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Who is Anthony Rendon?

Anthony Rendon is the presumptive #1 overall pick in the 2011 Amateur Draft, and the Orioles, currently the worst team in the majors, are in a prime position to have the #1 overall pick.  This is particularly true because the Orioles have the third-toughest schedule in baseball and the toughest in the American League in the second half; even if the Orioles improve their play, they could well end up with the worst record in the majors.

But while the hype for Rendon is growing, it has yet to reach Bryce Harper levels, and he remains something of an unknown at the national level.  Who is Anthony Rendon, and is he worth the acclaim?

Star-divide

The 5'11 Rendon was a star shortstop for Lamar High School in his native Houston, leading his team to the District 20-5A championship in 2007 as a junior and being selected as the First team 5A all-state shortstop as a senior in 2008.  Rendon hoped to be selected in the fifth or sixth round of the 2008 draft, but fell all the way to the Atlanta Braves in the 27th round.  The Braves flew him out to Georgia to play in a wood bat tournament, but didn't like what they saw enough to offer him first day money, so Rendon went to school in the fall in his hometown for the Rice Owls.  Rice coach Wayne Graham, who appeared in thirty games in the majors as a third baseman, thought that Rendon had the kind of defensive skills that would make him a plus defender at the hot corner.

What Graham didn't expect, and what no one really expected, was Rendon's immediate offensive impact.  Rendon started every game at third base for the Owls as a true freshman, and hit .388/.496/.702 with twenty home runs.  Those numbers led to a barrage of accolades; Rendon was named National Freshman of the Year, All-American, Freshman All-American, Conference USA Player of the Year, and MVP of the Conference USA All-Tournament Team.  He was a national semifinalist as well for the Golden Spikes Award and the Dick Howser Award.  Rendon proved not only to be a special talent as a freshman, but highly durable, playing the first 534.2 consecutive innings of the season for the Owls and in over 98% of the total innings for the season.

Rendon returned for his sophomore year with the burden of lofty expectations, and exceeded all of them.  This past season, Rendon hit .394/.530/.801 with twenty-six home runs for the Owls while playing superb defense at third and even spending some time back at his high school position of shortstop.  Rendon was once again named Conference USA Player of the Year, was named Baseball America's National Player of the Year (becoming only the second player, after Robin Ventura, to be named Freshman of the Year and Player of the Year in consecutive seasons and only the third sophomore to win the award after Ventura, John Olerud, and Mark Teixeira) and two weeks ago was named the Dick Howser Award winner as college baseball's player of the year, an award whose three most recent recipients were David Price, Buster Posey, and Stephen Strasburg.  Just a few days before, Houston Mayor Annise Parker proclaimed June 29th "Anthony Rendon Day".

Rendon is not merely a great producer, however; he also draws raves for his tools.  ESPN's Keith Law wrote:

(Rendon) has one of the best swings I've seen on a college hitter, with excellent hip rotation and strong, quick hands. He pairs it with good pitch recognition and a patience that's born both of a good eye and the fact that opposing pitchers don't want to pitch to him right now. He taps his front foot twice and gets it down a little late, but everything about his transfer and swing is quick and forceful enough that it doesn't seem to affect him against college pitching. His plate coverage is good, and he can shorten his swing to square up a ball up in the zone.

Rendon is spending the summer before his junior year playing for Team USA's Collegiate National Team, joining several other of the top names for the 2011 draft, including Jackie Bradley Jr. and Gerritt Cole.  Team USA has, over the years, featured many of the top names in baseball, including Ryan Howard, Barry Larkin, Tino Martinez, Dustin Pedroia, David Price, Huston Street, Mark Teixeira, Troy Tulowitzki, Jason Varitek, and Ryan Zimmerman.  Team USA's schedule has them playing exhibitions this month in North Carolina and Nebraska, before they head to Taiwan for a series of exhibitions and then to Tokyo, where the FISU World University Baseball Championships will take place in the beginning of August.  Yesterday, in Team USA's first action against another team, Rendon singled, walked, stole a base, and drove in a run with a sacrifice fly.  Live video of tonight and tomorrow's games against South Korea will be available on Team USA's website with Baseball America's John Manuel and Aaron Fitt calling the action.  You can also take a look at video of Rendon at bat thanks to SB Nation's Andy Seiler.

There is still a lot of summer baseball left for Rendon, as well as his junior year at Rice.  But as you can see, few players in the history of college baseball have ever matched his production to date, and those who have were some of the best draft picks in recent history.  It will be difficult for anyone to exceed Rendon's potential and take away the #1 spot in next year's draft from him; all Rendon has to prove is that he can keep doing what he has been since he arrived on campus at Rice.

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thanks for this story

Kept hearing the name, didn’t know the story behind it. Very helpful.

Those are some eye-popping slash lines, but I don’t know what they mean in context. Do you have a guesstimate of what the league average slash line in Conference USA ball is?

Has there ever been a cooler Oriole than Eddie Murray? I mean, just straight up cool. Like a bad, suave dude. You know what I'm sayin'. COOL. SC 7/24/08

by 33 on Jul 14, 2010 2:35 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't have that info, and I don't know that anyone does OPS+ for college players

Rendon was fifth in all of NCAA Division One in OPS last year, tied for second in home runs, tenth in total bases, and second in walks (behind Michael Choice, who doesn’t have amazing plate discipline but was pitched around a ton due to the weakness of the rest of the Texas-Arlington lineup),

It is worth pointing out too that while Rendon was fifth in the NCAA in OPS, the players who were ahead of him are not, by and large, major prospects or players for top programs. The leader was A.J. Kirby-Jones of Tenn. Tech; he was a ninth round pick of the A’s. Second in OPS was Chris Duffy, a senior at Central Florida, who was drafted in the 26th round by the Phillies. Third was Paul Hoilman, a sophomore 1b/DH from East Tenn. St. Fourth was Morehead State senior J.D. Ashbrook, who was undrafted and signed with the White Sox.

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 14, 2010 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I've heard someone say before that the best college divisions like ACC, SEC, etc are generally considered

somewhere between low and high A ball competitively. I’m not sure whether that’s true and where Conference USA would rank in comparison to those leagues though.

by Strat12 on Jul 14, 2010 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Slashlines for CUSA

Not league averages but team averages… they’re out of order because they’re cut and past from the league site and this is the order they’re in in the full stat sheet. If you want to calculate a league average slashline, the stats are at http://conferenceusa.cstv.com/sports/m-basebl/stats/2009-2010/lgteams.html

Team AVG SLG% OB%
UCF…………….. .343 .538 .435
Rice……………. .326 .530 .417
Southern Miss……. .324 .500 .422
Memphis…………. .320 .466 .393
East Carolina……. .315 .498 .406
Tulane………….. .311 .469 .397
Houston…………. .296 .423 .374
Marshall………… .292 .445 .368
UAB…………….. .283 .434 .382

Hopefully Anthony can come back from this ankle set back as well as he did previously. I still blame LSU, whose soft in-play bullpen caused the initial injury last summer.

by NotGregEvans on Jul 15, 2010 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

CUSA & Rice

CUSA as a league doesn’t have the best pitching, but Rice’s home park is generally slightly pitcher-friendly. Also, Rice happened to face an insanely difficult group of pitchers this year, making Rendon’s line all the more impressive. Rice faced the following: Jungmann from Texas twice (probable top 10 pick next year), Kyle Winkler (TCU, made Team USA), Brett Mooneyham (Stanford, made Team USA), Carson Smith (Tx State, Team USA tryout), Sammy Solis & Kyle Blair (2nd and 4th round picks out of San Diego), Bobby Doran (4th rounder out of Tx Tech), Dixon Anderson (6th rounder out of Cal), Jimmy Reyes (7th rounder out of Elon), Michael Mariot (7th rounder of of Nebraska), and Zack Osborne (9th rounder out of U of Lousiana Lafayette). Plus 9 other pitchers who were drafted this year after the 9th round and 5 more pitchers who weren’t draft eligible but are likely to go in the top 10 rounds next year.

by mymrbig on Jul 16, 2010 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep, I want him. I want him bad.

Although if we end up winning a few more games and miss the #1 pick because our young players start playing better, I’ll still be happy.

by Strat12 on Jul 14, 2010 2:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Well, this won't keep the hysteria down

Fire Julio Lugo.

I like baseball, movies, good clothes, fast cars, whiskey, and you... what else you need to know?

by Andrew_G on Jul 14, 2010 2:51 PM EDT reply actions  

I told James he's responsible

if every single win recap from now on has 500 more “Nooooo now we won’t get Rendon” comments in it than they did before this.

Oh and now we’re warming up Uehara. He’ll die. He will actually DIE if he pitches in this heat. -KenDixonFanClub

by Stacey on Jul 14, 2010 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh no!

That’ll be soooo annoying when in 3 months when we’ve won 10 more games.

"things like locig and prrofreading are actually valued here" - zknower

by daveh873 on Jul 14, 2010 9:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh shut up

Oh and now we’re warming up Uehara. He’ll die. He will actually DIE if he pitches in this heat. -KenDixonFanClub

by Stacey on Jul 14, 2010 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

10 more?

isn’t that a wee bit optimistic?

"This is the Nineties, Bubba, and there is no such thing as Paranoia. It's all true."~Hunter S. Thompson

by PBR me ASAP! on Jul 15, 2010 8:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Appreciate the story

One question about the Os is how could a team draft so few prospects who developed into MLB players. In his assessment of the Os minor league system, Law stated that many of our high draft choices were disasters. Let’s hope that we get this kid. With our luck, we will get hot at the end, win a few meaningless games, and lose the number 1 pick. We lost the right to draft Texiera by sweeping the Yankees at the end of the year. I feel conflicted by my competing desires to have the overall number 1 pick and my desire to see our young pitchers do well.

by BaltoBen on Jul 14, 2010 2:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Andy McPhail has done a much better job with that than his predecessors.

The O’s have turned out quite a few MLB players in the last couple years, but for a long time it was really bad.

by Strat12 on Jul 14, 2010 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

funny you should mention how many of our prospects suck

because that’s how we could be looking
i know it was already posted, it’s just shocking how bad our talent evaluators are.

"Being an Orioles fan is like having very painful genital warts."
"harden the fuck up mike gonzalez."
The Signing Bonus: We're back in business.

by danielreese05 on Jul 14, 2010 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is such a pointless exercise

You could make an All-Star team out of players every team has passed on

by kba26 on Jul 14, 2010 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

i don't think it's how good those picks were

it’s how bad the picks we made were

"Being an Orioles fan is like having very painful genital warts."
"harden the fuck up mike gonzalez."
The Signing Bonus: We're back in business.

by danielreese05 on Jul 14, 2010 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

we definitely had some bad picks,

but i would rather have Markakis than Hughes or Butler, Matusz than Posey or Beckham, and picking Wieters over Heyward was not a bad pick, Heyward lasted until 1.17 I think, he just turned out way better than people thought he would be.

by Strat12 on Jul 14, 2010 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Heyward was slightly under the radar

The braves kept the hype train on him down long enough for that.

"I have seen the future and his name is Matt Wieters." Keith Law

by Reddrummer9187 on Jul 15, 2010 8:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Keith law is a clown

He wrote an article 2 yrs ago about how bad we drafted etc and didn’t even do his homework. He brought up Riley without ever addressing his workload or TJ surgery. Other prospects he slammed had surgery and injuries as well. Look how bad the farm system was mismanaged in the late 90s, early 2ks. You can’t blame it all on injuries I know—- I’m looking at you Billy— but there were tons of them. Even bedard had TJ before he got up.

by GeoffreyA on Jul 14, 2010 9:54 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I would like to see that article

Because i would be shocked if Klaw didn’t know his stuff about the Orioles. He covered them back and seems to talk about them a decent amount too.

"I have seen the future and his name is Matt Wieters." Keith Law

by Reddrummer9187 on Jul 15, 2010 8:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Me too. Keith is human and I'm sure he's made mistakes

But the guy knows his shit.

Don't mess with the bull, young man. You'll get the horns.

by birdman on Jul 15, 2010 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

searched espn archives, still can't find it

The subject was regarding how the orioles had drafted so bad and that they were now reaping the results. I responded to the article that, in fact, it was a terrible management of the farm system in general that led to this. Look at our 10 years of drafting before wieters. Arm injury after arm injury with rushed rehab leading to more injuries. Did we have a bad pick or two? Yes. But the abuse of the farm system arms is what ultimately led to this fiasco. Back problems, Tommy johns, rotator cuffs, and just about anything else you can name. Nonstop abuse. Nineteen yr old kids throwing 190ip after doing 60ip the year before. Making kids throw with known injuries then rushing them back after minimal rehab time.

Look, I’m be no means absolving the FO of their mistakes but those kids were mismanaged beyond belief. I just can’t put all the blame on bad picks..

by GeoffreyA on Jul 15, 2010 2:56 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Again

Let’s be careful with the “non-stop abuse” stuff. We know that Riley was abused, but injuries are not always due to abuse and do you actually know of any players being made to throw with known injuries or of any rehab times being cut short?

Rub some $100 bills on it, you sell-out. -duck

by O'sFan21 on Jul 15, 2010 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Chris smith comes to mind off the top of my head

Stahl too I suppose but his issues were with his back.

by GeoffreyA on Jul 15, 2010 3:33 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

What about them?

Rub some $100 bills on it, you sell-out. -duck

by O'sFan21 on Jul 15, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Smith was injured, they ignored it then he said they injured him worse during the rehab. He was never able to pitch again the same for the Os. Stahl had chronic back issues, I am unaware of how he was treated.

My point wasn’t entirely abuse which is what you’ve chosen to focus on. Rather, I was just saying that you can’t gauge the success of drafts based on outcomes of prospects. I do feel better handling of our prospects during that time period would have yielded different results though.

by GeoffreyA on Jul 15, 2010 6:17 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

How did “they injure him worse during the rehab”? Are you really sure they ignored him telling them that he was hurt? Why on earth would any organization do that with a player they had invested even the tiniest amount of money in?

I know that wasn’t your whole point, but it’s a point I hear often and it generally seems pretty baseless.

Rub some $100 bills on it, you sell-out. -duck

by O'sFan21 on Jul 16, 2010 1:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wow. He’s actually claiming the trainer tore his rotator cuff. I mean that seems completely absurd and highly unlikely, but even if it’s true it has nothing to do with the O’s as an organization – it’s just a weird unlucky incident and maybe a bad trainer.

Rub some $100 bills on it, you sell-out. -duck

by O'sFan21 on Jul 16, 2010 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

You could say loewen too

His 1st 3 minor league season we 23ip, 93ip, 142 ip. He had an elbow injury early next year, wa brought back and reinjured. He had a similar injury the following year and stopped pitching.

by GeoffreyA on Jul 15, 2010 4:01 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

He was a starter

the 23 innings must have been injury related. 93 and then even the jump to 142 are nowhere near abusive territory.

Rub some $100 bills on it, you sell-out. -duck

by O'sFan21 on Jul 15, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I believ that was half a season

Probably a bad example but I didnt have time to really sit down adn analyze every single pitcher. It just seems like every pitcher we had there for a few years had multiple surgeries in the minors… again I could be wrong but it seems that way. Add taht on top of the fact the minor league managers were really concerned about winning AND we had 2 directors fired within 2 years…

by GeoffreyA on Jul 16, 2010 4:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great write up.

Rendon seems like my type of homeslice.

Don't mess with the bull, young man. You'll get the horns.

by birdman on Jul 14, 2010 3:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Everytime you say something

I imagine Rob Dibble saying it, which is pretty amusing when you say “homeslice.”

Bring back Andino.

by WestcoastO'sFan on Jul 14, 2010 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL

Don't mess with the bull, young man. You'll get the horns.

by birdman on Jul 14, 2010 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is scary...

I don’t want to get to know anything about our potential pick until we have it…

Just because you know how to read, doesn't mean you'll like the book.

by arlingtonOsFan on Jul 14, 2010 3:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Who is Anthony Rendon? What lies in the shadow of the statue?

“He who will save us all.”

Thanks for the writeup, James. I would love for the O’s to get him, but more importantly I’d like to see the young core of the team play better baseball. I’m still trying to convince myself that we don’t yet have to rely on the next Oriole savior…that there’s still hope for the current generation of young players.

by BrianS on Jul 14, 2010 4:01 PM EDT reply actions  

5-11?

he’s got 3 inches on pedroiaphile. i would’ve thought that if we’ve learned anything lately it’s that size doesn’t matter. hell jimmy rollins is 5-8. even miggy’s only 5-9. he’s also only 20.

"Being an Orioles fan is like having very painful genital warts."
"harden the fuck up mike gonzalez."
The Signing Bonus: We're back in business.

by danielreese05 on Jul 14, 2010 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course all the guys you named are or (until recently) were middle infielders

but I still don’t think 5’11" is too small. Talent is talent.

"things like locig and prrofreading are actually valued here" - zknower

by daveh873 on Jul 14, 2010 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

it's the MLB draft

take the best guy and sort out the details later

"Being an Orioles fan is like having very painful genital warts."
"harden the fuck up mike gonzalez."
The Signing Bonus: We're back in business.

by danielreese05 on Jul 14, 2010 8:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

to answer your question, anthony rendon is alex rodriguez

minus the douchiness.

"Being an Orioles fan is like having very painful genital warts."
"harden the fuck up mike gonzalez."
The Signing Bonus: We're back in business.

by danielreese05 on Jul 14, 2010 4:48 PM EDT reply actions  

A-Rod was an above-average to plus defensive shortstop,

and when he was 20, he had already had 200 ML at-bats. And by the time A-Rod was 21, which is how old Rendon will be when he was drafted, A-Rod was easily one of the 3 best players in the majors. So let’s not get carried away.

by Strat12 on Jul 14, 2010 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

i was more making an exaggeration

just for the sake of poetic license/hopeless optimism, but i really do think he’s going to be a damn good player. best left side of the infield in the league if machado and rendon play to their potential.

"Being an Orioles fan is like having very painful genital warts."
"harden the fuck up mike gonzalez."
The Signing Bonus: We're back in business.

by danielreese05 on Jul 14, 2010 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh, alright.

i think that Zimmerman and Longoria are both realistic hopes for Rendon though. And Machado/Rendon could be sick.

by Strat12 on Jul 14, 2010 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jinxed

 # aaronfitt
  
Anthony Rendon left Team USA’s game in the 1st today with an ankle injury after getting picked off. Did not look good—left on a golf cart. 11 minutes ago via TweetDeck Retweeted by MinorLeagueBlog and 5 others

Bring back Andino.

by WestcoastO'sFan on Jul 14, 2010 8:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Well that's a shame

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 14, 2010 8:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is clearly all your fault, James.

Baltimore is Baltimore. That's kind of what I know. - Manny Machado, 6/7/10

by Eat More Esskay on Jul 15, 2010 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well, in that case....

….I’ll start writing a weekly essay on Derek Jeter and we’ll see what happens.

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 15, 2010 12:08 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

DO IT!!!

At all hazards, a man must keep up appearances. Dignity, I say. Dignity above all, Governor. Hear, hear!

-Det. William "Bunk" Moreland

by j.q. higgins on Jul 15, 2010 6:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

or Jesus Montero

"This is the Nineties, Bubba, and there is no such thing as Paranoia. It's all true."~Hunter S. Thompson

by PBR me ASAP! on Jul 15, 2010 8:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would just like to point out

that we’re only 1 game behind Pittsburgh…

CROW MUST GO!!! Unofficial "Fire Terry Crowley" campaign.

by CStoneNo37 on Jul 14, 2010 8:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Who is John Galt?

Sorry, couldn’t help it. Thx for the write-up/background rpt, James. Rendon’s numbers are salivary, sure, but we’ve all seen this kind of apparent blue-chip turn white— and often enough fall off the table altogether, for that matter.

Anyway, even if Rendon’s splits were even more convincing, I couldn’t do a root-for-last number. On any given day, thousands of people pay to see their team attempt to win a game. Occasionally I’m one of ‘em. If the team is trying not to win, tickets should be free. Y’know, Guaranteed Loss Night.

Now there’s a promotion to rank alongside the classics: 10 Cent Beer Night in Cleveland and Disco Destruction Night at Comiskey. I’d go in a minute. Not with a date (much less her kid), though…

"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." Churchill,1942-- a rebuilding year.

by Titov on Jul 14, 2010 11:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Some dude that Dagny Taggart won't shut up about?

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 15, 2010 12:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

haha...

i’ve been waiting for someone to make an admiral jim stockdale reference.

“who am i? why am i here?”

At all hazards, a man must keep up appearances. Dignity, I say. Dignity above all, Governor. Hear, hear!

-Det. William "Bunk" Moreland

by j.q. higgins on Jul 15, 2010 6:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

R!

"If I was being paid thirty-thousand dollars a year, the very least I could do was hit .400." - Ted Williams

by Capsfan07 on Jul 15, 2010 12:50 AM EDT reply actions  

E!

"things like locig and prrofreading are actually valued here" - zknower

by daveh873 on Jul 15, 2010 6:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

O!

Don't mess with the bull, young man. You'll get the horns.

by birdman on Jul 15, 2010 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Biggest Little City in the World!

"This is the Nineties, Bubba, and there is no such thing as Paranoia. It's all true."~Hunter S. Thompson

by PBR me ASAP! on Jul 15, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nicely done...

:-p

"If I was being paid thirty-thousand dollars a year, the very least I could do was hit .400." - Ted Williams

by Capsfan07 on Jul 16, 2010 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

& Stimpy

"This is the Nineties, Bubba, and there is no such thing as Paranoia. It's all true."~Hunter S. Thompson

by PBR me ASAP! on Jul 15, 2010 8:25 AM EDT reply actions  

from yesterday's Jim Callis chat

Nick (SF): Lightening Round: Harper or Rendon?

Jim Callis: Been asked this a few times, and I always say Rendon. Harper has more power, but Rendon has a better bat, better makeup, will play a more valuable position and get to the majors significantly quicker. And he’ll have power, too.

by Dingbat Charlie on Jul 22, 2010 1:00 PM EDT reply actions  

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