Upcoming Litmus Test
Orioles will be tested in the two weeks ahead.
The next 10 games will be a great test to see if the Orioles have truly progressed as a team, particularly with timely hitting and solid pitching. The team has the opportunity to close out an already locked up three game series against the Nationals tomorrow, Sunday, afternoon. This will be the first test, can they win yet another Sunday afternoon game after already taking the series. Personally, I believe David Hernandez will, well he should, have a chip on his shoulder throughout this upcoming recall stint. He has something to prove and an opportunity to show he belongs.
That being said, the Orioles seemingly revitalized offense will play host to division rivals Boston to open up next week. A series that will close out with an afternoon getaway game on Wednesday featuring a HUGE test for Brad Bergesen against Beckett. The rookie pitcher's mettle will definately be tested. This series will be a perfect chance for the Orioles to show the beginnings of preparedness to compete in the AL east and it will be key to pick up a few wins against division teams.
Following the Boston series the O's depart for a six game west coast trip featuring Seattle and the Angels, two teams that have combined to give the Orioles fits this year. 0-2 against the Angels, albeit 1 loss was with Adam Eaton on the hill. Honestly, there's nothing overpowering about the Mariners or Angels offenses. The Orioles have faced much more potent lineups (Detroit, Texas when Hamilton was healthy and they were hitting, Boston) than these two teams and, by now, I expect them to be at least average. Let's face it, our pitching and defense is generally better than it was about a month ago.
This is their big chance to show what they can do. Trembely talks about how he thinks the team has improved. I agree with him, they have. Addition by subtraction has ridded the pitching staff of the likes of Adam Eaton and Jamie Walker and Mark Hendrickson has been hidden well enough in the bullpen where he doesn't do too much damage. The promotion of Bergesen, who seems like an intense guy who wants to win now, is welcomed to the rotation. Wieters will have the chance to break things open as it will be, I believe, his 2nd west coast trip, and Mora and the top 3 hitters seem to be awakening from their June slumber.
I don't know about anyone else, but I am really excited to see what happens the next 10 games. The team has improved so now we will see if they are up to the task of breaking out of the routine's we've become accustomed to the past couple years consisting of poor west coast trips and a habit of lying down to AL East teams. In reality, we caught a huge break in interleague play the last two weeks because Philly and NY Mets were pretty banged up, and Washington isn't very good. We let the Marlins get the best of us each night when we really should have at least won 1 game, and took 2 of 3 from a respectable Atlanta team with a good coaching staff. Now its time to test where the team is at mentally and physically. I think it can be done!
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I agree that this stretch is big...
But I have less faith than you that we’ll come through it well. For one thing, I don’t think this team is mentally tough enough for that (see getting swept by the Fins after a great Atl-NYM-Phil stretch).
And unfortunately the top 3 hitters aren’t really awakening. In his last 12 games Roberts is hitting .217. In his last 11 Jones is hitting .234. Nick’s brought the average up but we havent seen any power in a while.
The removal of Eaton and Hendrickson from the rotation has been nice, but Berken has given us a 6.32 ERA, so we still have dead weight in the #5 spot. Rich Hill too is over 6…and now Koji’s a big mystery. Obviously Bergesen has been money, and Guthrie seems to have mostly righted the ship, but I don’t know that our pitching is that much improved.
Johnson and Sherrill are animals lately, but Baez seems to have come back to earth, and Ray seems to have picked up right where he left off. So, all in all, we’re still going to be maddeningly incosistent.
bass...
is also regressing. couldn’t help but notice that hefty WHIP.
"If they pitch to you, make them pay."
--Diamond Dave to the Phenom
by j.q. higgins on Jun 28, 2009 8:47 AM EDT up reply actions
Berken's FIP is 4.02
which indicates he’s pitched a lot better than his results.
Rich Hill still stinks, but he’s shown flashes.
"Do they have people that tall in Mexico?"
Fair enough
But he’s not expected to be all that good – he’s way down the list of our pitching prospects. He’s a bullpen guy. And maybe hes been unlucky so far but he does have only a 5.5 K rate so he cant be that unlucky.
both points
are true, actually. The upcoming stretch, along with probably another start or two after that, I get the impression we will really find out if Rich Hill has any value at all. To date he’s had a couple good starts and a couple awful starts. Personally, for a guy like Berken, I could almost handle him giving up 4ER a game for a while as long as he’s getting through 6 innings. But he hasn’t been. Hernandez can hopefully step up for 1 of these 2 guys until the monsters in AAA arrive either late summer or 2010. I always thought Hernandez was better than Berken, but who knows. Bass seems to have hit a rough patch mid-June but him and Albers seem to be a tandem of fatness that picks up the slack when the other is struggling, so we end up having 1 useful one all the time.
…Now if we can just protect Baez and inch his ERA back down a little for MacPhail to trick some unsuspecting GM who’s team is in a playoff push mode. Hey, who doesn’t need middle relief when gearing up for the playoffs.
tandem of fatness...
wow.
"If they pitch to you, make them pay."
--Diamond Dave to the Phenom
by j.q. higgins on Jun 28, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Sad to say
but I think 5 and 5 in the 10 games mentioned would be a moral victory.
1933 was a bad year
by Senatorrosewater on Jun 29, 2009 4:11 PM EDT reply actions

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