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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

29 Trades for 29 Teams: New York Mets

My preface to this trade proposal is that I do not think the Orioles would do it. They've made numerous statements this off-season about their talented core of Nick Markakis, Adam Jones, J.J. Hardy, and Matt Wieters. Despite the rumors of a possible Jones trade to the Braves, it's very unlikely any of those four will be sent to another team. Since I'm of the opinion that only Wieters shouldn't be on the trading block, I already proposed a trade for Jones to the Nationals, and now I'm going to send Hardy to the Mets.


With the departure of Jose Reyes, the player at the top of the Mets' depth chart for shortstop is Ruben Tejada. Born in 1989, Tejada will be just twenty-two years old through the entire 2012 season and he's never been a touted prospect. He certainly can't even come close to replacing Reyes' production. On their forty-man roster, the Mets have three players who can play shortstop other than Tejada: Wilmer Flores, who is several years away (and who has been moved to 3B), Reese Havens, who is injured pretty much all the time, and Jordany Valdespin, who had a good 2011 but who is a real wild card as far as future performance.

Star-divide

The Mets roster of non-SS infielders is interesting and, other than poor Justin Turner, full of potential. If Ike Davis can come back healthy in 2012, he's a lock for first base. But if he continues to have trouble with his ankle, either utility player Daniel Murphy or Lucas Duda, who split time between 1B and the OF in 2011, could fill in for him. Murphy can also play 2B and after success at the plate last season could oust Turner at the position. David Wright of course anchors third base. Trading Hardy to the Mets would give them the option of sending Tejada back to the minors if they want, and gives the depth at both 2B and SS in the event that some combination of Davis/Murphy/Duda/Turner spends time on the disabled list (Tejada can also play 2B).

But what of the Orioles? Who will play shortstop for them in 2012? Frankly, it doesn't matter in my opinion. Robert Andino can play shortstop, same for Rule 5 draft pick Ryan Flaherty. With the possible return of Brian Roberts (I know, I know), the addition of Matt Antonelli, and the existance of Ryan Adams, 2B has plenty of takers that would allow Andino to go back to SS.

In return for Hardy, I'd ask the Mets for right-handed pitching prospect Jeurys Familia and outfielder Cory Vaughn (son of Greg, not Mo). Both are young, in the same general age range as Manny Machado, Jonathan Schoop, and Dylan Bundy. And while Vaughn is a lesser prospect than that group, Familia would probably become the O's third or fourth highest rated prospect (either in front of or behind Schoop).

Familia started 2011 in High-A ball and after dominating in six starts was promoted to AA where he made 17 starts (87 IP) with a 3.49 ERA, 9.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9. For more info on him you can check out Amazin' Avenue, Minor League Ball, and Seedlings to Stars. Cory Vaughn split the 2011 season between A and A+. He struggled in A+ but was, according to what I read over at John Sickels' site, struggling with a heel injury. To read more about Vaughn, go to Scouting the Sally.

I hesitated before putting Vaughn into this trade, originally I had Hardy going for Familia alone. After all, Hardy was traded to the Orioles for Jim Hoey and Brett Jacobson, two relief pitchers who will probably never make any impact in the majors. But after thinking about it I decided to go for a little more. After all, the Orioles were getting Hardy for just one season; he's now signed for three. He's also coming off of his best season in the majors in which he put up a 4.8 fWAR (third time in his career he's been >4) and hit thirty home runs. Taken from that perspective, it seems like a decent trade offer. The Mets are a tough team, though, because who knows what they'll do. Their payroll situation is sticky and they weren't a good team last season. But they're not really the type to stop spending money in order to be better in the future.

Poll
J.J. Hardy for Jeurys Familia and Cory Vaughn. What do you think?
Good for the O's
82 votes
Bad for the O's
102 votes
Totally unrealistic
103 votes

287 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 8 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I'm guessing JJ would have a bit more trade value now after having a great season.

And he’s signed a good contract. I would like someone a little better than Cory Vaughn, but I don’t see anybody in the Mets farm system who looks appealing and realistic.

Kevin Gregg-"You obviously haven't acquired my taste for pitching yet"

by birdman on Dec 29, 2011 1:19 PM EST reply actions  

Its always beneficial for a team to have these kind of trades. I’ve read a book “From Athletics to Business” and I got learn how important are these changes and trades for athletes as well as form teams. It talks about Why do so many athletes end up in financial ruin? and yeah I agree with birdman I don’t see anyone appealing in the mets …!!!

by Kevin Michaels on Dec 29, 2011 2:24 PM EST reply actions  

I'm in the "good for" minority

I like the trade as much for the message as the return. Says only messiahs are off limits, the O’s are willing to be creative, make change and focus on developing.

I’d hate to see JJ go, but know I’ll need to hate to see several people go in order to rearrange the pieces enough to get this franchise in shape again.

Like a bad, suave dude. You know what I'm sayin'. COOL. SC 7/24/08

by 33 on Dec 29, 2011 3:28 PM EST reply actions  

It wasn't too long ago that Tejada went for 5 players

Sure, none of them have all-the-way panned out, but there were 2 legit prospects, 2 legit bullpen arms, and 1 legit ML-ready outfielder in that package. I know Hardy isn’t one-time-MVP Tejada, but I don’t think his value now is that much less than Tejada’s was then. He’s younger, has more power, is less likely to have steroid and age-discrepancy allegations pop up (haha), and is under control for more seasons.

I’m pretty sure I overvalue all of our guys and consciously try to correct for that whenever, but this seems pretty extreme. Hardy is one of the most valuable players in baseball at one of the most valuable positions on the field, he’s worth more than just 2 prospects, each of which are young enough to still have a high probability of failing to reach the majors at all.

Just because you know how to read, doesn't mean you'll like the book.

by arlingtonOsFan on Dec 29, 2011 4:40 PM EST reply actions  

The Mets are in bad doodoo...

They don’t have enough players to compete and they don’t have enough youth to develop.

JJ Hardy came to us for flotsam because he had a couple injury plagued years. He had a great year (especially for a SS) for the O’s. That definitely increases his value above what we paid. We then signed him to a good contract. That increases his value more, because he’s not a one year rental.

I think that trading JJ would actually be good for the team. His value is very high right now and he is an injury risk. His contract’s only good if he stays healthy. That being said, I’d want far more than what this trade proposes.

I think I’d probably want 2 B+ prospects and a C+ for JJ.

by Tezcatlipoca on Dec 29, 2011 6:38 PM EST reply actions  

I think that kind of deal is doable if a contender has a SS go down with an injury in, say, February

Right now it’s hard to identify a team that needs a SS enough to want to pay through the nose for one — as opposed to identifying teams where Hardy would be a luxury upgrade (Red Sox and Rays come to mind).

by AndrewTorrez on Dec 29, 2011 7:11 PM EST up reply actions  

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