FanPost

BP forecasts

So Baseball Prospectus forecasts the Orioles to be scoring, and giving up the second most runs in all of baseball. To me, this is a very good sign. Obviously scoring a lot is good, beyond that none of the projections on offense seem particularly crazy. Markakis is expected to hit .286/.368/.466, B-Rob to hit .274/.355/.428, AJ .278/.331/.470 (with 22 HR), Wieters .311/.395/.534, and Pie to hit .274/.333/.435

 

All of these seem reasonable to me. This team is going to score some serious runs.

 

The pitching makes me feel good too, for maybe a sort of twisted Orioles-ish reason. It is projected to be so goddamn bad, that it actually can't really be worse, and could be way better. If these projections pan out, the team would have a  pythag. of 76-86. If even ONE of our pitchers exceeds expectations (i.e. not having an ERA of 5.72), this team should be better than that. It also gives me real hope for 2010 and beyond. The offense is only going to get better, all of are young bats are still 2-3 years away from their peaks, and the old, solid, boring bats (Huff, Luke, Wigg, Mora) are pretty easily replaceable.

 

But again, the pitching is going to be so bad, that even if Matustz and Tillman and Arrieta don't all pan out, or are just "ok" This offense will be able to provide a ton of runs. The O's look to give up 898 runs this year. 5.5 runs a game. If in 2010-2011, the team's pitching is just mediocre (not great), we could expect to give up...770 runs a game (4.75 ERA). THEN even if the offense doesn't improve We'd be looking at a team that scored almost 100 more than they give up. If the offense does improve modestly, as we should expect, this team could very well lead the majors in runs scored in 2010-11. If the pitching DOES work out, it is not hard at all to see a team that scores 900 and gives up 725. That's big time playoff material.

Sorry this is rambling, but it's got me all hot and bothered.

FanPosts are user-created content and do not necessarily reflect the views of the editors of Camden Chat or SB Nation. They might, though.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Camden Chat

You must be a member of Camden Chat to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Camden Chat. You should read them.

Join Camden Chat

You must be a member of Camden Chat to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Camden Chat. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker