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OT: PAC 12 Week No. 9, No. 9, No.9...and gnihc-aK again to the Beat of the Fab 4 x 3

Wazoo @ No. 7 Orygun [-35]

Why exactly this spread has been *shortening* is mysterious, since the OR “JV” won by 43 last wk-- and could presumably do so again, if necessary, against a Wazoo squad that is all too comparable, at this pt., to Colo. They’ll start Lobbestael, apparently, but so what? I’d be stunned by an OR W @ less than 30; take ‘em at 35.

Colo @ No. 23 ASU [-31]

The Flubbaloes are understandably shellshocked 3 games into their 5 in a row against ranked teams, and they’re not gonna have much fun in the desert, where Osweiler may throw 5. In the 1st half. The Scum Devils showed some fight @ OR, and could (should, actually) run the table from here on out and qualify for a pretty good bowl. Take ‘em at 31, sure.

Cal [-5] @ UCLA

If Cal is serious about a bowl, they gotta have this –  plus Wazoo and the Punkins – ‘cause they’re losing their last two regardless (@ ASU and STA). UCLA continues to wind down (or self-destruct— 4 receivers suspended); I’m not convinced the players are interested in saving Neuheisel (I hope not), so take Cal, despite their crappy OFF, at 5.

OSU @ Utah [-5]

Da Beavs historically get better toward the end of the season, and last wk could’ve been a sign of that. Mannion, in any case, found his sea legs for sure (376/4). But UT would sure like to win its 1st conf game, y’know…which they MIGHT do, but I wouldn’t bet on it. Take the Punkins to beat this 5, strange as it prolly seems. Hell, they might even win.

No. 4 Snodfart [-7 ½] at SC

STA has seldom had away-problems playing in the Coliseum in recent yrs, and I don’t think they will here, DEF injuries aside, as this is their chance – now that SC is ranked – to make their BCS case serious. I can see Barkley getting 3 or sth, and a 75-pt game is a real possibility. But take STA and the 7.5. 

Zona @ U Dub [-4]

This spread has also shrunk, no doubt as people thought more about the 446 rushing U Dub gave up last wk: look, all Foles needs is 80 or 90 and he’ll throw his brains out on ya. In the end I think Dub will win here and cover the 4 – but I kinda wish it were a 3-spread. Or 2.  

Regional Pick o’ the Wick: BYU @ TCU [-13 ½]

Welp, Les Horny Grenouilles did right by me last wk, so I’m gonna trust ‘em again – this time in a real game. Which is kind of a leap of faith (heh-heh) since Da Morms are not a bad team… esp. when all you’re asking them to do is stay w/in 2 TDs of somebody. But I think TC is having seriously un-Christian thoughts after last wk’s mass murder, so I’m gonna take ‘em here to win/beat.

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Oh yeah (or maybe Yeah, yeah, yeah!), I almost forgot: BYU @ TCU is on FRIDAY night

The rest are Sat. games…and I’m actually contemplating getting up at 4 here Sun. to watch Snodfart vs the Rubbers @ the Coliseum. Fear the Tree!

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 27, 2011 3:08 PM EDT reply actions  

Say, did I mention that this incredible October run -- 18-8 ATS def ranks as incredible for me -- will go off the scale if I hit 2 here?

I’m sure I never had a 20-win month in PAC 8 picks, and I don’t think I ever did better than 15 in PAC 10 either. Yeah, OK, raising the conf size (esp. by 2 losers) and adding a weekly Regional pick obviously = lowering the bar, but still: right now I’m feeling a little like R. Maris chasing 60-for-162.

Think I should call the McGwire family?

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 28, 2011 1:30 AM EDT reply actions  

Can't imagine USC is anywhere close to that 7.5 mark.

I don’t have much tolerance for stupid. Or cheese on food that doesn’t need it. -duck

by twistedlogic on Oct 28, 2011 10:07 AM EDT reply actions  

Two holes in the STA secondary could conceivably keep this close for a half, possibly more

But eventually Luck & Co. will find a combo that yields them 40-50 pts — and the Rubbers won’t be able to match the pace, stalling at 21-28

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 28, 2011 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

TCU 38-28. Sh*t.

Up 25 in the 3rd and 18 in the 4th, the frickin’ Frogs somehow still couldn’t cover. Credit to BYU for playing all the way, sure, but faaaaaaaaaack. These mid-range “coulda” spreads can be a Chinese water-torturing bitch, y’know…

Not that there was a lot of hope for TCU @ Boise on the 12th, but this slope-off will widen that spread a little more. Anyway, this close-but-no-cigar result no doubt helped make yesterday a real soiled-underwear occasion in Vegas.

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 29, 2011 1:10 AM EDT reply actions  

Dear Oddsmaking Gods:

Hi. Remember the post where I was making all kinda noise about how I practically couldn’t miss nailing the First 20-Win ATS October since the Wright Brothers invented the telephone or whatever? I was just JOKING there, see? I would NEVER jinx myself by counting unhatched chickens aboard the Titanic, or whatever your favorite metaphor is.

Just thought I’d clear that up before we went on to the Sat. games in case, y’know, some of you were about to let TCU go ahead and cover easy last night but then decided Hey wait a minute— let’s show Mr. 20 October who’s really boss around here…

Yours grovellingly,
Titov

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 29, 2011 1:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe you really are going to go 1-6 this week.....

I don’t have much tolerance for stupid. Or cheese on food that doesn’t need it. -duck

by twistedlogic on Oct 29, 2011 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

3-4...which still feels like dodging a bullet. And it pretty much WAS in the Coliseum.

Wazoo @ No. 7 Orygun [-35]

Why exactly this spread has been shortening is mysterious, since the OR "JV" won by 43 last wk— and could presumably do so again, if necessary, against a Wazoo squad that is all too comparable, at this pt., to Colo. They’ll start Lobbestael, apparently, but so what? I’d be stunned by an OR W @ less than 30; take ‘em at 35.

OR 43-28. Funny game: both Thomas and James come back – and suck (for them). The "JV" plays the 2nd half and does the job, but credit to the Coogs: they came to play, hung tough, and OR couldn’t get close to tracked enough to cover. OK, I’m not exactly stunned, but still: the OR varsity plays like this in Palo Alto, they get their lunch handed to them.

Colo @ No. 23 ASU [-31]

The Flubbaloes are understandably shellshocked 3 games into their 5 in a row against ranked teams, and they’re not gonna have much fun in the desert, where Osweiler may throw 5. In the 1st half. The Scum Devils showed some fight @ OR, and could (should, actually) run the table from here on out and qualify for a pretty good bowl. Take ‘em at 31, sure.

ASU 48-14. Played to form. Osweiler only got 3 in the 1st half, but the Scum Debbils were coasting. Colo’s zombie run through their first PAC 12 season continues: somehow the Flubs amassed 425 yds and… 14 pts. Well, they TO’ed five [ 5] times. Anyway, last chance for a PAC 12 W will prolly be @ UT Nov. 25. Meanwhile ASU stays on track for 12-2, top 15, good bowl.

Cal [-5] @ UCLA

If Cal is serious about a bowl, they gotta have this – plus Wazoo and the Punkins – ‘cause they’re losing their last two regardless (@ ASU and STA). UCLA continues to wind down (or self-destruct— 4 receivers suspended); I’m not convinced the players are interested in saving Neuheisel (I hope not), so take Cal, despite their crappy OFF, at 5.

UCLA 31-14. Judas Priest, I’m gonna heave. When I mentioned Cal’s "crappy OFF," I wasn’t really thinking 4 INTs. Well, Maynard was. So UCLA scores 24 off TO’s and "[takes] the heat off much-maligned coach Rick Neuheisel…with their most impressive performance of the season." See what I mean about heaving? The line in front of the toilet starts here.

OSU @ Utah [-5]

Da Beavs historically get better toward the end of the season, and last wk could’ve been a sign of that. Mannion, in any case, found his sea legs for sure (376/4). But UT would sure like to win its 1st conf game, y’know…which they MIGHT do, but I wouldn’t bet on it. Take the Punkins to beat this 5, strange as it prolly seems. Hell, they might even win.

UT 27-8. Well, all I got left is dry heaves. PAC 12 Player-of-Last-Wk Mannion throws 3…INTs! Oh, and gets sacked six [ 6] times! Way to not show up, Punkins. Thank cripes I didn’t have to watch this mess, as mediocrity whomping on futility is like a trip to the dentist.

No. 4 Snodfart [-7 ½] at SC

STA has seldom had away-problems playing in the Coliseum in recent yrs, and I don’t think they will here, as this is their chance – now that SC is ranked – to make their BCS case serious. I can see Barkley getting 3 or sth, and a 75-pt game is a real possibility. But take STA and the 7.5.

STA 56-48 (3 OT). Yeah, Barkley got his 3 and it sure WAS a 75-pt game – but it took the OT 2-pt rule for STA to cover (whew). Credit the Rubbers for playing the whole game at/above their talent level — but minus pts for dirty play (one head shot kept STA in the game, literally). Great W for Luck & Co., sure, but did I mention the secondary problem? Uh, yeah. It’ll hurt the BCS ranking – and vs. their bowl opponent.

Zona @ U Dub [-4]

This spread has also shrunk, no doubt as people thought more about the 446 rushing U Dub gave up last wk: look, all Foles needs is 80 or 90 and he’ll throw his brains out on ya. In the end I think Dub will win here and cover the 4 – but I kinda wish it were a 3-spread. Or 2.

U Dub 42-31. I keep writing the same thing, and it’s always true: Foles can’t do it all himself (389/2). When you net rush for 37 yds, you can lead in the 4th but you’re still gonna lose. Anyway, Dub is now embowled thx to this 6 INT slop-fest in which only Polk looked good. I’m happy for Sarkisian, but this is a VERY uneven team looking at big probs in the Sorta OK Bowl.

Regional Pick o’ the Wick: BYU @ TCU [-13 ½]

Welp, Les Horny Grenouilles did right by me last wk, so I’m gonna trust ‘em again – this time in a real game. Which is kind of a leap of faith (heh-heh) since Da Morms are not a bad team… esp. when all you’re asking them to do is stay w/in 2 TDs of somebody. But I think TC is having seriously un-Christian thoughts after last wk’s mass murder, so I’m gonna take ‘em here to win/beat.

TCU 38-28 [See above. Waddayagonnado.]

So yeah, I snuck over the 20-line for Oct. after all, ending at a tidy 21-12. You’re welcome!

Now, ahem, let’s go after the coveted Mr. November title…

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 30, 2011 2:27 AM EDT reply actions  

Got away with that Stanford game, but hey...they covered!

I don’t have much tolerance for stupid. Or cheese on food that doesn’t need it. -duck

by twistedlogic on Oct 30, 2011 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh and I got it right with Georgia Tech this weekend!

I don’t have much tolerance for stupid. Or cheese on food that doesn’t need it. -duck

by twistedlogic on Oct 30, 2011 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I noticed GT did a BIG wake-up thing this wk. Makes you wonder who's gonna show up for their bowl game...

Yeah, on that STA cover: boy did I luck out, so to speak…

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 30, 2011 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Clemson chokes every year towards the end.

Usually its a little later than this, but I still figure its easy to bet against them.

I don’t have much tolerance for stupid. Or cheese on food that doesn’t need it. -duck

by twistedlogic on Oct 30, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Never much liked the program (but always liked people pronouncing it Clempson).

Have picked ‘em to beat in a bowl exactly once. To my chagrin. Prolly take an insider trading-type tip (or some kinda Stoopidest Spread o’ the Month thing) to make me consider it again. Bad karma or sth. I know, I know: real scientific…

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 31, 2011 2:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

Meanwhiles in BCS Fantasy Land: Snodfart vaults over Boise

Which is nice to see although questionable in a head-to-head sense. If STA somehow beats Orygun in PA on the 13th, then yeah, they’ll def deserve it (and a title shot, assuming they run the table). But if they played next week @ a neutral site, BO’d likely win.

Boise’s crappy sked disguises how good they are (and yeah, nobody’s tireder than me of hearing them whine about it)— which you could also say of the STA sked until U Dub, SC, OR, ND and the PAC 12 champ game in 6 wks removes the question, so to speak. Big time.

And in other meanwhiles, I can’t believe people are asking me who I like in The Greatest Game of All Time For Sure Since Hey It’s Two Undefeated SEC Teams In Wk 10 Who Could Imagine Any More Titanic Confrontation Hey This Is The ACTUAL Nat’l Champeenship Game…

Z-z-z-z-z-z…oh, sorry, I musta dozed off there. Hype’ll do that to ya. And no, I don’t have a pick. OK, I might guess LSU beats 4 1/2, but that’s just a thrown dart, basically.

I hope it’s a good game for everybody, but that’s it. It’s your own hype, east coast media, so you pretty much have to eat it and call it tasty.

We still suck, but on Sept. 29, 2011, we did a Very Cool Thing. Yeah, we did that.

by Titov on Oct 31, 2011 2:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

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