Community Projections 2011: Luke Scott

LUUUUUUUKE

This is our second to last community projection (last will be Nick Markakis on Thursday). I had planned doing one post for the potential closers but frankly everyone seems to have lost interest. But we've come this far, we can man up and make predictions for Luke and Nick, right?

Last year was undeniably Luke Scott's career year. Despite an ice-cold April in which he hit just .194/.280/.358, Luke surged over the final five months of the season. He led the Orioles in home runs, SLG% and OPS, and was just .002 behind the team leader (Markakis) in OBP. He also trailed only Nick in walks and doubles.

Can he repeat? Will he thrive playing LF this year? You can see that his increase in OBP is nearly entirely batting average, as his BB% only increased marginally from 2009 to 2010. His BABIP in 2010 was .304, over 20 points higher than his first two years in Baltimore. I'm not saying it was all luck, seeing as how is line drive % did increase from 17.1% in 2008 and 2009 to 18.8% in 2010, but whether he can repeat is anyone's guess.

Year Age Tm Lg G AB 2B HR SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG
2008 30 BAL AL 148 475 29 23 2 2 53 102 .257 .336 .472
2009 31 BAL AL 128 449 26 25 0 0 55 104 .258 .340 .488
2010 32 BAL AL 131 447 29 27 2 0 59 98 .284 .368 .535
6 Seasons 638 2034 135 103 10 5 259 465 .268 .354 .503

You can make your predictions below the jump, and see what others had to say about Luke right here. And if you have some time, give Felix Pie and Nolan Reimold some love; they've gotten hardly any responses.

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