Community Prospect List #6

by ravensfan3 on Jan 29, 2010 3:49 PM EST Comment 17 comments

With 50% of the vote,

Brandon Erbe

is awarded the title of the CC's #5 prospect!

List so far:

2. Josh Bell

Candidates for #6 prospect:

Xavier Avery

Brandon Snyder

Matt Hobgood

Caleb Joseph

Cameron Coffey

Michael Ohlman

Mychal Givens

Luis Lebron

Kam Mickolio

Poll is listed in alphabetical order.

What do you think of Keith Law ranking Zach Britton as the #25 prospect in the MLB? Ahead of both Arrieta and Bell.

Poll

Who is the Orioles #6 prospect?

Xavier Avery

0 votes

Cameron Coffey

0 votes

Mychal Givens

1 votes

Matt Hobgood

9 votes

Caleb Joseph

1 votes

Luis Lebron

0 votes

Kam Mickolio

7 votes

Michael Ohlman

1 votes

Brandon Snyder

40 votes

59 votes | Poll has closed

FanPosts are user-created content and do not necessarily reflect the views of the editors of Camden Chat or SB Nation. They might, though.

0 recs | Comment 17 comments

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Comments

This is going to be a runaway

Because there’s Snyder, then there’s some relievers (lower ceiling), and a lot of raw dudes.

Law’s ranking is interesting, sort of. Britton has positioned himself to have a career (thus far) defining season that could propel him to top 15 status in most publications. I think Law’s ranking reflects that more than anything else.

Bedard says he doesn't care and thinks goals are pointless.

by Andrew @ TLC on Jan 29, 2010 4:27 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

The more I think about it

The more I think that Erbe should be #7, after Snyder and Hobgood.

Also, looking at the prospect rankings and how high Matzek is and the total lack of Hobgood, I’m now forced to root against Matzek in the hope that Jordan proves out. Otherwise, I’m going to start feeling really badly about the 2009 draft again.

I’m also feeling more and more strongly that I hope the O’s take a position player at 1:3 this year.

by James F on Jan 29, 2010 4:33 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

They need to get some bats into the system

Law ranked Matzek #24! We couldve had that guy!

www.oriolesprospects.com | twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Jan 29, 2010 5:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Yeah

I think that’s reaching on Matzek, but Law likes to rank the guys who haven’t pitched yet very highly.

Based on the trends that I’m seeing in the draft, it feels to me like a lot more quality arms go late than quality bats. Right now I’m favoring Colon still for our 2010 pick, but at least one mock I’ve seen doesn’t have Colon even making it to us. If not Colon, I’m leaning Zach Cox right now, but can also see a case for Castellanos. I like Taillon. But I want Colon and then a whole bunch of pitchers later on.

by James F on Jan 29, 2010 10:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I still say we go with Ranaudo if he is there

He can make in impact quickly and could be ready to help right around the time we could be contending.

www.oriolesprospects.com | twitter @orioleprospects

by ravensfan3 on Jan 29, 2010 11:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Oh he'll be there...

….he just signed with Boras. He’s not going to go to the Pirates.

by James F on Jan 29, 2010 11:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Taillion

I’m hoping for Taillion at this point.

Librarians are hiding something

by dfa on Jan 30, 2010 3:32 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Snyder

I seem to run hot and cold on Brandon Snyder. His production seems to hinge on his BABIP, but I’ve learned that some guys can regularly put up higher than average BABIPs. So, his struggles in Norfolk can be explained by his low BABIP (321), and his incredible Bowie numbers can be attributed to an unsustainably high BABIP (403). His career minor league BABIP is 352. Earlier this off-season I didn’t think a BABIP that high could be sustained, but given his ability to consistently hit line drives, I believe it’s possible. So I guess he could be in the mold of Mark Grace. (I’m not 100% certain of all this, it’s just from what I’ve been able to pick up, so feel free to correct me if I’m mistaken.)

As far as Britton’s #25 ranking, I think it’s a combination of his K rate and his GB rate and being lefthanded. I think it’s a little aggressive, but he’s had to work for his kudos, as I don’t think many national types knew of him much last year. I think Law sees Arrieta as a reliever and doesn’t value relievers very highly.

Librarians are hiding something

by dfa on Jan 29, 2010 9:15 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Eh

As a top 100 prospect, Law sees Arrieta as one of the top 1% of all players in the minors. I wouldn’t get too concerned about it.

BABIP is generally higher in the minors due to the defense being worse.

by James F on Jan 29, 2010 10:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Arrieta

Yeah, I’m not saying Arrieta is a bad prospect, I was speculating on Arrieta’s ranking in Law’s mind. I’m higher on Arrieta than Law, and I’d gues Calli and Sickels are.

Re: BABIP…I guess the question is if certain types of hitters can sustain higher BABIPs than others and then what are the chances that Snyder can hit that ceiling.

Librarians are hiding something

by dfa on Jan 29, 2010 10:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I dunno

Parsing Law’s rankings, particularly since I can’t see his comments on them, is a bit beyond me.

There is a lot of evidence that certain hitters can sustain high BABIP numbers, although mostly that comes from speedy types who beat out a lot of hits. With prospects, you also expect that they are getting better each year, so even as the defenses improve, Snyder should be improving with them. I’m clearly higher on Snyder than most people here and most evaluators.

by James F on Jan 29, 2010 11:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Was between Mickolo and Snyder for me

Went with Mickolo because he’s already been successful in the majors. He pitched some really good innings for us last year and should be in our bullpen this year.

"Roberts is unconscious!!!!" - Jim Hunter, after Brian Roberts hits his second HR of the night. 9/21/09

by Gonfoo on Jan 30, 2010 8:13 AM EST reply actions 0 recs