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Brian Matusz: Could We Be Seeing a Matt Wieters Situation?

 

Since Joe Jordan took over the scouting duties in 2005, the Baltimore Orioles have had some memorable draft picks. In 2005, the team selected and signed good players like Brandon Snyder, Nolan Reimold, David Hernandez, and Brandon Erbe, and even picked Tanner Scheppers with the O's 29th round pick. Scheppers appears to be a consensus Top 15 pick in the upcoming draft. 2006 was a shaky draft, as well, as none of the early picks have lived up to their hype. Billy Rowell has shown vast improvement this year (6 HRs, 22 RBIs), but doesn't have a role on the team in the future, nor does Pedro Beato, Ryan Adams, or Jedediah Stephen, all early picks who haven't lived up to their expectations so far.

But in 2007, also the same year Andy MacPhail took over as team president, Jordan pulled off an epic draft. With the fifth overall pick, he chose catcher Matt Wieters, Timothy Bascom, Jake Arrieta, Wally Crancer, Cole McCurry, Colin Allen, and Kraig Binick, all guys who are succeeding in the O's farm system. In Wieters case, succeeding in Major League Baseball. There is no doubt Wieters is the most prized of all. A Boras client, the switch hitting catcher signed minutes before the August 15th deadline. Because he signed so late, he wasn't able to get any minor league seasoning that year, and would report to High Single A Frederick in 2008. It didn't take him long to move up the ranks.

In just 69 games, Wieters became the best prospect in the Carolina League, hitting .345 with 15 home runs and 40 RBI before getting the promotion to Double A Bowie. There, he performed even batter, batting .365 with 12 homers and 51 RBI. Wieters impressed many during Spring Training, batting over .300. There was no doubt he was major league ready. However, to make sure the O's have control of him for a longer period of time, the O's decided to give him some at bats at Triple A Norfolk. Wieters got off to a slow start, starting just 1-for-11, but in late May, he was hitting .305 with five homers and 30 RBI - certainly not top prospect in baseball numbers - but impressive ones, to say the least.

On May 29th, he got the call to play against the Detroit Tigers. He struggled in his first game, going just 0-for-4, but called an outstanding game, leading rookie Brad Bergesen to an eight inning, two run performance. In a 6-3 loss to Detroit the next night, he went 2-for-4 with a double and a triple, and showed why he is the top prospect in baseball. So far, Wieters is just 2-for-11 (.182), but fans have no reason to worry. He's hitting the ball hard, and the way batting averages are adjusted this early, one at bat could make a difference. If he goes 3-for-4 tonight against the Seattle Mariners, he's suddenly hitting .333.

After making such a good selection in Wieters, the O's weren't hesitant to go with an experienced, college player early in the 2008 draft, picking San Diego left handed pitcher Brian Matusz. Like Wieters, the O's decided to start Matusz right away. Some analysts argued that Matusz had the poise and command to be major league ready right away. He hasn't hurt that title in Frederick, where he has a 2.37 earned run average and in his last five starts, has allowed a combined five runs.

In a Sunday afternoon win over the Salem Red Sox, Matusz dominated, pitching seven innings, allowing five hits, walking one, and striking out four. In Matusz' previous start, he shut down Wilmington, allowing four hits and no runs over seven frames. Three starts prior to that, he allowed one run and struck out 13 in seven innings. Looking over his numbers, Matusz has to be the O's Minor League Pitcher of the Year. He hasn't missed a start, has pitched 60.2 innings, allowed just 51 hits, has struck out 69, and walked just 20. In the majors, he doesn't project as a guy who can strike out a lot of hitters, but currently leads the Carolina League in punchouts.

It appears the O's are taking the Wieters approach with Matusz. He's lighting it up in Single A, practically pitching his way into Bowie, just like Wieters hit his way into. Just ask Orioles MASNSports blogger Roch Kubatko. "I don't know when he'll move up to Bowie. He might have to wait until the break. It might happen a little sooner. But it's coming." It wouldn't be surprising if Matusz takes over Troy Patton's role in Bowie as the No. 2 starter, just behind Jake Arrieta. For the first time, we'll see a rotation with the two paired up. 

With the way he's been pitching lately (14 IP, 9 H, 0 ER last two starts), I wouldn't be surprised if his next start is in a Bowie Baysox uniform. A rotation in Bowie consisting of Arrieta, Matusz, along with a healthy Brandon Erbe could be a very scary one. Matusz also has the right attitude: "You can't focus on, oh, I want to be in Double A right now, I want to be in Triple A, the big leagues. It's just a matter of going out there start by start and working on the things I need to work on to get better. I struggled in my first few starts. I was trying to make the major leagues in one day, and you can't do that. It's a long season, and a long process."

Matusz hasn't struggled in his last few starts, and many argue he's major league ready right now. There's even video of him retiring major league hitters like Jeremy Hermida and Dan Uggla. With what we have seen from him in recent years, I wouldn't argue that he's major league ready. The O's would be wise not to rush him, but I think we're seeing a Matt Wieters approach - send him to Frederick, promote him to Bowie. Then the next season, play it safe - start him in Triple A, and make him earn the most important phone call of his life.




 

 

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He's not major league ready until he at least proves his worth at AA

But yeah, I definitely wouldn’t mind if Matusz followed Wieters and was up here by April/May of next year.

My best game plan is to sit on the bench and call out specific instructions like 'C'mon Boog,' 'Get ahold of one, Frank,' or 'Let's go, Brooks.' -Earl Weaver

by Baltimo on Jun 1, 2009 1:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Yup

I say semi-MLB ready because of the poise I hear he has. But I can expect him up here in June 2010.

by isaac26 on Jun 1, 2009 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

June is probably more likely

But if at least a couple of Hernandez/Berken/Bergesen/Patton/Hill stick around to complement Tillman/Arrieta/Guthrie, then you’re suddenly in a contending position, and the club may want more immediate pieces.

If Matusz does well in Bowie and then impresses in spring training, I could definitely see him making the team if, and only if, we have many other pieces already in place. This concept is hard for us to grasp, but we may actually have something to play for next year.

In all likelihood, Andy will take the safe route irrespective of the legitimacy of our ML team, but if a few fringey pitching prospects stick around to complement an already stellar lineup and a few FA acquisitions, then we’ll be a good team next year.

My best game plan is to sit on the bench and call out specific instructions like 'C'mon Boog,' 'Get ahold of one, Frank,' or 'Let's go, Brooks.' -Earl Weaver

by Baltimo on Jun 1, 2009 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jedediah Stephen was 2006???

Geez, that’s bad. Dude’s at DELMARVA now, for crying out loud, and not exactly ripping up low-A. I’d just assumed he was a 2008 pick when I heard his name in the lineups. Wow, that’s bad.

"I’m going to go out and buy pizzas for everybody, and we’re going to have a pajama party out there waiting for Wieters..." - Dave Trembley

by duck on Jun 1, 2009 2:30 PM EDT reply actions  

I figured out what his problem is

His favorite player is Derek Jeter.

Matt Wieters broke a bat last night. Nobody knows what happened to the ball.

by CoachOfEarl on Jun 1, 2009 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jed. Stephen

C’mon, Jeter? BOO.

Anyway, Steve Melewski reports that he’s just been sent to Frederick, FWIW.

"The United States is the New York Yankees of countries...powerful and respected until the year 2000." - Homer J. Simpson

by Brotz13 on Jun 1, 2009 3:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Pitchers are a little different...

He has to build up the stamina for a 200 IP season, work on holding runners, pitch with runners onbase, rely less on the curve, and overall command needs some refinement.

Whatever Matusz can develop in the minors is one less thing he has to work on as a majorleaguer. We can’t chalk up the art of pitching to a mysterious and indefinite learning period that we’ve done in the last 10+ years. We’ve done it that way which makes pitching look like it’s some kind of unpredictable light that could turn on (or not). That’s what we’ve seen but that’s not how it should be done. There are certain things that should be taken care of before a prospect even sniffs the majors. I’m not suggesting you can make an All-Star pitcher out of nothing, but you can maximize every pitching prospect’s abilities to some servicable level.

What I like about Andy MacPhail is that he seems to be drawing a firm line about what gets you to the majors. In the recent past, I think that thing would have been stuff, velocity, or strikeouts which explains why we’ve seen so many Throwers called up to Camden. Under MacPhail that thing is “Throwing strikes.” Simple.

by basemonkey on Jun 2, 2009 3:15 PM EDT reply actions  

True

More to the point, you get called up if you throw strikes at every level (A, A+, AA, AAA). No jumps straight from Bowie (Cabrera, Penn, etc.).

"The United States is the New York Yankees of countries...powerful and respected until the year 2000." - Homer J. Simpson

by Brotz13 on Jun 2, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

And for further validation of that point...

check out the walk numbers of Bergesen, Hernandez and Berken thus far:

Bergesen: 47.1 IP, 12 BB
Berken: 12.0 IP, 5 BB
Hernandez: 5.2 IP, 4 BB

OK, Hernandez has some work to do. And Berken’s number could be lower, but most of his BB came in his first start.

Point is, do we even want to run the numbers for a random 3 starters from last year’s club? Or our last 3 call-ups? No, no we don’t.

These guys learned early – throw strikes, work your way up a step at a time, master a skill set, and your chance will come.

"I’m going to go out and buy pizzas for everybody, and we’re going to have a pajama party out there waiting for Wieters..." - Dave Trembley

by duck on Jun 2, 2009 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

and...

i think it’s one thing to promote guys rapidly that are polished and accomplished (see verlander, lincecum), but penn, loewen and cabrera were CLEARLY not ready for primetime. garrett olson is a whole different kettle of fish.

"If they pitch to you, make them pay."

--Diamond Dave to the Phenom

by j.q. higgins on Jun 2, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

one can dream about that!

How outstanding would that be if Brian Matusz turned out to be that number one staff ace? i would not think rushing him would be the right move, however, if he is lights out and looks very dominating why ‘waste’ him in the minors? I can honestly say that i am torn on that very decision, one decision that a team most certainly loves to have.
The way things are shaping up around the Orioles, with our very good young pitching, things could get very interesting. This could be the starting foundation of a real dynasty, i.e the 1990’s Yankees. Yeah i know i hate the Yankees reference, but it could be a real thought!

by orioleDEN on Jun 2, 2009 8:51 PM EDT reply actions  

He's not ready

Let him work up the ladder, just like the other pitchers did, just like Reimold did, just like Wieters did.

"I’m going to go out and buy pizzas for everybody, and we’re going to have a pajama party out there waiting for Wieters..." - Dave Trembley

by duck on Jun 3, 2009 8:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

why ‘waste’ him in the minors?

You’re not wasting a player by allowing him to prove himself.

My best game plan is to sit on the bench and call out specific instructions like 'C'mon Boog,' 'Get ahold of one, Frank,' or 'Let's go, Brooks.' -Earl Weaver

by Baltimo on Jun 3, 2009 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also

Why call him up when we’re going nowhere?

My best game plan is to sit on the bench and call out specific instructions like 'C'mon Boog,' 'Get ahold of one, Frank,' or 'Let's go, Brooks.' -Earl Weaver

by Baltimo on Jun 3, 2009 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

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