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Why the Orioles Lose: Part XXV

I went to see the Orioles play the Athletics, a real last minute thing that wasn't my greatest idea ever. I had to drive through DC and the Beltway during a hot Thursday Rush Hour and it took me an angering amount of time to finally get to the Inner Harbor, and I did it to see Josh Bell's first game.

We can argue all day long in tighter and tighter circles over whether or not Bell deserved that promotion, what was best for his development, and what was best for the Orioles. I'm not interested in re-hashing that. Bell was struggling in his first year at AAA, he still can't hit left-handed pitching, but he had had a good month and the Orioles liked what they saw and figured "Why not? Let's roll the dice".

And I kind of like that attitude, even though I disagreed with the roster move. It was bold and interesting. It intrigued me enough to make that hellish drive in the Maryland heat. It showed some (foolhardy) initiative. It felt a lot like a man broken, finally standing up on his feet and saying "If I'm going down, I'm going down swinging*. I'm tired and hungry and angry". I can empathize with that feeling; I am an Oriole fan, after all.

Star-divide

But Josh Bell was awful in his five games with the Orioles. He had three singles in 15 PA, struck out 8 times, didn't walk, committed a throwing error, and he did it all strictly against right-handed pitching. The scouting report on Bell was that his left-handed swing was a thing of beauty and wonder, giving him power and bat speed and control. What we got was a 9 OPS+, a guy unable to get hardly any lift on the ball, and a guy who swung at over half the pitches he saw and made contact less than 60% of the time he swung. And he spent most of his time DHing or sitting on the bench.

So that experiment met basically each and every one of its doomsday projections. I still like the thinking behind it, for all its flaws. Do something bold with your life while you still can. Give this guy a try-out, see if you can't catch lightning in a bottle. Take a chance. But it didn't work out no matter how you skew the performance, and Bell was sent back down. In the end, that's baseball. No harm no foul, right?

Well, he's back. And what has he done to earn his way back to Baltimore in five days? Um, nothing. He hasn't played at all. He is back solely by the grace of being on the 40-man roster. I thought that in order to be "promoted", you had to do something - anything! - but hey, this is Birdland. Josh Bell didn't even need to put on a glove or pick up a bat to get promoted.

This is the Orioles' top hitting prospect, isn't it? This is the same guy who was the reason the Orioles traded George Sherrill, the guy who dominated AA pitching with a .892 OPS in 2009. The Orioles do think Josh Bell is a part of The Future, don't they?

I'm inclined to think not. Nolan Reimold, who was such an exciting player last year (and who it should be noted played much, much better in 2010 than Josh Bell), has had to earn his way back. The Orioles seem completely uninterested in having their potential starting left fielder/first baseman come back to sit on the bench and redefine futility at the major league plate. But Josh Bell?

And that is how quickly something bold and interesting turns into futile desperation, a maddening loop of pressing the same button over and over again for lack of enough insight to realize that that button doesn't help you win games.

*Oh, the irony!

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ridiculous...

if, by the way, the I’s wanted to move spoons and florimon off of the 40 man, would anyone realistically make a play for them?

At all hazards, a man must keep up appearances. Dignity, I say. Dignity above all, Governor. Hear, hear!

-Det. William "Bunk" Moreland

by j.q. higgins on Jul 16, 2010 11:12 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Sure someone could

Spoone has been pitching well, so he’d be more likely, but since both have options they could be claimed and just moved into the minors of another team like Turner was.

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 16, 2010 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh,wait...

erbe’s had a really rough year, right? I think I always mix spoone and erbe up, though god knows why.

At all hazards, a man must keep up appearances. Dignity, I say. Dignity above all, Governor. Hear, hear!

-Det. William "Bunk" Moreland

by j.q. higgins on Jul 16, 2010 1:42 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

He has had a rough year

But he’s still got great stuff and is very young for AAA. And he’s local. No way he comes of the 40-man.

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 16, 2010 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I knew that was the case...

w/ one of those guys.

At all hazards, a man must keep up appearances. Dignity, I say. Dignity above all, Governor. Hear, hear!

-Det. William "Bunk" Moreland

by j.q. higgins on Jul 16, 2010 4:50 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

40-man roster

If the team needed a spot on the 40-man tomorrow, they could just put Luis Lebron on the 60-day DL. To be honest, I don’t know why they haven’t done this already. To be really honest, I don’t know why they don’t just outright him off the roster; he’ll be 26 before he throws another pitch and he’s yet to make it out of AA. That’s not really the kind of guy other teams line up to claim off of waivers.

There are a lot of crappy, crappy players on the 40-man as well, but that’s the most obvious move right now.

by AndrewTorrez on Jul 16, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, he’s back. And what has he done to earn his way back to Baltimore in five days? Um, nothing. He hasn’t played at all.

Isn’t that a function of the All-Star break? Or has Bell been benched at AAA since being demoted?

I’m inclined to think not. Nolan Reimold, who was such an exciting player last year (and who it should be noted played much, much better in 2010 than Josh Bell), has had to earn his way back. The Orioles seem completely uninterested in having their potential starting left fielder/first baseman come back to sit on the bench and redefine futility at the major league plate. But Josh Bell?

I think the O’s want to get Reimold more reps at 1B. That’s why he wasn’t called up.

Don't mess with the bull, young man. You'll get the horns.

by birdman on Jul 16, 2010 2:31 PM EDT reply actions  

The Orioles do think Josh Bell is a part of The Future, don’t they?

I’m inclined to think not.

This is exactly what’s worrying me.

"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all." -- Earl Weaver

by Vuff on Jul 16, 2010 2:36 PM EDT reply actions  

That just doesn't make any sense

They all but anointed him the starter for 2011 in the offseason.

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 16, 2010 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

now that worries me.

Don't mess with the bull, young man. You'll get the horns.

by birdman on Jul 16, 2010 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I mean,

I guess they do still think of him as part of The Future, but they aren’t really treating him the way you’d expect. I just don’t understand the approach… if he’s part of The Future, give him the time he needs in AAA. At the same time, they’ve basically done the same yo-yo stuff with Tillman, who’s clearly still an important piece.

But I guess this kind of stuff is what happens when your minor league system is still recovering from years of suckitude… we just don’t have the depth we need yet.

"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all." -- Earl Weaver

by Vuff on Jul 16, 2010 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's one way to look at it, I guess.

I just don’t feel like the connection between “important piece of future” and “must develop properly” is being made.

Maybe I’m thinking of it too much like making a pie (pumpkin’s my frame of reference here, in case the analogy doesn’t make sense otherwise :P). You don’t take it out as soon as you think it could possibly be done, and then take a bite and discover it’s nowhere near ready — now it’s had a chance to cool and will take even longer to be done, and you have less finished pie to eat (service time). Instead, you leave it in — just checking on it from time to time with the knife test — and take it out once you’re sure.

"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all." -- Earl Weaver

by Vuff on Jul 16, 2010 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

disagree twice

Chris Tillman has spent a lot of time in AAA and has pretty much owned the hitters in the league. Josh Bell has struggled in half a season in AAA. These two situations are not the same, even though the Bergsen Shuffle technique has been employed in both of them.

As far as depth goes, if they want to call up a corner infielder there are several other options, all of whome would serve the Orioles better than Josh Bell.

Hang onto me, baby, and let's hope the roof stays on

by Andrew_G on Jul 16, 2010 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

I tried to reply earlier, but lost it and couldn't get back to the site.

Too lazy to retype it all, but I don’t disagree with anything you said here. I just don’t like the way they’ve handled either Tillman or Bell (or, as you mention, Bergesen), even though the circumstances aren’t the same. And I know we have other, better options — Hughes makes a lot more sense to me than Bell — but it still seems like we don’t have the depth we need yet. Of course, with our level of injuries, I guess every team in the majors would be scrambling…

"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all." -- Earl Weaver

by Vuff on Jul 16, 2010 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, I'm not arguing in favor of their handling of him

To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa

by James F on Jul 16, 2010 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the organization

is trying to address their need for a power, middle of the order bat from within before trying for a trade or veteran FA. Bell, of all the players mentioned earlier (Hughes, Snyder, Reimold), is the closest commodity we have to addressing this glaring need from within the organization. And, things just may click and he starts to hit the cover off the ball.

"Every time I fail to smoke a cigarette between innings, the opposition will score."

by DougWilliamsSisters on Jul 16, 2010 10:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Josb Bell will be OD 3B in 2011

There is no doubt in my mind. I still think the handling of him has been terrible. He clearly needs to improve on a few things, and it was obvious that he should not have been promoted. While some see boldness, I see desperation.

But still, they want him to work on a few things, and he’ll be on the team next April IMO.

Librarians are hiding something

by dfa on Jul 17, 2010 12:55 AM EDT reply actions  

Why do we loose so much? Because.....

Half of our roster has no value, they would only fetch a sack of fertilizer if we traded them away, ok, maybe two.

Sadly I can’t say anything better about my other team, the Marlins. I think half of the Marlins players would only fetch a half eaten piece of cheese.

What's more frustrating than being a Marlins and Orioles fan? Eye surgery???

by Osley Sallent on Jul 19, 2010 4:26 PM EDT reply actions  

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