Don't articles like this one (washingtonpost.com) and this one (espn.com), talking about the likes of Strasburg and Prior make you a little less hopeful about our top-five pick, Matusz? It confuses me that he is rated by a lot of people as our second best prospect ahead of even Tillman who already has a professional track record.
I think if we can just take our expectations down a notch or two we might be better prepared for what the odds say will happen: that at least one (likely two, and maybe even all three) of our Big Three won't be studs at the major league level...that depressed me writing that. I'm sorry if it depressed you reading it.
At least there's the array of high second-tier prospects (the Bergesens, Erbes, D-Hernandezes, Spoones, etc...) from which there is bound to be at least one good surprise to fall back on the after possible bad surprises among the first-tier ones. Safety in numbers! (Go MacPhail, Go!)
I know everyone must have read more or less this exact post twenty times by now (and written by better baseball minds than me) but I guess I just needed to write it out for my own benefit.
Random, Somewhat-Related, Bold Prediction: Bergesen will pitch more innings for the big club this season than anyone else on the roster, Guts and Koji included.