Community Projections 2011: Brad Bergesen & Justin Duchscherer

by Stacey on Mar 3, 2011 6:30 PM EST in Fun & Games

These are the last two sets of projections for the starting rotation, so next week look for a summary post.

2011 will be Brad Bergesen's third season in the big leagues and he's certainly had his ups and downs. How will he do this year? Will he look like the Bergy of the last two months of 2010, or will he look like, as Will Carroll said, a fifth starter that makes you long for four man rotations? Here are his stats for the last three seasons:

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	ERA	G	IP	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2009	23	BAL	AL	3.43	19	123.1	11	32	65	1.281
2010	24	BAL	AL	4.98	30	170.0	26	51	81	1.435
2 Seasons				4.33	49	293.1	37	83	146	1.370

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	Lev	ERA	G	IP	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2008	22	Frederick	CARL	A+	2.08	4	17.1	2	6	15	1.212
2008	22	Bowie	EL	AA	3.22	24	148.0	11	27	72	1.149
2009	23	Norfolk	IL	AAA	2.45	2	11.0	0	3	9	0.818
2010	24	Norfolk	IL	AAA	4.30	3	14.2	2	3	10	1.364
7 Seasons					3.75	96	504.2	34	92	323	1.227

Justin Duchscherer is even more delicate a flower than Koji Uehara, so will he even make a start this season? He's already experienced hip discomfort in Spring Training although current reports are optimistic. Here are his stats for the last three years:

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	ERA	G	GS	IP	BB	SO	WHIP
2007	29	OAK	AL	4.96	17	0	16.1	8	13	1.592
2008	30	OAK	AL	2.54	22	22	141.2	34	95	0.995
2010	32	OAK	AL	2.89	5	5	28.0	12	18	1.357
8 Seasons				3.13	224	32	454.2	121	347	1.137

Submit your predictions for these two pitchers below the jump, and if you missed making predictions for any of the other presumptive starters, you can fill those out here: Chris Tillman, Jake Arrieta, Brian Matusz, Jeremy Guthrie. You can see what other people think of Bergy here and Duke here.