Prop Projections for the 2009 Baltimore Orioles
by Scott Christ on Feb 24, 2009 7:59 AM EST
in Fun & Games
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I don't want to do a whole community projections project this year for a few reasons. One, it's a chore to put together after your average long and exhausting Orioles season, and I couldn't even be bothered last fall. What's the point? Hey did we get Jeremy Guthrie's win total right, yaaay we went 68-93...
So instead of full projections, how about some prop bets? We'll play with Camden Chat Monopoly money here.
You get $20,000. You have to bet on everything and you have to bet at least $100, so your biggest single bet can be $18,100 and $100 on the other 19 things. Don't be a wise acre and bet like $73.14. Leave cents out of it, Dennis the Menace.
It's basically just over/under and this guy or that guy stuff, pretty simple really.
We'll come back to this in October and see how everyone did.
IMPORTANT: Write down your bets in a word processor or notepad or whatever BEFORE you go into the comments. No influencing. No debating. Just make the bets. You can say, like, "Damn, that's a gutsy bet..." to someone else or make comments on your own bets. I'll put mine down once some of you get yours in. Scouts' honor, I already have mine written down.
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara's starts: 17.5
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
5. Over/under, Felix Pie's on-base percentage: .315.5
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis' stolen bases: 21.5
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff's OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel's games played, any role: 110.5
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
16. Over/under, Adam Jones' strikeouts: 122.5
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
18. Over/under, Chris Waters' starts: 11.5
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
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Comments
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 OVER 2500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 OVER 500
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? HUFF 2000
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? GUTS 1000
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 UNDER 500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? WIETERS by a TON 7500
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? SCOTT 1000
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? HILL 100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 OVER 100
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 OVER 1000
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? RAY 100
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 UNDER 100
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? MICKOLIO 100
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? MORA 500
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. NO 1000
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 UNDER 1500
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? ROBERTS 100
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 UNDER 100
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. FALSE 100
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 UNDER, barely 200
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Easiest bet on the board
Just counting the days until June 1 or so.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Hope I don't need to include the prop for each number, but here it is...
1. Under – $1,000
2. Under – $500
3. Huff – $1,500
4. Guthrie – $1,500
5. Over – $500
6. Weiters – $1,000
7. Scott – $1,000
8. Hendrickson – $500
9. Under – $500
10. Under – $1,000
11. Ray – $1,000
12. Under – $1,000
13. Mickolio – $500
14. Mora – $1,000
15. False – $1,500
16. Under – $1,000
17. Roberts – $1,500
18. Under – $1,000
19. True – $1,500
20. Over – $1,000
I think yours
should serve as the prototype for all subsequent entries. Well done.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
I'm more upset
by your prediction for #1 – blasphemy!
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
I learned how to trick myself long ago
This way if he’s over, I’ll be excited for my favorite O earning his pay. If he’s under, I’ll be swimming in CC money. Win – win!
There is that
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Here goes nothin'
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
UNDER — $500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
UNDER — $2,000
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
HUFF — $5,000
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
GUTHRIE — $2,000
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
OVER (barely) — $200
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
WIETERS — $500
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
LUUUUKE — $1,000
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
HENDRICKSON — $100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
UNDER — $200
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
UNDER — $300
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
RAY — $1,000
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
OVER – $1,500
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
BAEZ — $200
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
WIGGY — $1,000
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
FALSE — $1,000
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
OVER — $300
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
ROBERTS — $500
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
UNDER — $2,000
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
TRUE — $400
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
OVER — $300
big money
I’ll place $18,100 on number 20 and $100 on everything else.
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
OVER
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
OVER
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
MORA
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
UEHARA
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
UNDER
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
ZAUN
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
SCOTT
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
HENDRICKSON
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
UNDER
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
OVER
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
RAY
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
UNDER
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
BAEZ
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
MORA
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
FALSE
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
UNDER
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
JONES
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
UNDER
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
FALSE
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
OVER
there's the guy that did it
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
by Scott Christ on Feb 24, 2009 6:51 PM EST up reply actions
Hey, you left it as an option.
I just hope he’s wrong.
And I thought I was going strong with $7,500 on Wieters getting more starts than ZAUN!
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Ok then...
1. Over – $1000
2. Over – $100
3. Huff – $500
4. Koji – $500
5. Over – $100
6. Wieters – $5000
7. Mora – $500
8. Hill – $500
9. Under – $1000
10. Under – $1000
11. Ray – $1000
12. Under – $1000
13. Baez – $500
14. Wigginton – $1000
15. False – $1000
16. Under – $1000
17. Roberts – $1000
18. Under – $2000
19. True – $500
20. Over – $800
If #6 turns out to be ZAUN, then something terrible has happened!!
The blues have always been American, as American as apple pie. The question is...why?
My point exactly
Easiest bet on the board, people.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Here's my try
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5: Under – $800
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5: Over – $1500
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? Melvin $1300
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? Guthrie $2000
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5: Over (it HAS to be) $900
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? Wieters $2400
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? Luke $1000
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? Hill $700
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 : Under $500
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 : Under $500
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? Ray $1000
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5: Under $300
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? Baez $600
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? Wigginton $1000
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. False $500
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5: Over $500
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? Adam Jones $700
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5: Over $800
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.: False $1000
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5: Over $2000
1. Over $100
2. Over $500
3. Aubrey Huff $2000
4. Jeremy Guthrie $1000
5. Over $1000
6. Weiters $4000
7. Luke Scott $1000
8. Rich Hill $2000
9. Under $800
10. Under $100
11. Sherrill $100
12. Under $100
13. Baez $300
14. Wigginton $2000
15. False $2000
16. Under $2000
17. Brian Roberts $100
18. Under $500
19. False $100
20. Under $300
I don't feel like putting money amounts.
1. Over
2. Over
3. Aubrey Huff
4. Jeremy Guthrie
5. Under
6. Matt Wieters
7. Melvin Mora
8. Rich Hill
9. Under
10. Under
11. Chris Ray
12. Under
13. Baez
14. Melvin Mora
15. False
16. Under
17. Brian Roberts
18. Under
19. True
20. Over
You rebel you!
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
That I can relate to.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
hey, if you wanna make it easy
Just pick one to put $18,100 on and the rest are automatically 100.
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
by Scott Christ on Feb 24, 2009 6:52 PM EST up reply actions
1. Over – $1300
2. Over – $400
3. Huff – $700
4. Guthrie – $3600
5. Under – $100
6. Wieters – $7500
7. Mora – $400
8. Hendrickson – $1000
9. Under – $100
10. Over – $200
11. Ray – $500
12. Under – $100
13. Baez – $1500
14. Mora – $600
15. True – $700
16. Under – $100
17. Roberts – $600
18. Under – $200
19. True – $200
20. Over – $200
"Hats for bats, keep bats warm." Pedro Cerrano
Stealing the template from Chanumas
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5: OVER $500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5: UNDER $1000
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? MORA $100
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? GUTHRIE $500
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5: UNDER $500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? WIETERS $5300
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? MORA (did they both really have identical HR, 3B, and 2B totals last year? Weird.) $500
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? HENDRICKSON $1000
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 : OVER $1000
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 : UNDER $1000 (Prove me wrong Aubrey. Prove me wrong.)
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? SHERRILL $100
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5: UNDER $500
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? BAEZ $500
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? MORA $1000
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. FALSE $1000
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5: OVER $1000
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? JONES $1000
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5: OVER $500
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles: TRUE $1000
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5: OVER $1000
I hope that adds up right.
by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Feb 24, 2009 12:02 PM EST reply actions
I get $19K total
but then again, I married an accountant for a reason.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Funny part is
I do our taxes. She’s a gov’t accountant – all grants. Never deals with taxes, not even ours.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
Meh
Throw an extra $1000 on Wieters, then.
by Joltin Joe Orsulak on Feb 24, 2009 7:57 PM EST up reply actions
Props to You
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 – over 1000.00
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 – over 2000.00
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? Huff 2000.00
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? Guthrie 1000.00
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 over 500.00
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? Wieters 3000.00
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? Scott 500.00
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? Hill 1000.00
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 over 1000.00
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS .840.5 under 500.00
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? Ray 1000.00
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 Under 1000.00
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? Mickolio 500.00
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? Mora 1000.00
15. T/F: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. False 500.00
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 Under 500.00
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? Roberts 1000.00
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 Over 1000.00
19. T/F Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. True 500.00
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 500.00
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 OVER $500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 OVER $3000
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? MELVIN $100
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? KOJI $500
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 OVER $5000
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? WIETERS $2000
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? LUUUUUUKE $500
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? HILL $100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 UNDER $1000
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 UNDER $400
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? CHRIS RAY $200
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 UNDER $500
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? BAEZ $100
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? WIGGY $1000
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. FALSE $1000
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 UNDER $2000
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? BRIAN $100
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 UNDER $500
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. TRUE $1000
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 UNDER $1500
[Guthrie's] president of my heart. ~PhilR8
Bets
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
F the computer and me for not knowing how to use it.
All for $1000
1. OVER 2. OVER 3. HUFF 4. KOJI 5. UNDER 6. WIETERS 7. MORA 8. HILL 9. UNDER 10. UNDER
11. RAY (AS AN ORIOLE) 12. OVER 13. MICKOLIO 14. WIGGINGTON 15. FALSE 16. UNDER 17. JONES
18. UNDER 19. TRUE 20. OVER
by artmonk4ever on Feb 24, 2009 2:18 PM EST up reply actions
That'll work.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
It is now.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
nah
Neither is .840.5 — but you gotta have the half if he does .315 on the dot.
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
by Scott Christ on Feb 24, 2009 6:53 PM EST up reply actions
You could always have posted
.3155 – that is an actual number, you know.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
no
because in baseball terms that just gets rounded to .316. Using .3155 would make it seem like SC would be comparing averages to the 10,000th place
by NickMarkaces on Feb 24, 2009 10:11 PM EST up reply actions
Well, there you go.
Learned something today, I did.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
So low on Pie...
My best game plan is to sit on the bench and call out specific instructions like 'C'mon Boog,' 'Get ahold of one, Frank,' or 'Let's go, Brooks.' -Earl Weaver
here we go
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
OVER = he hits 24
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
OVER – 31
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
MORA – 6 to 5
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
Guthrie
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
Over – .321
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
Wieters – 90
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
Mora – 31, Huff – 26
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
HENDRICKSON – 13 to 11
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
Over – 23
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
Under – .822
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
Ray
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
under – 102
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
Baez
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
Wigginton – 22, Mora 18
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
True
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
Over – 126
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
AJ
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
under
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
false
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
over
I like this.
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 Under $500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 Under $500
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? Huff $2,000
4. Who will win more games in June: Guthrie or Uehara? Guthrie $5,000 (And in all the other months.)
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 Over $500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? Weiters $500
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? Melmo $1,000
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? Hendrickson $1,000
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 Under $500
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 Over $500
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? Sherrill $1,000
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 Over $500
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? Joan $500
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? Mora $500
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles: FALSE $500
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 Under $500
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? B-Rob $1,000
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 Under $500
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles: FALSE $2,500 (The Baltimore Orioles, right?)
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 Over $500
Only $500 on #6????
I’m telling ya, easiest money on the board, that one.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
I’m not convinced that Weiters is everyday beginning in June. There’s a possibility of some stops and starts before he is full time.
Easiest money on the board is #19. I’m not sure Hayden Penn will start 7 games lifetime in an O’s jersey, let alone 2009.
It may not wait until June
Whenever his service clock won’t start, I bet we see him starting within the week.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
I'll regret these by June
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
OVER, $2,500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
UNDER, $500
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
HUFF, $1,000
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
GUTHRIE, $1,000
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
UNDER, $500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
ZAUN, $500
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
MORA, $500
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
HILL, $1,000
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
UNDER, $500
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
UNDER, $1,000
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
SHERRILL. $1,000
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
UNDER, $1,000
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
BAEZ (Allah willing), $1,000
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
MORA, $1,000
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
TRUE, $500
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
UNDER, $1,500
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
JONES, $1,500
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
UNDER, $1,000
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
FALSE. $1,000
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
OVER, $1,500
what are the payouts on each bet?
E.g. #6 should be something like 1-50, while #13 is tougher and should have a reasonable payout at perhaps even money.
they should all be even money
and they are
by NickMarkaces on Feb 24, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
under – $100
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
over – $2000
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
Huff $800
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
Guthrie $300
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
over $800
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
Zaun $300
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
Scott $500
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
Hill $1400
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
under $1200
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
over $600
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
Sherrill $100
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
under $700
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
Baez $100
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
Mora $400
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
false $1500
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
under $600
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
Roberts $1300
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
under $1600
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
under $5000
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
over $700
I'll put 1K on each of theses
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
Over
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
Under
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
Huff
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
Guthrie
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
Over
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
Wieters
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
Mora
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
Hendrickson
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
Under
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
Over
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
Ray
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
Under
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
Baez
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
Mora
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
Over
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
Over
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
Roberts
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
Under
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
True
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
Under
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 OVER $1000
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 OVER $7150
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? MORA $100
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? KOJI $100
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 OVER $500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? WIETERS $7150
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? SCOTT $100
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? HENDRICKSON $100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 OVER $2200
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS: .840.5 OVER $100
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? RAY $600
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 UNDER $100
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? MICKOLIO $100
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? MORA $100
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. TRUE $100
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 UNDER $100
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? ROBERTS $100
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 UNDER $100
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. FALSE $100
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 UNDER $100
PS
If I really wanted to win, or if there was some prize involved, I would make it:
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 OVER $100
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 OVER $18100
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? MORA $100
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? KOJI $100
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 OVER $100
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? WIETERS $100
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? SCOTT $100
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? HENDRICKSON $100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 OVER $100
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS: .840.5 OVER $100
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? RAY $100
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 UNDER $100
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? MICKOLIO $100
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? MORA $100
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. TRUE $100
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 UNDER $100
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? ROBERTS $100
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 UNDER $100
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. FALSE $100
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 UNDER $100
by NickMarkaces on Feb 24, 2009 10:09 PM EST up reply actions
and mine
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5
Under, $200
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5
Under, $2000
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
Mora, $300
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
Guthrie, $500
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5
Under, $1500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
Wieters, $3000
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
Scott, $700
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
Hill, $2500
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5
Under, $400
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5
Under, $4000
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
Sherrill, $100
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5
Under, $500
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
Baez, $1300
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
Wigginton, $900
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
False, $500
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5
Over, $1000
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
Jones, $200
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5
Over, $100
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.
False, $100
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5
Over, $200
"If they cut my bald head open, they will find one big boxing glove. That's all I am. I live it." -- Marvin Hagler
Another shamelessly stolen template from Chanumas
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5:
Over $1,500
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5:
Over $1,000
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff?
Huff $500
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara?
Uehara $100
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5:
Over $11,000
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters?
Wieters $500
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora?
Mora $100
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson?
Hendrickson $100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 :
Under $100
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 :
Under $100
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill?
Ray $500
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5:
Under $500
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio?
Baez $500
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora?
Mora $500
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles.
True $500
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5:
Over $300
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones?
Adam Jones $300
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5:
Under $1300
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles.:
False $300
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5:
Under $300
hell yeah
I mean, if Felix wants to stay in the majors, he kind of has to have an OBP of at least .316, right? Plus, I’m an optimist.
We have our president
of the Felix Pie Fan Club.
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
The last one is the easiest money
I almost put the max on it but that wouldn’t be as much fun.
1. Over $1k
2. Over $1k
3. Huff $1k
4. Uehara $200
5. Under $1k
6. Zaun $200
7. Mora $200
8. Hendrickson $200
9. Under $2k
10. Over $1k
11. Ray $1k
12. Under $2k
13. Mickolio $200
14. Wiggity $1k
15. False $200
16. Under $200
17. Jones $200
18. Under $1k
19. False $200
20. Over $6200
ZAUN! ZAAAAAAAUN!
"I understand that it's a big-boy world and I have to move on."
1. Over/under, Nick Markakis home run total: 23.5 – OVER $1000
2. Over/under, Koji Uehara’s starts: 17.5 – OVER $500
3. Who will hit more home runs in April: Melvin Mora or Aubrey Huff? MORA $1000
4. Who will win more games in June: Jeremy Guthrie or Koji Uehara? GUTS $2000
5. Over/under, Felix Pie’s on-base percentage: .315.5 UNDER $500
6. Who will start more games at catcher: Gregg Zaun or Matt Wieters? ZAUN $1000
7. Who will hit more doubles: Luke Scott or Melvin Mora? Mora $100
8. Who will make more starts: Rich Hill or Mark Hendrickson? Hill $100
9. Over/under, Cesar Izturis’ stolen bases: 21.5 OVER $100
10. Over/under, Aubrey Huff’s OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage): .840.5 UNDER $7300
11. Who will have more strikeouts: Chris Ray or George Sherrill? Ray $100
12. Over/under, Ryan Freel’s games played, any role: 110.5 UNDER $100
13. Who will have less appearances: Danys Baez or Kam Mickolio? Baez $100
14. Who will hit more home runs, total: Ty Wigginton or Melvin Mora? Wigginton $1000
15. True/False: Nolan Reimold will start at least 12 games for the Orioles. FALSE $1000
16. Over/under, Adam Jones’ strikeouts: 122.5 UNDER $1000
17. Who will hit more triples: Brian Roberts or Adam Jones? Roberts $1000
18. Over/under, Chris Waters’ starts: 11.5 UNDER $1000
19. True/False: Hayden Penn will start at least seven games for the Orioles. TRUE $1000
20. Over/under, number of pitchers who start games for the Birds: 12.5 UNDER $100
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