of the clubhouse in those days I’m not eager to bring any of those guys back. We got rid of Mora, now all of the old guard is gone minus B-Rob. Let’s keep it that way.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I am not being (completely) serious

I just think it would be hilarious to field a team with Sherrill, Bedard, Tejada, Jones, Tillman, Scott, Sarfate, and Albers. We would have to bring up Bell, Johnson, Mickolio and Patton, right? The fact that 30% of our forty man roster could consist of players that we recently traded to other teams and players that we got in return for said trade chips is plain ridiculous. It’s got me all giggly.

If I were Andy MacPhail, I would totally try to pull it off. And, of course, that is exactly why he is a GM and I am not.

by Dr. J on Dec 9, 2009 3:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We got a player that’s not worth much for a player that’s worth even less. Sounds fine to me. Only problem is that we got older. But Milwood is heads and tails better than Alfredo Simon, Adam Eaton, or Steve Traschel.

Our rotation now looks like… Bergeson, Matusz, Guthrie, Tillman, Millwood. That’s a very reasonable 1-5. Getting Bedard back would be pretty freaking awesome though.

by math_geek on Dec 9, 2009 3:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

agreed to all.

by bigity b on Dec 9, 2009 4:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Erm

http://www.rangers.scottlucas.com/archives/2009/11/on_millwood.html

Worth a read about our new pitcher.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 3:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

wow that's a lot of info

I’ll have to take a look at all of it when I’m not at work.

I do agree that some of Millwood’s stats in ’09 were from smoke and mirrors.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Look at it this way

What fun would it be bitching in 2010 if we didn’t have at least one lousy contract to deal with?

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 4:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

As many people have said and we discussed in the other thread

All that stuff is just dandy with me because we gave up essentially nothing to get him and he’ll eat innings.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Comment from QBsllest1

Originally posted as a Fan Post @ 3:21 PM

You have got to be happy about this deal if it goes down as advertised….

Aside from the money aspects and the fact that we traded away a guy we were close to non tendering, but this adds a decent arm to the rotation who will eat innings and allow guys like Erbe and Arrieta to not be rushed. It also puts less strain on the bullpen and will keep the pen stronger for the youngsters like Matusz and Tillman. Not to mention, Millwood could have another decent season making our 2010 Orioles a fairly strong team. Does Guthrie return to prior form? If he does, we will have 5 pitchers all capable of pitching like mid to front end starters. Of course there are a bunch of “what ifs”, but it isn’t out of the realm of possibility that Millwood gives us a 4.25 ERA, Guthrie a 4.00 ERA, Bergy a 4.00 ERA, Matusz a 3.85 ERA and Tillman a 4.00 ERA. This would give us one of the better rotations in the league to consistently win games. Of course, without a true ace (yet), we wouldn’t do quite as well 1 on 1 with the Yanks or Sox.

 Regardless, you have to be happy with the deal IMO….

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

This is an easy win for the O's

Starting pitcher with a career low WAR of 2.4 for an average at best reliever who is yet to crack 0.5 WAR (as per Fangraphs). Even with salary (Ranger’s said to be kicking in $3m on the $12m total), Millwood will only not be worth $9m if he happens to have his worst career year with the O’s (not that that is impossible or even unlikely given our reclamation projects in the past). No, Millwood does not represent the O’s ascent into the stratosphere of AL East contention, but, viewed as a trade between these two teams and the commodities transacted, this is an easy O’s victory.

by salvotion on Dec 9, 2009 3:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I agree with Stacey

I like it because he won’t stink and he will make excellent trade bait when the All-Star Break rolls around and the Orioles are 15 games out of first place.

by dj-squared on Dec 9, 2009 3:36 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'm down.

If it had been for more than Chris Ray, I’d be annoyed, but for just Chris Ray, he’s worth a shot. Welcome, friend.

"He's a gazelle." -Adam Jones on Nolan Reimold.

by LenaO on Dec 9, 2009 3:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

From Jerry Crasnick via Twitter/Big League Stew

Scott Boras on reported trade of Kevin Millwood from Texas to Baltimore: "That is not done. I’m sure there are discussions,‘’ Boras said. "But the reports we have are that nothing has been completed.’’

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

that's probably it

hence the word “tentative.” I took out the word traded from the headline, though, just in case.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

WHY THIS IS A BRILLIANT MOVE

General rule is that anytime you can get anything for a reliever, you do it. This is why the Dodgers got hosed in the Sherril deal. Starting pitcher that has a track record for 180 innings a season? You do it. Think about it. Why do we keep hanging on to Guthrie? He eats innings. That is what he does.

Regardless, this trade is fool proof because we’re paying at most three-fourths of Millwood’s salary for one year. Say the guy pitches 180 innings and blows up – gets eaten alive by the Yanks and Red Sox. No big deal… you had him for a year, he turns down arbitration (Scott Boras clients always do) and he ends up being a sparkling Type A or B free agent that nets us more picks… we’ve been pretty good at those lately.

Second scenario, he pitches 180 innings and we flip him for more prospects at the deadline to a contending team. Even better.

Third scenario, he’s actually decent – he does have a career history of pitching below the ERA average, provides a veteran presence for our young staff that rarely gets hurt, and believe it or not, has a reputation for pitching well in hitters’ parks (he did so in Texas, Cleveland and Philly). The only problem is that darn 12 million dollar salary.

Last scenario – he gets hurt, barely pitches and we eat nine million. And we release him on a pretty good gamble.

If McPhail were to land Bedard, I’d be stoked. That’s got six game win streaks written all over it.

by Kooz on Dec 9, 2009 3:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Does his no-trade clause come with him?

If so, that’ll make him hard to flip at the deadline, I would think.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 3:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

nah

players will waive no-trades to go to contending teams. deadline trades are always to contending teams.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 7:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Why do we keep hanging on to Guthrie?

Because before 2009 he had two solid years? What a short memory everyone has.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Who is this "Guthrie"?

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 3:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

duh

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's because pitchers in MLB baseball

that come on the cheap, don’t get hurt and pitch a whole season are considered “gold” in today’s MLB. They’re rarities now.

So not the days of Jim Palmer.

by Kooz on Dec 9, 2009 4:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Say the guy pitches 180 innings and blows up – gets eaten alive by the Yanks and Red Sox. No big deal… .

And let’s face it, this is the most likely scenario. We’ll most likely pay $9M for crappy performance but a lot of innings. I would rather see that money spent on the draft. And let David Hernandez take his lumps in the rotation.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 4:52 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

That's the thing

It’s not stopping us from spending money on the draft. The O’s have almost $40M in bad contracts that came off this off-season. Even if Millwood’s a bust, we’re still +$30M over last year…

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 7:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It’s not stopping us from spending money on the draft.

You’re right. I’m not suggesting it would. We have tons of money coming off the books this off season. But I would rather see the O’s go cheap on the 40 man roster and reinvest in player development. If the budget doesn’t work that way, then fine.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I just don't see how this signing is a hindrance

to anything else the O’s want to do. We HOPE Berken or Hernandez or Erbe or Arietta perform at a league-average level this year. For $9 million, we have a much better chance of getting 180 IP at league-average performance, if slightly below, from a guy who’s been around league average for 10 years.

Let’s face it, the O’s were 19-20 in games started by Bergesen, Tillman and Matusz last year, iirc. Millwood’s average year would look a little better than that.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 8:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I just don’t see how this signing is a hindrance

I never said it was hindrance. I just said that I want that money spent elsewhere. Let’s overpay for Chapman for example.

For $9 million, we have a much better chance of getting 180 IP at league-average performance, if slightly below, from a guy who’s been around league average for 10 years.

I’m not really caught up in W-Ls in 2010.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Andy MacPhail said he is

Phase I is over. Time for the kids to grow up. And a big brother who’s been around the block just showed up.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 9:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Weaver's Fourth Law: Your most precious possessions on offense are your twenty-seven outs.

by Vuff on Dec 9, 2009 9:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Andy MacPhail said he is

Well, if Andy said it…

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 12:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hard to judge

this deal without knowing the dollar amounts involved.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 9, 2009 3:58 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Rosenthal is reporting

$3M to the O’s.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 3:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah that's the only kicker

if it’s 6 million, i’m dancing all the way to Camden opening day.

But 9 million on a guy with a track record for being durable… I guess I’d do it. It’s only for one year, which was my point.

Also, nobody is saying this, but John Daniels over there in Texas is starting to kill it. Talk about Cornell guys taking over. He gets rid of Millwood’s contract option, opens up a spot in the rotation for Neftali Feliz and gets McPhail to pay nine million. Well done sir, well done. Not bad for a salary dump.

by Kooz on Dec 9, 2009 4:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So $9 Mil then...

…for one year? What’s the point? Useless deal.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 9, 2009 5:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

unless, of course he pitches like he did in any of the past 5 years, in which case, we get some extra value by having a mediocre starting pitcher.

Mediocre starting pitchers are in fact worth 10 million + dollars. Don’t ask me why.

by math_geek on Dec 9, 2009 5:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Again

This deal is a waste of time and money. It’s doing something for the sake of doing something. We got a middling $9 Million old fart for one season. Better off saving the money and going after a younger plus player.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 9, 2009 8:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

This contract won't stop us from doing that

Even with this deal, the O’s are $30M less than last year’s payroll.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 8:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's $9 Million less from doing that...

…which last I heard was a fair amount of money. About 2/3 of certain plus position player’s and half of an Ace’s annual salary. Honestly though I’m just not for spinning the tires in the mud moves and that’s what this is. It’s not a move to get good. It’s a move to not suck so bad.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 8:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess I'm of the opinion

That even if 2010 isn’t the year the O’s put it all together, they still have to go out there and play the games. And I’ll still be watching the games. Kevin Millwood is no great shakes, about this we agree, but if he can go out there and pitch 6+ innings every time out without getting totally destroyed, that’s good for the team. It’s good for the bullpen, it’s good for the hitters, it’s good for the fans, it’s good.

I know there is the mindset that it is either be a contender or fuck it all, let’s tank the season by throwing Berken out there for 35 starts because what does it matter. Well, I think it matters. It matters for the morale of the team, it matters for the beleaguered fan base, and not to mention not many teams go from losing 90 games to winning 90 games. So Kevin Millwood isn’t a stud and won’t be part of the next great Orioles team, but he can help bridge the gap between a crappy season and a great season. He can go out there and give you some innings. His being there allows Jake Arrieta and whoever else to take as much time as they need to get everything straightened out and not be rushed. Having a Millwood in there instead of a Berken will keep the offense in the game, help keep the team going in the right direction. Maybe not all the time, but more than Berken could probably.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 10:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's actually

hear! hear!

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 10, 2009 2:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

actually

that article says its “hear, hear!”

ya know, if we are getting nitpicky…

by daveh873 on Dec 10, 2009 9:16 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

"if we are getting nitpicky…"

Hear, hear is an expression used as a short repeated form of hear him, hear him. It represents a listener’s agreement with the point being made by a speaker.

It was originally an imperative for directing attention to speakers, and has since been used, according to the Oxford English Dictionary, as “the regular form of cheering in the House of Commons”, with many purposes depending on the intonation of its user. It is often incorrectly spelled “here here”, especially on websites and IM.

The phrase hear him, hear him! was used in Parliament from the late 1600s, and had been reduced to hear! or hear, hear! by the late 1700s. The verb hear had earlier been used in the King James Bible as a command for others to listen.

Other phrases have been derived from hear, hear, such as a hear, hear (a cheer), to hear-hear (to shout the expression), and hear-hearer (a person who does the same).

"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." Churchill,1942-- a rebuilding year.

by Titov on Dec 11, 2009 4:02 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

know there is the mindset that it is either be a contender or fuck it all, let’s tank the season by throwing Berken out there for 35 starts because what does it matter. Well, I think it matters. It matters for the morale of the team, it matters for the beleaguered fan base, and not to mention not many teams go from losing 90 games to winning 90 games.

I don’t disagree with any of this. I just indifferent to the whole morale, beleaguered fan base thing. I’m not hating the Millwoood move. I’m mostly indifferent because I don’t think it accomplishes much. But it doesn’t do any harm so I’m really pissed about it either.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 12:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

then what was the point of arguing?

nobody said it was accomplishing anything other than getting us a starter for what i think was a pretty crappy middle reliever

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:39 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

then what was the point of arguing?

who’s trying to turn it into an argument?!! geez, not everything has to be about winning points.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wtf

have you even READ what you’ve posted the whole time. the ZIPS factor on your arguing is pretty high.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m really not trying to be obtuse, but I reallly don’t understand your point here. Yes, I have pointed to ZIPS. I think ZIPS is a fair projection of Millwood. I don’t see how a ZIPS projection dismantles what Stacey said.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

sorry

i may or may not have been very very intoxicated when i posted that.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

LOL, no problem.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 12:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What's the point?

Having a guy throw 6-7 innings every 5th day and generally knowing what you’re going to get and saving the shit out of your weak ass bullpen. And all we had to give up was a terrible middle reliever who may not have even made the team. That’s the point.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

$9 Million...

….for a meager prospect flip? Waste of money. Seriously whenever the prospect flip argument is being made immediately after the deal goes down, you know the deal is meaningless, and probably not worth doing.

Here’s some better things to do with that money and our time.

1. Get a REAL pitcher, who’s not as long in the tooth for a multiyear contract.
2. Assuming that doesn’t shake out, try some shit out. Do the incentive laden deals. Get some foreign guys. That $9 Million could’ve just been the money that put us over the top for Aroldis Chapman.

Basically try things out. That’s what sucking gives you the freedom to do. Putting Millwood out there is the GM equivalent of small ball. If you make plays for mediocrity that’s all you’ll ever be.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 9:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My worry

is that the Orioles have this master plan to upgrade in the rotation, bullpen, and corner infield spots in order to get to 80 wins.

Which is nicer than 70 wins, sure, but what the fuck is the point of using this many resources on getting to 80 wins in 2010?

Of course, we’ll all just have to wait and see what else shakes down this winter before we can say where the Orioles want to be, record-wise, in 2010.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 9:07 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dude

It’s a one year contract. It has nothing to do with any master plan. It’s a “hey you know what would be nice? if we could have a guy who can throw 6-7 innings every 5th day instead of Berken or Hernandez. What’s that you say? we can get one for a bad reliever who may not have even made the team??? Thank you I think I will!” It has zero impact on any long term plans except now Arrieta can just chill and pitch his ass off at AAA.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dude

That’s exactly what I’ve been saying. It doesn’t DO anything except deplete resources. It doesn’t help the Orioles become good, it just spends money and a roster spot that could have been spent on someone else who was either a) cheaper or b) better

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 11:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

what?

it doesn’t DO anything except deplete resources? what resources? sure you could find quite a few guys cheaper, but better? i think we are drastically overestimating the desire for FAs to land here (no bird pun intended). the only way we’ll get the FAs is if we outbid, so the chances of getting anyone cheaper is likely out of the question. that 9 mil is NOT stopping us from going out and getting anybody else. it just means we are less likely to go after any other FA starters and honestly, i’m not that broken up about it. i would like to see bedard back, but considering he’s out for quite a while, i think the orioles could still sign him since he’ll be placed on the DL. i could do without sheets or harden. i’m not understanding this huge desire to spend less money when we’ve been talking about signing FAs since before the season even ended.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:25 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Except that the resources it "depletes" just don't matter!

That money will NOT limit them in any way even a little bit. It makes the orioles better for this year in exchange for almost nothing. That’s it! That’s all there is to it!

If it plays the way everybody hopes, we get 4-5 months of a solid 6-7 inning starter and then flip him for a prospect (which DOES make the team better in the long term). If that doesn’t happen then we probably get a lot of mediocre, bullpen saving innings, and then we’re done with him after the season. It REALLY just doesn’t matter that much. It’s also not a roster spot – Chris Ray’s mediocre middle reliever ass would have been there anyways. If you tell me you can choose between filling a roster spot with a 200 inning starter or a middle reliever who was HORRIBLE last year, that’s really not a tough decision.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

haha we you guys up all night?

i got home at 2:30 and made a few drunk posts…you guys were still up. i wake up again and we’re still going at it.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nah

I was up working until 3-3:30 and then just now woke up.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:32 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

haha me too

i should be studying for exams, but i guess i’ll get around to that at some point.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:37 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow...you guys were at this that long?

and still going? Impressive. I left at like 6:30 last night and just started back up.

Anyway, the resources are both money (which I admit is not an issue) and the roster spot, which could have been taken by Arrieta (who may or may not be able to pitch as effectively as Kevin Millwood in 2010) or some other acquisition starter.

Read: Kevin Millwood is not good. He is below average, and that is my complaint. We’ve given a roster spot to a below average pitcher to keep Jake Arrieta from pitching too much in the majors in 2010, and I’m just not comfortable with it.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 11:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i was out for a while

i left at 730 and got back around 230.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:46 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If Arrieta is ready mid-season

then he’ll have a roster spot. Millwood’s presence on the team is not going to hinder his development. They will work it out.

Of course Kevin Millwood is not good – that’s why we had to give up almost nothing to get him. But it will have zero impact on the amount that Arrieta pitches in the major leagues this year.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Then what does it accomplish?

Honestly – I’m just not sure how it helps the Orioles in a meaningful way. Maybe this is just a mental hurdle I need to get over.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it helps because somebody needs to pitch in that spot

it might as well be somebody who at least has a track record of pitching about 6 innings per start. sure millwood isn’t great. call him “below average” or call him shitty…whatevs. hes just eating some innings. (i also realize that adam eaton and rich hill were supposed to do that same thing last year)

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's really pretty simple

It gives us a 200 inning starter. That saves the bullpen. It gives you a solid chance of winning every 5th day with our offense. Sure he might pitch to around a 5 ERA, but he’ll go 6-7 innings most starts and that’s something you can’t say for a lot of our rotation.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's probably just a mindset thing

I don’t see the value in having Millwood throw 200 innings (which is not something to count on, by the way, at his age) of below average baseball, when Berken/Hernandez/Arrieta (which is I suppose the de facto option) could throw a combined 200 starting innings of slightly worse baseball…and instead we have one less space on the roster for a net gain of around 3 wins.

So, “eating innings” is just something I don’t value at all for the Orioles at this point, and you do. I think I see the disagreement now.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 11:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Correct me if I'm wrong.

But we have the exact same number of people on the roster as before the trade. It was a 1-1 trade, so it does not impact roster space even a little bit. Not sure why that keeps coming up.

And with Millwood in the rotation Berken/Hernendez can pitch in the bullpen where a) they might be much more effective and b) where they can eat innings that more valuable relievers would have to eat if either/both were in the rotation. It’s a cascading effect where all the relievers now can slot up better.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 12:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You said yourself

Ray was a serious non-tender candidate, and I’d have been personally a little shocked to see him survive the winter in Baltimore.

I do agree that Berken and Hernandez are most likely best suited for the bullpen, though. That’s a good point.

The issue remains that we could have gone out and found someone above average to pitch, and instead we have Kevin Millwood.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 12:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I actually think Ray would have made the team – the bullpen pretty much sucks and he has a good arm.

I mean I would have preferred to get somebody better too, but I think in a trade you’d have to give up more to get somebody better. And who on the FA market is much better? The injury risk guys? I guess, but that’s a different kind of signing. Piniero? Marquis? No thanks – they’ll probably be more expensive and want multi-year deals right?

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 12:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

slightly worse baseball?

i’m not sure i buy that. something about david hernandez giving up more home runs than millwood in half the innings.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 12:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Huh?

I don’t know what that means about the prospect flip. That’s what teams do with players that aren’t part of their long term plans that are pretty good. Not sure how that has any negative implications for the deal. If you can get 3-4 months of solid starting pitching for 5-6 M and then flip it for a prospect or two…all for chris ray…I think that is an outstanding success.

Responses to your “better things to do with that money”

1) like…why? Piniero Jason Marquis? No thanks. Those guys suck and I wouldn’t want them for even 2 years. Bedard/Sheets Multi-year deals for guys with massive injury risks?? No thanks again. Not sure who you invisioned us signing this offseason to a multi-year contract as a starter. Sounds like fantasyland talk.

2) Why can’t we still do that? Not sure what the problem is. There is plenty of money left to spend.

This IS trying some things out. Just with somebody who’s not an injury risk and generally gives you 180-200 innings. I don’t see how it’s even remotely related to small ball. It’s getting a solid innings-eating starter for almost nothing.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

For $9 Million...

….which invalidates the point.

See the Rangers had the right idea here. Eat the $3 Mil off this old pony’s contract and make room for Harden, someone worth spending the time to take a chance on, despite the injury issues.

I mean don’t get me wrong, this is not going to sink the franchise or anything. But it’s Flanaquette kind of thinking. Halfass, doing something to something moves. We need to be more creative than this – which generally MacPhail has been. I just don’t like the way this middling stuff feels. It’s the kind of shit that’s kept us so shitty.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 9:09 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But the $9 does NOT prevent them from doing that with Bedard or anybody else.

I really don’t get what you think is halfass about this. On paper I don’t see a single negative thing about it. We got a 200 inning starter for a bad reliever. We’re going to pay market rate for him. What’s not to like? Is he part of the long-term solution? Of course not. But does every single move the team makes have to be about the long-term solution? If there are moves to be made that make the team better in the short-term (and this OBVIOUSLY does) and have NO impact on the long term development of the organization should the team not make them? That’s absolutely absurd.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What's absurd...

…is arguing that $9 Million = $0.

As I’ve said before, this is not a move that will sink the franchise. But your take on the deal seems to be that since it does not sink the franchise – by handcuffing long term spending – that it’s a good move. This is the same thing as patting your child on the head for getting a C because he didn’t get an F.

This is a middling, unnecessary, mediocre move. It would be fine for a team in the NL West. But in the AL east, middling does not cut the mustard. We need good moves in order to dig ourselves out of this deep, dark, putrid hole. Not lateral moves like this.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 2:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Where exactly do I say it's zero?

I say that it will have zero impact on any other investments. There’s a huge difference between those two statements. Starting pitchers that throw 180-200 innings are expensive. If you want one that’s what you pay.

I don’t think it’s a good move JUST because it has no impact on any future investments. I think it’s a good move because we gave up a bad reliever and got a mediocre starter who throws a lot of innings. I don’t see how that’s anything other than a good move. It OBVIOUSLY makes the team better for this year and has the chance to improve the team longer term.

Not sure how this is a lateral move if it improves the team at no cost to anything else.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 2:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You said it again, "no cost" = $0

And you’re acting as though this is a freebie. It’s not. It’s $9 Mil we should use for something with a future.

We got salary dumped on by the Rangers folks. Again it’s not the end of the world or anything. But it’s nothing to defend either. And it’s certainly not the type of philosophy we should be pursuing at this point. This is the type of move you make to shore up your rotation when you have 3, or even 4, other good starters.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 3:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

haha not quite man - you're like fox news cutting little snipits to mean what you want it to mean.

I said NO COST TO ANYTHING ELSE. Again – very big difference. I think you probably get that are just being dense intentionally.

The Rangers got what they wanted (salary dump) and we got we wanted (a solid middling – as you say – starter to solidify the rotation and eat a lot of iinnings until Arrieta is ready). I think it absolutely is something to defend – we got better without giving up anything of value and at no cost to future improvement. That’s a good solid trade.

I don’t see anything wrong with the philosophy of putting a better team on the field while you’re building for the long term. Nothing at all.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

off topic

but thats what EVERY media outlet does. that is NOT just limited to fox news

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 7:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ha, I work with Kevin Millwood's first cousin.

His name is Joe, but we call him: Millwood.

That’s all I got. This trade doesn’t excite me at all, but I think it was definitely worth making.

by VB O's Guy on Dec 9, 2009 4:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Quick question on opportunity costs

1. Is Millwood the best return, value-wise, we could have gotten for Chris Ray? (Probably, I think)

2. Does the Millwood acquisition make us less likely to make moves that could have greater potential value than adding Millwood? (Also, I think, probably. Although the moves I saw with more potential seemed to not interest the O’s that much.)

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 4:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

well...

1. you can’t think short term – if they flip Millwood for prospects, or get a pick at the end of next year’s draft because Millwood declines arbitration, that’s the real value. If he signs long term, the club loves him and he eats you 200 innings a year on a team with no proven pitcher than can go more than 120 besides Jeremy Guthrie. So… pick your value. Still – you went from a reliever with shoulder surgery to a legit No. 2 or 3 starter… you have to make that move.

2. No. This is for one year of Millwood at 9 million dollars. There is nothing owed to him past this season. If anything, the Orioles should sign another pitcher (Bedard?!??!) and if they do, it puts Jeremy Guthrie on notice. Also, notice that Bedard, if they sign him, now has an excuse not to pitch till June. Sneaky, sneaky McPhail… pull the trigger!

by Kooz on Dec 9, 2009 4:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Opporunity cost

Acquiring Millwood is the answer instead of getting some other starting pitcher (of whom there aren’t a lot of great options, but we’re talking about guys like Wolf, Piniero, etc.) and what I think my big problem with the trade is that those other guys compare favorably to Millwood and now they are most likely off the table for Baltimore, to our detriment. Millwood is league average, maybe a little less so considering he’s another year older and moving to the AL East. I’m convinced this was the best available option for the Orioles.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Piniero sucks and would be coming from NL to AL so would most likely get even worse.

Also he’ll probably be just as expensive and it won’t be a one year deal.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Also,

the reason why the Orioles were on Millwood’s tradeable teams in his no-trade clause probably has to do with the fact that he’s from North Carolina?

It’s not really a stretch that he wouldn’t mind playing here…. so at least I’d like to think.

by Kooz on Dec 9, 2009 4:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

In Monday’s WSJ, in the back of the marketplace section, they have a table of mean salary by position and the corresponding WAR for each position. It’s interesting to see it in the table even if it’s not that surprising.

The highest two positions 1B and DH ranked 2nd (3.8) and next to last (1.08) in WAR repsectively. RP brought up the rear in both salary and WAR (0.63).

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 4:26 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I like the trade

Especially since we only gave up Ray. I don’t think Millwood will repeat his 2009 success but he could pitch to a 4.20-4.80 ERA. Do you agree?

Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com

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by ravensfan3 on Dec 9, 2009 4:39 PM EST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

This is really a pointless move. ZIPS is projecting 98+ ERA for Millwood. That’s go down a bit since he’s switching to the AL East. He’ll eat inning but suck while doing it. I’m mostly indifferent I guess. We’re losing Chris Ray, whatever, and we’re spending $9M which is not chump change but I would rather see that money spent on the draft.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 4:47 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

$8M that should be spent on the draft then.

Especially important since we have the 4th pick (or 3rd? can’t remember).

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 4:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

but not being a laughing stock every season is worth something when it comes to signing better free agents. As much as everyone talks about us having to go the Tampa Bay route, we have a market and a fan base that can spend money and get real name players if we get into contention. Improving our record will eliminate the Oriole surcharge. Oh, and it will increase revenue by putting fans in seats. As I said before, we now have 5 starting pitchers I would actually take the time to watch pitch. We haven’t had that for YEARS.

by math_geek on Dec 9, 2009 5:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

While I believe this is true

how does adding Kevin Millwood specifically make us suddenly not a laughingstock?

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He's an actual major league pitcher

Unlike Rich Hill and Adam Eaton.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We still can

See my post above – even if Millwood’s a bust, we’re still -$30M in payroll this season.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 7:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I really don't get this argument. We have plenty of money.

Spend the $8 M on the draft too. Nobody is going to lose any sleep over it.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We have plenty of money.

We do have plenty of money. We also have a finite amount of money. I just would like to see less spending on the 40 man roster and more on player development.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We have enough money that $9 M (for only one year!) does not impact our ability to spend in any other areas.

In this case you really can have your cake and eat it too, so relax and be happy. This signing does not in any way impact anyother spending on player development, drafting, international signings, etc. Not even a little bit.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 9:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We have enough money that $9 M (for only one year!) does not impact our ability to spend in any other areas.

I neve said it impacted our ability to spend in other areas. I’m not sure why people think I said this. I just said I would like to see this money spent elsewhere.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 12:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok

Not sure how else one is supposed to interperet this:

we’re spending $9M which is not chump change but I would rather see that money spent on the draft.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 12:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I would rather see that money spent on the draft.

This is not some Derridian sentence. I, as me Birdman, would like to see “that money” as in the O’s money, spent on the draft, as in the Rule V draft. Seems pretty forward to me.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:18 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well right, but that very statement

implies that you think that it somehow limits the money spent on the draft, which it does not. Specifically the word “rather”.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

implies that you think that it somehow limits the money spent on the draft, which it does not. Specifically the word "rather".

It doesn’t even IMPLY that!!!! Rather means if given a choice! As in I would RATHER spend money on the draft!!! Now if I would have used the word “divert” then maybe I could see what you mean.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:38 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think there is only so much you can spend on the draft

I’m not saying that the Orioles shouldn’t spend more, necessarily, I’m just saying, the most the O’s should reasonably spend on the draft, they can I’m sure afford to do that and give Kevin Millwood $9M.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 10, 2009 1:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think there is only so much you can spend on the draft

Well, obviously you can only spend money you have. What percentage of that pie you want to spend on the draft is up to Joe Jordan, Andy MacPhail, and big Petey. And that $9M spent today will make up that pie.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:46 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No. It won't.

It will have absolutely zero impact on what they spend on the draft.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And that’s not what I’m arguing.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm so confused

If that’s not what you’re saying, then what on earth does this mean?

And that $9M spent today will make up that pie.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 2:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If the O’s budget is $100, then $9 will make up that pie. In other words, every team has finite resources. And each team must make decisions how much they want to allocate to different areas. That’s about as far I’ll go about making assertions about how the budget works.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, so hypothetically if you had to choose between spending the money on Millwood and spending it elsewhere you'd choose elsewhere?

Ok…good point I guess…

I don’t see how it matters though because it’s NOT choice. They’ve spent this money AND they are going to spend as much money as is required on the draft. The two are not related.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

They’ve spent this money AND they are going to spend as much money as is required on the draft. The two are not related.

Fine, they’re not related. Never said they were. The only thing I’ll say is that neither you or I really have a grasp on how the budget works.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:02 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough

but I have to believe that the people running the team are competent enough not to spend even a penny on a 1 year contract if that penny would come out of ANY of the pots that will go towards making the team competitive again (draft, player development, international signing, etc).

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 2:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is ridiculous.

We freed up how much off payroll this year? I think duck said $30 Million above. But a mere $9 Million – nearly a fucking third of that – makes no difference in how we spend in your fantasy world.

Time to wake up. We are in direct competition with two of the richest teams in professional sports, worlwide. Every dollar we spend needs to be spent wisely to get back on the path to victory against these bohemoths. A mere $1 Million is enough to pay at least 10 personnel for scouting or development.

We cannot afford to make these half ass, Flanagan-style moves. If we played with an NY on our caps, you might be right. But we don’t and the game gets a whole lot tougher for a GM as a result.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 9:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That $30 M is not ALL we have to spend – it’s just what was cleared off of last year’s books. We have had a low payroll for almost a decade – there is PLENTY of money to spend if there are players to spend it on.

Again, who exactly do you want them spending money on right now that they are now not going to spend money on???? I don’t know what you think is out there, but it’s a pretty shitty FA market.

Again I have no idea what that last paragraph means. We got better and gave up almost nothing. Seems pretty straightforward.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:19 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hate to break it to you...

….but there is not plenty of money. Did you see the attendance figures this year? Abysmal would be a charitable description.

Another sad fact of life is that FAs aren’t exactly pumped about coming here to play. This means we have to overpay. And when you have to overpay that spare $9 Million you forked over to Middling-wood just might have come in handy.

Who would I rather spend on? Dudes with the possibility of a future:

Aroldis Chapman
Ben Sheets
Erik Bedard
Rich Harden
Yu Darvish – if we can get at him.

We need to get creative and take some chances and get lucky in order to get over the hump. Playing it safe with Middling-wood doesn’t do that.

Finally, if you have no idea what that last paragraph means then you haven’t been paying attention to this team for the last decade where we did shitty, middling moves, one after another. And look where we are.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 2:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes actually there is plenty of money.

They make a fortune off of the TV contract. The attendence is down, yeah, but it’s not horrible.

Again – just because we not have Millwood, we can DEFINITELY still sign any of those other pitchers you name. Any of them. And we probably will sign one of them. I doubt we will sign chapman or darvish, because teams with unlimited funds will be going after them and it doesn’t make sense to drastically overpay just to get them since they are a risk.

I think this is getting creative and filling an immediate hole without costing anything going forward.

And I’ve been paying very close attention to the team over the last decade and don’t see how this move (trading a bad reliever for a decent starter and cash) is even remotely along the lines of the moves I assume you are referencing (generally signing old overpriced stars to big contracts). It seems obviously different.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nobody watches this shit on TV...

…who are you kidding? It’s too fucking depressing.

Again – simple economics. We need some top quality players to compete and we’ll need to overpay to get them – at first at least. An extra $9 Million comes in handy when you need to overpay.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 3:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...

maybe you’re not clear on how the TV contract works, but they get paid regardless.

They have the ability to overpay if they want to. Still do.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe you're not clear...

….that they own the fucking network and sell their own advertising. So “getting paid” ain’t exactly all you’re making it out to be. Unless you call bartering in exchange for mufflers at Salvo Auto Parts a windfall.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 3:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

lol do you thiink O's games are the only thing they show?

It is not just advertising money. It’s carried on dozens of cable providers and they show a shitload of other things. It’s a very profitable enterprise.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

"they show a shitload of other things"

Like Nats games, which even fewer people watch than Orioles games.

I don’t doubt they turn a profit. But in this advertising environment I doubt you could term it “very profitable”. And regardless, no matter what they make it is a pittance in comparison to YES for the Yanks and NESN for the Sox – and this is the point. We are in competition and in a sad, hobbled state. We need to make consistently good moves to rise up. Smarter moves than either Boston or New York, with regularity. Tall order – at least regarding Boston, but it’s what needs to be done.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 3:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nah.

Like Nats games, college basketball, college football, NFL preseason games, NFL analysis. It’s a VERY profitable network.

Of course it’s a pittance compared to the YES network or NESN – what’s your point about that? We are not in competition with them for cable networks. We’re in competition with them on the baseball field. This IS good move. As I’ve said about 100 times this move makes the team better in the short run without sacrificing ANY long term improvement/development. I’m really not sure what you’re arguing.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But

you certainly seem very angry and very depressed. I know the team has sucked for the last forever, but if you really don’t see any improvement recently, then I don’t know what to tell you – I just feel badly for you if that’s the case.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not angry.

I’m just kicking your ass, rhetorically. That’s what I do. Although this is an easy one – kind of like bringing up baby.

So onto another easy point. You’re aware we compete with the Red Sox and Yankees in the same division, right? If they make more money than us they can buy better players, facilities, scouts, execs, instructors and on and on. All three clubs own sports networks. If ours does shitty – which it does, in comparison to theirs – it puts us at a greater disadvantage on the field, and the hole gets deeper.

This is basically the end of the road of your inane argument that the club, despite record low attendance and low ratings, is somehoe awash in cash. It’s not. And it’s financial muscle looks even more dismal in comparison to Boston and New York. Which is why we need to make better moves than this.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 4:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Are you though?

The only point you are seemingly making doesn’t make any sense to me. That because this doesn’t make the team better in the long run (even though it doesn’t limit their long term development in the slightest), we shouldn’t do it? That’s absurd. The team got better while giving up nothing. That’s pretty much the definition of a good move.

As far as the TV Networks – again ours does NOT do shitty. It’s very profitable. It’s not as profitable as NY/Boston, but that’s the way it is. It’s a very nice source of revenue though.

I don’t know what reports you’ve been looking at that show the team is in financial trouble, but I haven’t heard even a wisper of that. Seriously – pay some attention – we shed $30 M from an already low payroll last year. We are a financially healthy organization with more money to spend than players to spend it on.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 4:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mischaracterizations

will not make your argument unfortunately.

Again, I don’t doubt MASN turns a profit and that the team is in the black on the balance sheet. But simply eeking out a profit doesn’t cut it. Not with who we’re up against. Consistently good moves will be needed to turn this club around – and overall I’ve been impressed with MacPhail’s ability to pull them off. But this trade is out of character for him. It’s not a good move.

Also, for the 511th time, it’s not for nothing. It’s $9 Million for a middling player that makes not a bit of difference in our future as a club. This is not a trade. It’s a salary dump by the Rangers to make room for a guy we should’ve gone after instead, and a salary dump that we ate for no real reason than to get someone who can “give us innings”. Give those innings to guys to prove themselves as a valuable component in our future, not to some salary dump stopgap.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 4:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dude – it’s not “eeking out a profit” – the cable network makes a shitload of money! It really really does. Cable providers have to pay them a lot to carry it and then they make a lot in advertising. The fact that they show two shitty MLB teams is not hurting their bottom line.

Again though we fundamentally disagree about whether this is a good move. I view trading a bad reliever for a decent starting pitcher who throws a lot of innings as a very good move. You don’t. I’m thinking there’s no way to change that.

And for the 100th time back atcha, I never said it was nothing. I just said that it was not going to limit their investment in the future in ANY way.

Don’t even know how to respond to you saying it’s not a trade. We gave them a player we didn’t have a need for and got a player that we did have a need for. Did they dump salary? yes. Does that make it a bad trade for us? No. How do you know we didn’t try to go after Harden and were rebuffed? I don’t think that Kevin Millwood was anybody’s frist choice as a starter, but that being said I still think the trade was a good one. We are paying market value for a solid starter who will give us a chance to win every 5th day and save the bullpen. I don’t know who you would want to give those innings to to “prove themselves” – Berken? Hernandez? No thanks.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 4:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think there's a perception

that just because one team is dumping salary, that the player with that salary doesn’t have value. I just don’t think that’s true.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 5:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Chris Ray

is currently worth slightly more than a pile of dogshit throughout MLB. We all know this.

This is not a trade. This is a salary dump – and we’re the toilet.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So every team

that every makes a trade when the other team is dumping salary is a toilet I guess. Good to know. Solid analysis there sir!

You heard it here first ladies and gentlemen! There is never value to be had when a team is dumping salary!

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 5:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Your guesses

are your own. Not mine. At this point I think you should simply debate yourself for a while. Perhaps you could even create a new screen name to do it with. My work here schooling you is done. Have fun, young’un.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 10, 2009 5:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh you sure schooled me.

I am now fully aware that you are extremely pessimistic and don’t value 200 IP from a starter and think that any team that makes a trade with a team that’s dumping salary automatically gets a bad deal! Thank you sir for the lesson.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 6:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He's intentionally dense.

We had an argument about Trembley at the end of the season, and he can’t see anyone’s point other than his own.

He’s a dick, is what I’m saying.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 10, 2009 6:50 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

then you should just stop talking

because calling people dicks isn’t ok.

by Stacey on Dec 10, 2009 8:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

woah

i didnt call anyone a dick. i was merely pointing out that the personal attacks happened already.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 9:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't say that you did

but you’re the one who responded. I haven’t closely read every word of this as it’s basically people saying the same thing over and over again, but I haven’t seen JP or OF21 make any personal attacks against each other.

by Stacey on Dec 10, 2009 9:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I think we stayed pretty civil

except that I GOT SCHOOLED!! lol

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 9:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You did...

….but I still like you. I even picked you up an Orioles lunchbox at Wal-Mart last night so you can bring a sandwich or a little snack during your studies. It was a good deal. Only $2.99.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 11, 2009 11:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dude he's just telling me how SCHOOLED I got!

You know…because his argument that the O’s shouldn’t do ANYTHING that makes the team better in the short term even if it has no impact on the long term development is SO convincing!

Teacher broke it down!!

by O'sFan21 on Dec 11, 2009 11:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yea true

although if hes throwin out the lunchboxes, i’ll take one. i used to have an orioles lunchbox way back in the day. i dropped it down the stairs in like 2nd grade and it broke :(

by twistedlogic on Dec 11, 2009 11:28 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wish I'd known...

….I would’ve picked you up one too.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 11, 2009 11:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

golly

arent you just in a giving mood

by twistedlogic on Dec 11, 2009 11:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's Christmastime, TL.

And I for one am bringing good tidings and cheer.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 11, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

hey more power to ya

i love it when we’re all taking part in the holiday cheer.

by twistedlogic on Dec 11, 2009 11:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Re getxstoked's

unfortunate and now hidden use of a phallic term to describe either OF21 or myself – and I have no idea who, since it could probably accurately apply to both of us! – I just want to say there is no reason to hold onto old shit on here folks. Apparently somebody disagreed with getx about Trembley at some point and now they are forever a weiner schnitz. Let it go, comrade. We’re just talking (shit) about sports. No reason to harbor venom. Life is too short and hate takes too much energy.

(Unless you’re dealing with AMA)

by Jonny Pops on Dec 11, 2009 11:23 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

haha I was going to say

I don’t even remember what the argument about Trembley was about, but I very well could have been involved. I’m cool with that. haha

by O'sFan21 on Dec 11, 2009 11:28 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The correct word here

is realistic, not pessimistic.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 11, 2009 10:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

what?

this conversation hasnt moved at all. how did you school anybody?

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 7:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Basically...

…I’m trying to end a boring exchange with OF21. Just let it be. Ain’t your concern, unless for some reason you enjoy watching people reiterate the same point endlessly.

by Jonny Pops on Dec 11, 2009 10:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Of course, I would want to see us spend an extra $9M in the draft as well, but that ain’t hapenning. Teams have certain amounts of money set aside for certain things, and they budget that way, if we didn’t do this deal, I doubt it would have any effect on how much we spend in the draft. It is a good deal so that we don’t have to rush the pitchers who we spent millions of dollars on in the draft…..

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 4:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Teams have certain amounts of money set aside for certain things, and they budget that way, if we didn’t do this deal, I doubt it would have any effect on how much we spend in the draft.

Neither know for sure how the budget will work. I’m guessing the O’s have a finite amount resources though and spent on players could end affecting other areas like the draft. If we pick some stud player in the draft and lose him over money, I’m going to be pissed.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 4:56 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

reply fail. sorry.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 4:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hopefully the O’s invest a similar amount of money into the 2010 draft as they did in 09. There are gonna be some really good HS arms available at 1:3 that we need to up the ante for. Jameson Taillon is the prototypcial TOR SP prospect. If we can nab him, I will be happier than if we picked up Harden or Bedard……

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 5:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hopefully the O’s invest a similar amount of money into the 2010 draft as they did in 09.

Hopefully, the O’s will invest MORE money into the 2010 draft than the 2009. I would rather see more over the slot signings than Millwood.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think they go hand in hand

Trading for Millwood is in large part about protecting the investments we’ve already made

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 5:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

how does Millwood protect our investments?

Besides lame old timey baseball adages like he’ll mentor our young pitchers or he’ll protect them innings wise?

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I couldnt care less about him mentoring our younger pitchers

But i dont see how how having someone who can pitch 200 innings that would otherwise have to be pitched by younger, less developed pitchers is a “lame old timey baseball adage”

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 5:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

otherwise have to be pitched by younger, less developed pitchers is a "lame old timey baseball adage"

Heaven forbid that some guys would have to learn to pitching by you know, pitching a lot of innings. As long as you’re not throwing some completely green guy out there to take a beating week after week (e.g., Erbe, Britton), I don’t have a problem with throwing a guy like Hernandez and letting him struggle.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Except when hernandez only goes 4 innings a couple starts in a row and burns out our bullpen

and then people can complain about how we always fall apart in august and september

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 5:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And Millwood is someone who pitches deep into games consistently?! He made 31 starts and didn’t crack 200 IP. He had 3 complete games last year but NONE the previous two years. Millwood will not be saving our pen. Bank on it.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He did, however, average about 6.1 IP/Start, and only went less than 5 in 2 of those 31 starts

There is value on being able to bank on that sort of consitency every week, considering some of the meltdowns we’ve had the past couple years and the inevitable rough patches some of our young pitchers may hit this year.

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 5:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He did, however, average about 6.1 IP/Start, and only went less than 5 in 2 of those 31 starts

Again, he’s hardly a BP saver. And note that this performance was done in a rare good year for him. His defense really save his ass. I’m pretty sure he was even worse the previous two years w/o his stellar defense.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

How many O's starters did that last year?

Compared to what we’ve had, he’s practically Roy Halladay.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 7:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m trying to think of a better pitcher we traded for or added through FA over the last decade that was better than Millwood and am coming up blank.

Of course, that says more about us than it does Millwood.

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 7:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It definitely says more about the O's

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 8:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Claimed off waivers

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 9:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh ok

I thought you meant someone we added from outside the organization, not literally just through trade or FA.

by daveh873 on Dec 9, 2009 9:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So we’ll have more crappy starters this year. Millwood’s WAR is 2.4. So we’ll lose 68 games instead of 66 games with Millwood. Whoop dee do.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

incorrect

he had 3 complete games in both 2008 and 2009. plus you’re saying that 6 and a half innings per game won’t save the pen?

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oops,

He did have 3 complete games in 08. My bad. And yes, I’m saying Millwood will NOT save the pen. He’s a guy who’ll go 5 or 6.1 innings and perform to around a 95 ERA+. Look, he’ll outpitch Berken or Hernandez. No doubt. But let’s not kid ourselves into thinking that Millwood is a BP saver.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His FIP is in line with his 2 previoius years

Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com

Follow me on twitter

by ravensfan3 on Dec 9, 2009 6:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah… he’s a slightly below average pitchers like I’ve been saying.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oh for petes sake

if he pitches more innings than hernandez and berken, then he’s less of strain on our pen right?

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

sure, a little, but I would rather see that money spent elsewhere. Millwood will eat innings. No doubt.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

on who?

and i mean who that we actually have a legitimate shot at getting

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Chapman comes immediately to mind. But again, I’m thinking about the future. I’m willing to let whoever (Berken, Patton, Hernandez) struggle a bit in the rotation and tack on a small number of innings to the BP.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We're not getting Chapman and you know it

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 7:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

if we outbid everyone, you know we can.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Even if we offered the most...

he’s going to a bigger market. No way his agent(s) let him land in Baltimore. He’ll take whatever offer is higher from NY or BOS.

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 8:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Even if we offered the most he’s going to a bigger market.

I disagree. If we blow away BOS’s or NY’s offer, he’ll sign with us.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Umm yes. Yes he is.

As I already said I believe he pitched less than 5 innings ONLY ONCE the entire season last year (not counting a rain out) and pitched 6+ 23 times. Berken pitched 6+ 6 times and less than 5 innings 7 times. Hernandez pitched 6+ 8 times and less than 5 innings 6 times. It’s really not hard to understand how Millwood will DRAMATICALLY save our BP.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Somebody calculated 6.1 IP per start in 2009. That’s not bad, but he doesn’t pitch deep into to games. And that’s with an amazing strand rate and great defense. I see him making a lot of 5 2/3 IP starts last year.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's all relative man.

6.1 IP (or even 5 2/3 IP really) is big time improvement over Berken/Hernandez and I think it will have a ripple effect. Relievers will be more effective later in the season because of it.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 9:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Relievers will be more effective later in the season because of it.

Sure, I don’t have a problem with the argument that starters going deeper into games will help improve the pen. The Rays proved that very nicely last year. But 1) MIllwood isn’t exactly type of guy who pitches deep into games. Deeper than let’s say Berken or Hernandez no doubt. But my mother could pitcher deeper into games than Berken or Hernandez. 2) The benefit of the small innings relief that Millwood on a non-contending team isn’t something I can get excited about because I think the effect is miniscule in terms of ERA BP improvement. Maybe a win difference? On a non-contending team, that’s nothing. And none of our young pitchers will be over worked w/o Millwood. They’ll just bring up more crappy pitchers like McCory before they let Arrieta get overworked in the pen.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I really have no idea why you think this
1) MIllwood isn’t exactly type of guy who pitches deep into games.

Look at his game log from this past season.

And again it’s not just about W-L – the alleviated strain on the bullpen will make them much more competitive even in games that they lose. This year when a starter shit the bed it was pretty much the beginning of the end because guys who were mediocre at best to begin with were coming in with tired arms on top of not being good.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I really have no idea why you think this

Because his average IP per starts says so (as I already said, 6.1 in 09, 5.2 in 08, 07). He’s not bad by no means though.

And again it’s not just about W-L – the alleviated strain on the bullpen will make them much more competitive even in games that they lose.

Sure, like I said, I have no problem with argument. Like I said, the Rays proved this last year.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess we just have different definitions of innings eaters.

He was one of the 20 best innings eaters in the AL in 2009 – I consider that to be good. He also had 1 less start than everybody else in the top 20 and 2-4 less starts than most of them. So, just looking at that he must be doing pretty damn good comparatively in terms of average IP per start.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He was one of the 20 best innings eaters in the AL in 2009

Could you cite a source? I was trying to find IP pe start in fangraphs, baseball-reference and so on but I couldn’t find it so I had to hand calculate the IPs per start. I’m interested to know. If Millwood is in the top 20 pitchers among pichers with at least 175 IPs, then I’ll give more props to Kevbo.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

BR

http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2009-standard-pitching.shtml

I’m using the total innings rankings (since every inning pitched by a starter is an inning not thrown by the BP) and it’s just simple math – he’s got less starts than the other guys and very close in innings particularly to the 8 guys immediately ahead of him in the last. So obviously he’s doing something right as far as IP per start.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m using the total innings rankings

Sorry, but total IP really isn’t the same as IP per start because it’s very possible to rank very highly IPs per start but not total IPs (e..g., pitcher X only made 4 starts, but pitched 8 IP in each start. His IP total would be low, thus he would not show up on a total IPs leader board, but his IPs per start would be very high).

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Right it's not the same. It's better.

What do I care if somebody with 175 innings had more IP per start? Somebody else still had to throw those additional 25 innings that Millwood pitched by himself. For us that’s Berken or Hernandez, who are…you guessed it relievers on the team. I don’t see how anybody could say that a guy who threw 175 innings but had a higher IP per start was more of an innings eater than Millwood. That math just doesn’t add up for me.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 2:09 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think being an innings eaters and BP saver but conceptuallly distinct. Afterall, you could make 40 starts, pitch 5 IP each start, and being an eatings eater (200 IP total for the season), but the bullpen had to cover your ass for all your starts.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:19 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

typo

I think being an innings eaters and BP saver are related.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:20 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well except that nobody does make 40 starts.

Starters who are healthy the whole year make around 30 starts. So the starters with the most innings save their team and bullpen the most innings.

Say a guy goes 8 innings per start but only makes 20 starts. 8 IP per start is awesome, you’re right. But somebody else is starting those 10-12 games that he’s not. It might be a long reliever who moves into the rotation and a) probably doesn’t pitch nearly as deep in games forcing the BP to throw more innings, and b) forcing the BP to adjust to cover his previous spot. Or it might be a call-up from the minors who is almost definitely not going to be going 8 IP per start and so the bullpen has to pick up those additional innings.

It’s just hard for me to agree that somebody who throws less innings over the course of the season is more of an innings eater/bullpen saver than somebody who throws more innings.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 2:28 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well except that nobody does make 40 starts.

Yes, I’m exergerrating to make a point.

It’s just hard for me to agree that somebody who throws less innings over the course of the season is more of an innings eater/bullpen saver than somebody who throws more innings.

If we’re talking about how much a starter leaves to his BP per start, then IP per start seems to make some sense. But I see your point. A guy who only pitches 50 IP per season but high IP per start leaves a lot of work left. Some of those innings will go to another starter, some of it will go to other relievers.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And even if it goes to another starter, it will probably be a worse starter (or he would have been starting over that guy initially right?), which means he’ll have a lower IP per start, which will lead to more BP innings too.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 2:38 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it will probably be a worse starter

Sure, it may, or it may go to a better starter. It really depends on a lot factors. I guess I focused on IP per start rather than IP total is because a low IPs per start will definitely tax a BP. A low IP for a starter won’t necessarily tax if he’s replaced by a equal or better pitcher.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

A low total IP for a starter won’t necessarily tax a BP if he’s replaced by a equal or better pitcher.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

when would it ever go to a better starter? If that starter was better than him he would have been starting in the first place. The only situation I can imagine is some young guy comes up and just dominates, but how often does that happen?

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 3:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

when would it ever go to a better starter?

A starter waiting in the minors (e.g., Arrieta, Patton). Or if a guy is sitting on the DL who’s better comes off the DL. Or a guy who’s acquired through whatever route (e.g., trade, signing, etc.). Or a guy sitting in the pen who’s being groomed or considered for the pen. Or as you argue, a worse pitcher takes his place. It can go both ways.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well right

but how often is the guy waiting in the minors (Arrieta/Patton are a good example since they will be on strict pitch counts and inning limits) be going deeper in the game than the starter who’s spot they are taking? Rarely.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t know man, it depends on the farm system, the quality of the rotation. It’s hardly rare to find a guy who comes up from the minors and perform decently.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sure

But to find somebody who comes up and gives you 7+ innings per start? I think that’s incredibly rare.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Check MLE (minor league equivalents) man. Guys sitting in the minor who could give you 95 ERA+ are sitting around in bunches but it’s hardly rare. Besides Millwood will give you 6.1 IPs not 7 IP (and 5 2/3 in 08 and 07)!

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I said nothing about effectiveness.

I said IP. Again you keep belittling his 6.1 IPs when there were only 19 guys who ate more innings than he did last year. There are NOT guys who can eat innings like that just sitting around in the minors as you say. I’m sorry, but there just aren’t.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, that’s true. I could see him as effective reliever. But he had to pitch in the rotation, that’s fine by me.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

really?

you’d be fine with hernandez starting? really?

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sure, he probably won’t be good. But he’s young with a strong minor league record. He could very well put in a ERA+ of 90 to 95 or slightly below average production at a cheap cost.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i dont care what his minor league record is

he did not pitch well in the majors last year and thats what counts

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:39 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Look, I’m not saying he’ll be good. His ZIPS projection is terrible. But I wouldn’t surprise me to see Hernandez give us a 90 ERA+. It’s very well within the realm of reasonable possibility, not likely mind you, but hardly inconceivable.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It helps directly and indirectly. He can mentor the youngsters I guess, but he also keeps the stress of being forced to rush a pitcher like Arrieta to the rotation because we have no solid 5th starter options. He also will eat innings which will keep the bullpen usage down, which will allow the bullpen usage to be utilized with the kids who will need it like Tillman, Matusz and possibly Arrieta. And the arms in the pen will be more fresh so they can do a better job and give the young SPs more confidence in handing the ball over to the pen and knowing they have a good shot at winning rather than in previous seasons.

Also, getting rid of Ray, if he pitches again as he did in 09 is like addition by subtraction. Much like Albers in the 2nd half of 09 as well, when Ray came in, you almost knew it was gonna result in 4+ runs…..

by QBsIllest1 on Dec 9, 2009 5:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He also will eat innings which will keep the bullpen usage down,

I can’t wait to see this disproven by June. I’m going to make a prediction right now and say Millwood will be regularly knocked out of games in the 5th or 6th inning. Hope I’m wrong though.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He did average over 6 innings per start last year, almost 7. Are you saying the AL East pump is going to be that bad? At least he’s not pitching in Arlington.

by math_geek on Dec 9, 2009 5:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He did average over 6 innings per start last year

Last year, that’s the key part. He had a stellar defense last year, which allowed to pitch longer in games. I haven’t checked the numbers, but I imagine his average IP per start was even smaller in 2008 and 2007. Once his ERA moves towards his FIP, he’ll get knocked out of games a lot earlier.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Although one assumes our defense

will be very good in 2010 as well. I know the outfield had a down year, but there’s a lot of talent there, and Cesar was one of the very best shortstops playing last year, and the Orioles seem to be leaning towards a defense-first stopgap at third base.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think it can get any worse. It’s going to need to be good with Millwood on the mound. Also, didn’t Millwood have insane strand rate last year? Defense isn’t going to help that.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, that's a big problem

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

78.6% strand rate. Don’t get fooled again!

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It’s going to need to be good with Millwood on the mound

You make it sound like we’ll be marching Rich Hill or Steve Trachsel out there. I’m not expecting the guy to be world beater or anywhere near what he was last year; but at worst he’s been a league average pitcher.

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 7:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

but at worst he’s been a league average pitcher.

I see him as a slightly below average pitcher. ZIPS has him at 95 ERA+ which is slightly below average. His ERA+ was 88 in the two years before 2009. That’s below average.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Career ERA+ of 109

If you only look at the 2007 and 2008, sure, he’s mildly below average. A fine 4th starter.

But you can’t completely ignore 2009. I doubt he’s going to put up a 127 ERA+, but you can’t ignore that either.

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 8:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Career ERA+ of 109

If we’re evaluating his career as a whole, career ERA+ is fine. But if we’re trying to project future performance, last 3 years of performance is the best way to go.

But you can’t completely ignore 2009. I doubt he’s going to put up a 127 ERA+, but you can’t ignore that either.

I’m not ignoring 2009. His 2009 FIP is terrible. And his 2010 ZIPS projection reflects that.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What was his 2008 FIP? Or 2007? Doesn’t look that bad to me.

At the end of the day, he looks like a league average pitcher to slightly above averge, but very inconsistent. I don’t think we suddenly are going to need great defense because Hill, Berken, Hernandez will be pitching less and Millwood will be pitching more.

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 8:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

What was his 2008 FIP? Or 2007? Doesn’t look that bad to me.

It wasn’t bad. It looked about average. Again, I’m going off of ZIPS which projects him to be below average next season.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You keep referencing ZiPS

Which is fine, but it’s hardly the be all and end all. Let’s not put all of our eggs into the ZiPS basket. I mean, do you honestly think that Jim Johnson will be the only person on the entire O’s pitching staff with an ERA+ over 100? ZiPS does.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 10:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You keep referencing ZiPS

It’s handy. Plus I think it’s a good metric to cite because it’s not as optimistic as Bill James but not as pessmistic as CHONE. And, of course, it’s not be all end all. It’s a tool, an educated guess. What’s wrong with using an educated guess?

I mean, do you honestly think that Jim Johnson will be the only person on the entire O’s pitching staff with an ERA+ over 100? ZiPS does.

WOULD NOT SUPRISE ME ONE BIT. As they say, pitching prospects will break your heart.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, this is inaccurate. ZiPS simply doesn’t think that any individual pitcher on the Orioles is more likely to have an ERA+ greater than 100 than not.

In fact, if you Monte Carlo it with the top 6 starters and the top 6 relievers, here’s the probability of x number of those 12 pitchers having a 100 ERA+ or greater:

0: <1%
1: 3%
2: 9%
3: 18%
4: 25%
5: 22%
6: 14%
7: 7%
8: 2%
9: 1%
10: <1%
11: <1%
12: <1%

One has to get out of the mindset of thinking that a projection for a player is a specific line, when in fact a mean projection is just that. A projection is better thought of as a whole array of probabilities, not a simple one-line, one-shot number.

--
Dan Szymborski
dan@baseballprimer.com

by D.Szymborski on Dec 10, 2009 10:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

One has to get out of the mindset of thinking that a projection for a player is a specific line, when in fact a mean projection is just that.

Yup. It may help to report a confidence interval projection too.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 11, 2009 12:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I have no idea what you're talking about dude.

The last time he threw less than 150 innings in a season was 2004!

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I never said anything about total innings pitched. I just said that I predict Millwood won’t pitch past the 5th inning a lot next year.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 8:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok...maybe I'm confused

But generally to have a lot of total innings pitched you have to pitch a fair number of innings per start…which he is historically very solid at doing.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 9:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But generally to have a lot of total innings pitched you have to pitch a fair number of innings per start

Like I said, I believe he averaged 6 1/3 IP per start last year. He averaged about 5 2/3 IP the previous two years. Like I said before, I wouldn’t call him a BP saver.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:09 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I mean

Is 5 2/3 or 6 1/3 better than 8 innings per start? Of course not, but really there aren’t that many guys who go 7-8 every start. So, if you can get somebody who goes 6 every start in the place of guys who regularly went 3-4 innings, I don’t see how anybody could say that’s not a BP saving move.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t see how anybody could say that’s not a BP saving move.

Millwood will save the BP innings over Berken or Hernandez. I’ve said this several times. But I just don’t think Millwood is a BP saver because he doen’t pitch deep into games. Erik Bedard is a fantastic pitcher. Love him. But he doesn’t pitch deep into games either.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you're right

There are an entire 19 pitchers in the AL who were better BP savers then him (although some had lower average IP per start than he did), so I guess you can’t call him that.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

like i said, cite a source, I’m happy to admit when I’m wrong.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

get over it dude

millwood sucks. jason berken or david hernandez would be much better in the starting rotation.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

millwood sucks. jason berken or david hernandez would be much better in the starting rotation.

This is completely irrelevant to anything I’ve said. But thanks for the snark.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well not entirely

you said you’d be fine with another year of hernandez, but somehow you hate kevin millwood, otherwise we wouldn’t be having this discussion right now.

oh and you’re quite welcome for the snark. i do my best.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:17 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

millwood sucks. jason berken or david hernandez would be much better in the starting rotation.

I never said Berken or Hernandez would be better in the rotation. I never said I hated Millwood. I said he’s a slightly below average pitcher who’s doesn’t serve a long term purpose and minimum short term purpose.

oh and you’re quite welcome for the snark. i do my best.

stay classy!

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 12:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

aw well thats not fair

barring injury, he’ll serve his short term purpose. if he goes around 6 per game and keeps the spot warm for somebody from AAA then hes served the short term purpose. i would be very very surprised if hes still hear after the deadline (if hes pitching okay)

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Fine, he’ll serve his short term purpose. I never had a problem with this.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

then what were we arguing about?

i thought were pretty clear on the fact he was just here short term. i just thought he was filling a spot for a little while and hopefully helping the BP out a bit. nothing else. no delusions of grandeur or anything.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not happy, wanted Wolf, wanted Wolf....

"On my tombstone just write, 'The sorest loser that ever lived.'"
Earl Weaver

by matman008 on Dec 9, 2009 5:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Wolf wanted 3 years

and got it from Milwaukee, fuck that, we’ve got guys that will likely be better and cheaper than Wolf in that timeframe.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 5:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hate to harp on this

But I don’t want Bedard, I want Duscherer/Harden!! And while i’m at it, I WANT HOLYFIELD!

What up?

by snakethejake on Dec 9, 2009 5:17 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I want to eat his children

Praise be to Allah….

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 7:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not quite

that was directed at Lennox Lewis

You can't fix stupid. Stupid is forever.

by sluggo 2.0 on Dec 9, 2009 8:01 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Eh, I was in the neighborhood...

"(Brock Lesnar) is never in good spirits and he's not in good spirits now." - Dana White

by duck on Dec 9, 2009 8:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is a steal

We get a solid pitcher in exchange for a mediocre reliever.

I now have a blog: http://justanotherbaltimoresportsblog.blogspot.com/

by BaltimoreSportsFan on Dec 9, 2009 5:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Millwood's "solidness" should be questioned

He looks to me like a league average pitcher who can throw at least 170 innings. Which is okay, but really shouldn’t be inflated into “top of the rotation” status, or “above average”, or even “great” pitcher.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

League average is solid

in comparison to the sorts of people we’ve run out there before.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 5:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

true true

just specifying

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Quick poll:

Over/Under on Millwood’s ERA: 4.75

Over/Under on Millwood’s innings pitched: 150

I’m going to take the over on both. Anyone else?

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 5:24 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

ERA under, IP over

4.25 ERA, 190 IP

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 5:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

over on both

Your voice of doom and gloom. Read more at natsnewsnetwork.blogspot.com

by Dave at Nats News Network on Dec 9, 2009 5:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

this.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 7:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

meaning

what getxstoked said

4.25 ERA, 190 IP

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 7:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

over on both

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

sorry

I’m at 4.85, 180

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

under over

I now have a blog: http://justanotherbaltimoresportsblog.blogspot.com/

by BaltimoreSportsFan on Dec 9, 2009 5:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Over w/o a doubt.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 5:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Over, both

Unless he is injured, the second one is a no-brainer.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 5:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Just to put this into perspective

We’re all predicting him to pitch over 150 innings, which places him among the qualifying starters in baseball for 2010. Starters who pitched enough innings to qualify for the ERA title with a 2009 ERA in the 4.50 to 5.00 range:

Joe Saunders
Trevor Cahill
Derek Lowe
Brad Penny

So, that’s what we are paying $9m for. Strangely enough, that makes me feel better about this deal.

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 5:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But I'm guessing Millwood is probably the worst of that group

Saunders: 4.60
Cahill: 4.63
Lowe: 4.67
Penny: 4.88

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, Cahill has the best chance to improve

Since he’s a young pitcher who should improve and is also a former top prospect of Tillman quality. Lowe also has a lot of room to improve, as unlike Millwood he underperformed his FIP this past season. Saunders and Penny I figure are about right.

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 5:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We've undoubtedly robbed the Rangers

But I just don’t see why we need a decent/durable/semi-reliable pitcher at all.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 5:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know about that

it looks like they’re about to turn the money they saved around and sign Rich Harden.

Trading Millwood for Ray and Harden sounds pretty terrific to me.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

As long as we're speculating

The O’s looked like they were going to non-tender Ray, so we if you assume that somebody would have signed him, Baltimore didn’t lose anything in this trade, and are thus only taking on $9 million which, again, is absolutely nothing in baseball, and especially for a franchise like the Orioles who a.) has money and b.) hasn’t spent any of it in the past few years while simultaneously dumping player.

If you want to look at this deal for the Rangers as Milwood (3.70) for Harden (4.09), fine, but considering that the O’s got Milwood for nothing, who won?

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 6:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

All I'm saying

is that the Orioles definitely aren’t robbing the Rangers.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rangers —> Milwood for Harden (Milwood had a better season than Harden last year)

Orioles —> Milwood for nothing

Unless you want to argue that Chris Ray and $9 million are significant losses, then I would say that we robbed them.

All this is assuming that Harden even goes to Texas.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So the Rangers are paying $7.5 million for one year of Harden

Along with $3 million for Milwood, which puts them at $10.5 million, saving a grand total of $1.5 million.

This means that the Rangers basically traded Milwood straight-up for Harden, as age cannot come into play with both players only having one year.

Harden will probably have a better year, but will it be significantly better?

I’m definitely disregarding Ray completely, but I don’t think he is good, at all.

Now that we don’t have to speculate, the deal is officially Milwood for Harden for Texas, and Milwood for nothing (in my opinion) for Baltimore.

I think that is theft.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 6:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

agreed

he had a pretty terrible year for the cubs last year

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

"Robbery"

The Rangers got better, since Millwood isn’t that good and they have a lot of depth to cover for Harden’s inevitable injuries.

The Orioles, too, got better because Millwood is better than Jason Berken.

I don’t see a robbery here.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess I'm not using "robbery" correctly

As Texas didn’t necessarily lose out big-time; my point, rather, is that the Orioles got a lot more bang for their buck than Texas did.

Texas traded away a 3.67 ERA pitcher from last year for a 4.09 Harden; their WHIPs are identical.

Baltimore traded away nothing, and got a 3.67 ERA pitcher.

I think I’m becoming redundant now, but I just see this as Baltimore coming out with a better deal.

That being said, I don’t know why we’re bringing in a 34 year old pitcher for one year, but that is beside the point.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 6:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, yes

the Rangers gave up something and got something else back, while the Orioles gave up nothing and got something back, so the relative value is higher for us, but it’s not like the Rangers gave up a lot for something, either.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's not like they got a lot back, either

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 7:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Robbed them how?

Seems to me that Millwood is worth less than $9 million, in which case they robbed us. Sure, we didn’t give up anything of real value in all probability. That doesn’t make it a win. We could have non-tendered Ray and been better off with the cash.

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 5:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Are we cash-strapped?

In absolute terms, $9 million shouldn’t mean anything.

We gave up nothing, and got a guy who, despite the gloomy projections for 2010, posted a sub 3.70 ERA last year.

This isn’t empirical, but unless on a hot-streak, Chris Ray was more of a detriment than anything else coming out of the bullpen.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 5:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree it doesn't mean anything...

…except that we aren’t going to devote this $9m elsewhere. The money doesn’t matter if we couldn’t do better for $9 million.

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 5:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You do realize that Orioles are pretty flush with cash right now

Even with that 8M addition to payroll, they’re still spending less than 80MM on players.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 6:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely

That said, it looks like the Rangers are going to sign Harden for $7.5 million guaranteed. Are we better off with Millwood for $9m or by outbidding the Rangers and giving Harden $8 or 9m? Because we’re rather clearly doing one and not the other.

BTW, I think that this question doesn’t have an easy answer – in our position, we may be better off knowing for sure that we’re going to get a pitcher who will be healthy but not nearly as good. But we clearly aren’t getting both.

by James F on Dec 9, 2009 6:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

because Rich Harden is made entirely of glass.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 7:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

To save the bullpen

when our rotation of youngsters inevitably has one of their 1.2 inning starts every few weeks.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 8:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i can't reply mainly b/c i suck

over on both.

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 5:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

is it a work thing? A computer thing?

What’s the deal, hoss? Inquiring minds want to know!

by PhilR8 on Dec 9, 2009 5:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess just a work thing...

Somedays it doesn’t load the page correctly and I can’t see anything. At best, I just can’t use the reply button. When I click it the screen goes all the way back to the top.

Any suggestions would be appreciated. At home I’m good to go.

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 5:35 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

You're probably fucked

I guess you’re lucky to see the page at all while at work.

by PhilR8 on Dec 9, 2009 5:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, we have an anchor to "mentor" the young guys

And didn’t really lose anything.

I’m not going to complain, although I think this is a pretty worthless move as a.) we’re not going to contend and b.) I’m not sure mentorship is worth $12 million.

Chris Ray is a clusterfuck, though, so I’m indifferent.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 5:36 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Also

I don’t buy the argument that this prevents us from rushing Erbe/Britton/Arrieta as Andy would be dumb as hell to do that because WE’RE NOT CONTENDING ANYWAY.

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 5:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It keeps from enduring a full season of Jason Berken: Starting Pitcher

that’s completely worth it to me.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 5:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Now that's a defense of this trade I can get behind!

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 5:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

birdman just threw down another Danny Bowl 2.0

with the declaration of millwood not lasting deep in games.

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 5:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

in response to phil...

that’s what i was afraid of. i try and refrain from posting much at work.

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 5:38 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I've already said i'm not big on Millwood

but hey, its not Eaton, Hendo, or Trachsel, so I guess i’m happy.

by daveh873 on Dec 9, 2009 6:00 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I basically agree

but that’s a low fucking bar to get over.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I never thought about it that way...

Don't give up, don't ever give up. - Jim Valvano

by BaltimoreSportsFan on Dec 9, 2009 6:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Fox News at their best

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb

“Rangers deal Kevin Millwood to Milwaukee”

Gee, thanks for remembering that Baltimore isn’t Milwaukee.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:24 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

From Fangraphs.

For the Orioles, they receive a roughly average starting pitcher. As a one year commitment, 12 million dollars isn’t egregious, but it probably will be above Millwood’s true market value. With the Orioles not in a position to compete, taking on that kind of salary doesn’t really make sense. This kind of money could be much better spent on international signings, draft picks, or other developmental type of projects. He will give them decent production, but is the marginal value of his 2-3 wins above replacement really worth 12 million dollars to them? I doubt it.

Exactly.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:27 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Its a fair perspective

but its not the only one.

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 6:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

of course,

the alternative perspective is spent a lot of money for below average performance but a lot of innings. I wouldn’t say this a bad perspective, but it’s not more productive for the long term health of the franchise than the one presented above.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Right.

It’s the most narrow-minded focus, the Orioles have a big pile of money to spend, they spent a small portion of that money for one year of Kevin Millwood instead of spending a larger portion over a longer time period for a comparable FA pitcher like Wolf. This is not a long-term commitment or a high-dollar one, it’s a way to protect the young arms both in the rotation and in the pen by giving them someone who is more likely to go 6+ every time out other than Guts.

Also, it doesn’t detract from the draft, international, or developmental budgets anymore than extending Markakis and Roberts last offseason did.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 6:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe, but

Our payroll is now going to be, what, $50M? I don’t think that this deal is a payroll killer. It’s an overpay in terms of dollars, but I don’t see it knocking us off of whoever we want in the draft, with a possible exception of Chapman.

And it’s less risky than the Rangers taking on Ray and Harden.

by CoachOfEarl on Dec 9, 2009 6:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's not payroll killer

It’s just money that could be spent elsewhere.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

There's not a lot to spend it on this year

relative to our needs. We’re passing on the top 3B because they want too many years, there are no good 1B, and we’re philosophically opposed to FA pitching.

by CoachOfEarl on Dec 9, 2009 6:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Chapman is out there...

I would rather see him money spent on him than on Millwood and his “saving the BP” mantra that twistedlogic is saying above.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 6:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Chapman is a huge risk

I have a feeling he’ll be the next Danny Cabs. Hopefully the MFY overpay for him, and he does.

Saving the BP is a good idea, people keep talking about it for a reason.

by CoachOfEarl on Dec 9, 2009 6:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It’s good idea for a contending team. For a redeveloping team, it doesn’t add up to much. It’ll just mean that crappy guys like Bob McCory will have to be called up some point to eat some innings.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

dude dont be an asshole

i never once said he is “saving the BP.” i just said he puts less strain on it than berken or hernandez

by twistedlogic on Dec 9, 2009 6:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

fine, my bad.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

fuck that - I am saying saving the BP and I don't get the need for quotation marks.

If 6-7 innings as opposed to 4-5 innings per start doesn’t save the bullpen, then I don’t know what does. It really doesn’t seem all that complicated to me.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 9:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i agree with you

i was thinking birdman meant that hes going to be the huge savior for the bullpen. i just meant hes gonna go 2 innings more every 5th day.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wait..isn't it really just 9 mil?

Don't let the sunshine fool ya. - Townes Van Zandt

by BPinOK on Dec 9, 2009 7:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah.

I pointed that out in the comments. I like FanGraphs, even if I often think they like numbers a little too much, but I wish their authors would proofread their articles more. It makes it seem a little too much like they draw a conclusion and then assemble the stats to prove their case.

Weaver's Fourth Law: Your most precious possessions on offense are your twenty-seven outs.

by Vuff on Dec 9, 2009 7:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's a moot point
This kind of money could be much better spent on international signings, draft picks, or other developmental type of projects.

This assumes that money that isn’t spent on roster is spent on signings and scouting—or vice-versa. A zero-sum game. But that ain’t the way it works. I don’t think the O’s operate with an uber-budget for everything. They have a budget for payroll and another one for development, and ne’er the twain shall meet.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 7:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This assumes that money that isn’t spent on roster is spent on signings and scouting—or vice-versa.

Or just isn’t spent. Or goes into Angelos’ pocket. Or is used to buy new copiers (couldn’t think of a good Office reference here). But yeah, I’m not sure how the budget works exactly. it just seems like there’s a finite amount of money. Thus money saved in one area could go elsewhere. Or maybe the budget is set and money can’t be moved around.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

lol except that it's not $12 M of our dollars.

It’s $9 M of our dollars AND THAT MONEY HAS NO IMPACT ON HOW MUCH WE CAN SPEND ON ANY OF THE OTHER AREAS!!!! FOR FUCK SAKES!!!

by O'sFan21 on Dec 9, 2009 9:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

AND THAT MONEY HAS NO IMPACT ON HOW MUCH WE CAN SPEND ON ANY OF THE OTHER AREAS!!!!

And that’s not his argument so stop laughing at an point you didn’t properly understand with all due respect. He never said money spent on Millwood impacts other areas. NEVER. He said why not spend that money elsewhere.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

sigh...

But the very statement “why not spend it elsewhere” implies that you can’t do that anyway! And that simply isn’t true. I don’t understand where anybody (you included – with all due respect) thinks they were going to invest $9 M that they still won’t invest???

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But the very statement "why not spend it elsewhere" implies that you can’t do that anyway!

It doesn’t even IMPLY THAT!!!

I don’t understand where anybody (you included – with all due respect) thinks they were going to invest $9 M that they still won’t invest???

I don’t understand this sentence particularly italicized part.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure what to tell you.

I obviously disagree with your first point. That’s what I take from reading that sentence – that you think that because they’re now spending this $9 M that it’s $9 M they can’t spend elsewhere.

And don’t know how to make that sentence any more clear. Did you think that they were going to draft a player in the first round that they are now not going to draft because of Millwood’s contract? Did you think they were going to sign some Japanese player that they now won’t sign because of Millwood’s contract? I thought it was pretty clear.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I obviously disagree with your first point. That’s what I take from reading that sentence – that you think that because they’re now spending this $9 M that it’s $9 M they can’t spend elsewhere.

Well, we’re getting to trying to understand what the author is implying. I’ll pass on this discussion.

Did you think that they were going to draft a player in the first round that they are now not going to draft because of Millwood’s contract? Did you think they were going to sign some Japanese player that they now won’t sign because of Millwood’s contract?

As I’ve already said several times, NO to both questions. I can’t speak for the author of the article.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok so we're in agreement.

His signing will have no impact on any future investments and so there is no debate about wishing they would have allocated the money elsewhere.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His signing will have no impact on any future investments and so there is no debate about wishing they would have allocated the money elsewhere.

Well, like I said before, I’m not going to presume how the budget works. I just said that I would rather see $9M spent on the draft and player development more broadly. But yes, I won’t say that money spent on Millwood means less money on the draft because I don’t think and neither does anyone else here.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 2:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Apparently, it's Ray and a PTBNL.

http://masnsports.com/2009/12/ptbnl-included.html

Weaver's Fourth Law: Your most precious possessions on offense are your twenty-seven outs.

by Vuff on Dec 9, 2009 6:41 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I can live with it.

So long as the PTBNL is someone else that isn’t of great consequence.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 6:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think we traded that guy for Rich Hill.

Maybe we’ll just send them Rich Hill.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 7:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This was fun

but I gotta get my drink on. I’ll talk to you all tomorrow.

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 9, 2009 6:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Millwood is not going to gets us draft picks

Even if he does become a type A/B pitcher. He would have to turn down arbitration, after a season where he made $12M. He’s not going to do that.

by CoachOfEarl on Dec 9, 2009 6:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

True, true

Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com

Follow me on twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Dec 9, 2009 7:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His agent is Scott Boras

He’ll turn down arbitration and then sign with the Yankees.

"I'd like to do something. We all would here," he added. "As I've said before, you just don't want to do anything stupid that you're thinking in May, 'What in the God's green earth was I thinking about?'" - Andy MacPhail 12/8/09

by getxstoked on Dec 9, 2009 7:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Millwood’s durability may be more an issue than it might appear on paper. Yes his history is fairly solid, but the 180 innings talk above requires it being pointed out that he’s reached that plateau once the last three seasons, and he’s turning 35 in a couple weeks.

It’s also worth noting that all the Guthrie hatin’ seems a bit bizarre if welcoming Millwood, as Guthrie’s shoddy 2009 was every bit as good as Millwood’s 2007 and 2008 seasons.

Millwood has an funny history. ERA+s by season:

1997: 103
1998: 102
1999: 167
2000: 99
2001: 103
2002: 128
2003: 99
2004: 92
2005: 146
2006: 102
2007: 88
2008: 88
2009: 127

Up until now, he had been really good every three years and league average or worse (and getting worse in the “worse” part as he ages, as you’d expect) in between those seasons. This time it took him four years.

So if Millwood stays consistent, he won’t be good again until he’s 37 or 38. Sad reality is probably that we’ll all hate Millwood by July, but perhaps he can put in the first back-to-back good seasons of his entire career.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by SC on Dec 9, 2009 7:07 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Its a weird pattern

Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com

Follow me on twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Dec 9, 2009 7:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I’ve always found it oddly fascinating. I really wanted the Orioles to sign him for 2005 because of his pattern and the fact that he was due, and lo and behold he went out and led the American League in ERA for the Indians. I think I wanted them to get him for 2008 too because of the pattern, but they didn’t and that time it turned out for the best.

Bad Left Hook
"If bulls**t was poetry, Ray 'Boom Boom' Mancini's name would be Shakespeare." -- Dennis Rappaport

by SC on Dec 9, 2009 7:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hate him now

"There's only one cure for what's wrong with all of us pitchers, and that's to take a year off. Then, after you've gone a year without throwing, quit altogether." -Jim Palmer

by Baltimo on Dec 9, 2009 7:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He's also in a contract year

Hopefully he draws a little extra motivation from that

by kba26 on Dec 9, 2009 7:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sad reality is probably that we’ll all hate Millwood by July,

Word.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

100% true

Im hoping we will just trade when Erbe, Arrieta, or Britton is ready

Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com

Follow me on twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Dec 9, 2009 7:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If Millwood does OK and isn’t traded, I think they’ll be space for both him and Arrieta due to injuries or ineffectiveness of other starters. Erbe and Britton probably won’t be ready.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So...

With Millwood, Guthrie, Bergesen, Tillman, and Matusz. Where would Arreta fit in if Millwood does pitch effectivley?

Check out my website, it has scouting reports for all the Orioles' top prospects and is updated daily. www.oriolesprospects.com

Follow me on twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Dec 9, 2009 7:50 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I have a feeling one of Guthrie, Bergesen, Tillman, and Matusz will either get injured or suck.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 9, 2009 7:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

bullpen

you see all the time young starters begin their ML careers in the bullpen, usually as a long reliever. it allows them to get settled in, pitching mostly in low-leverage situations (which means that even if they have a bad outing, it’s maybe not as bad mentally), while still giving them innings in the majors. then, if they look good, you can trade a starter or slot them in due to injury or whatever.

I think we’re just really used to throwing young guys into the rotation from the beginning simply because we didn’t have any better options.

by ugen64 on Dec 9, 2009 8:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

I think Arrieta is going to start his Baltimore career in the bullpen. It will be good for him to settle in and stuff. Of course, I would furious if Trembley threw him in, in a dangerous situation. If he pitches relief, he has to start the inning.

by LoveForTheGame13 on Dec 9, 2009 10:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

hey stranger.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 7:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

FWIW, 2005 was a contract year for him. 2009 was a club option/contract year for him. 2010 is as well. I have no idea what happened

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 7:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nevermind, I'm a moron

"Hey Yankees... you can take your apology and your trophy and shove 'em straight up your ass!" --Tanner Boyle

by BirdFanInPhilly on Dec 9, 2009 8:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

that's really interesting

and also bizarre. Honestly though I’ll be happy with him if he can stick at around 100.

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 11:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow.

Millwood looks kind of stunned this whole thing went down.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 8:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

what's especially interesting

is that his shadow looks like Pedro’s hair.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 9, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ha ha z

now everyone is gonna steal this pic from you too

Some Day, Matt Wieters Will Make The Cooperstown Crowd Laugh By Talking About The Time He Batted Behind Melvin Mora And Luke Scott. -Keith Law via Matt Wieters Facts

by Stacey on Dec 9, 2009 10:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i hope not

it was a 20-minute job. not remotely my best work.

"I doubt he could reach [second base]...mostly cuz his fucking arm was in Aybar's nuts." – twistedlogic

by zknower on Dec 10, 2009 2:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I like it.

Whenever the Orioles actually make a splash in free agency I’m happy. Should be good for the young pitchers.

by mlb32001 on Dec 9, 2009 8:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

This wasn't free agency

but hell, trades are fun, too.

Maybe in order to understand mankind, we have to look at the word itself: "Mankind". Basically, it's made up of two separate words—"mank" and "ind". What do these words mean? It's a mystery, and that's why so is mankind.
-Jack Handey

by jobe on Dec 10, 2009 3:23 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know how to feel.

I don’t think I feel much of anything. But at least its not negative.

by sickuvitall on Dec 9, 2009 11:25 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I read somewhere

that the ptbnl is the rule 5 pick we have tomorrow. I forget where. Probably MLBTR.

by daveh873 on Dec 10, 2009 12:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Damn

that quote from Chris Ray makes me feel bad. He’s always seemed like a good guy. Oh well I’ll root for him to do well.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 12:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely

I found myself really rooting hard for the Rangers last year. They got some likable guys, and by likable guys I mean I like the fact they have players who
1. Are Jewish (Ian Kinsler)
2. hit alotta homers and strike out (Chris Davis)
3. Don’t have the foresight to see that perhaps their drunken escapades could somehow be seen by millions thanks to Deadspin (Josh Hamilton)

But anyway, lots of luck to Chris Ray. Embarrass Howie Kendrick for me.

Maybe in order to understand mankind, we have to look at the word itself: "Mankind". Basically, it's made up of two separate words—"mank" and "ind". What do these words mean? It's a mystery, and that's why so is mankind.
-Jack Handey

by jobe on Dec 10, 2009 3:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is a decent move

We’re overpaying salary-wise although we have a lot of money to spend and it’s only a one-year commitment. Overpaying by a lot for one year isn’t that bad especially since there aren’t many league-average pitchers available. We wanted somebody from the AL who could pitch in a tough environment and we got one.
Player-wise it may be about even. Ray will probably rebound but he’s not necessary for the Os. It’s going to depend on who the Player to be named later is. E it rbe would be a high price but if it was a B prospect it would be ok

Like others have said Millwood should hopefully help protect a bullpen so taht we don’t have a year where three of our bullpen cogs don’t need Tommy John surgery. It also may protect our younger pitchers so Matuez may get a little bit more seasoning along with Arrieta
Protecting our pitchers on the cusp from being overchallenged and then exposed like Delmon Young or like our pitchers of yore is worth overpaying by a bit.

by OsandRoyals on Dec 10, 2009 1:23 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Everybody see how much Pettitte signed for???

That $9 M for one year doesn’t seem so bad. Starting pitchers are expensive. That’s life.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:43 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

lots of them, in fact

You aren’t seriously suggesting we compare Andy Pettitte – one of the best left handers in baseball – to Kevin Millwood, are you?

"I like baseball, movies, good clothes, whiskey, fast cars ... and you. What else you need to know?"

by Andrew @ TLC on Dec 10, 2009 11:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well - let's compare

Pettitte is 2 years older. He has a higher career WHIP, a higher career H/9, a lower career k/9, an identical career BB/9…

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Career numbers aren’t the best way to evaluate who’s better now. The last 3 years with more recent years weighted the more is the better route.

And is it me or is twistedlogic O’sfan21’s alter ego?

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:00 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not quite

i use quite a bit fewer fuck words. unless his alter ego is a bit cleaner than he.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 1:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, but Pettitte is also 2 full years older.

So how should you weight that? And we’ll be paying Millwood almost $3 M less than Pettitte, so is he more than $3 M per year better than Millwood?

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The probability of the older guy declining faster is greater. But most recent performance is the best predictor of future performance. ZIPS projects 101 ERA+ from Pettitte. Millwood is projected at 95 ERA+ which is unadjusted for pitching in the AL East (so it his projection may go down a bit). Pettitte is the better pitcher.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Right - which is why he will be paid $3 M more.

And I don’t think the AL East move will do much more than the fact that his home stadium will no longer be Texas.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Right – which is why he will be paid $3 M more.

Sure. I thought you wanted to evaluate who’s better. Who’s the better value is a separate question (which, personally, I would say Pettitte is the better value).

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No I was not debating who was better.

As I said below:

I mean I definitely think Pettitte is better than Millwood, but that’s why he’s getting more money than Millwood. I was just using it as an example that starting pitchers are expensive.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

gotcha, didn't see that comment since it was below.

Vizzini: Let me put it this way. Have you ever heard of Plato, Aristotle, Socrates?
Man in Black: Yes.
Vizzini: Morons.

by birdman on Dec 10, 2009 1:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that Pettitte is probably a better value, but it's probably pretty close.

And I’m not sure a better value was available on the FA market. Maybe if you signed one of the injury risk guys and got lucky and got a full season out of them.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 1:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

no not a chance

pettitte is not that good anymore and i doubt he deserved the contract he got. however, osfan21 was merely pointing out that 9 million is not really that much for starter.

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Right

I mean I definitely think Pettitte is better than Millwood, but that’s why he’s getting more money than Millwood. I was just using it as an example that starting pitchers are expensive.

by O'sFan21 on Dec 10, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

wow...it seems weird to say "9 million is not really that much"

its like al groh getting 4.3 million to get fired. sigh

by twistedlogic on Dec 10, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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