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Series Preview: Orioles @ White Sox

The Orioles take their act on the road for four games against the Chicago White Sox and three against the Kansas City Royals. The SBNation blog for the White Sox is South Side Sox, and in my opinion it's one of the better communities of the bunch. Or maybe I'm just charitable because when the Orioles and White Sox face off they always make a lot of Wire references.

The White Sox are having a rough go of things to start the season, having lost twelve of their last fifteen games. In that span their pitching has been pretty suspect outside of John Danks and Gavin Floyd. Also in their rotation is Philip Humber, who has had his troubles but just pitched seven shutout innings against the Yankees, Mark Beuhrle, who is off to a slow start, and Edwin Jackson, who just isn't a good pitcher.

The real problem for the the White Sox is their underachieving offense. Adam Dunn missed time with an appendicitis and hasn't really gotten going yet. Alex Rios, who looked to have revived his career in Chicago last season, has been terrible this year. Pretty much only Paul Konerko and Carlos Quentin have been pulling their weight. They've still scored more runs than the Orioles, though.

Star-divide

Game 1: Jake Arrieta vs. John Danks

Danks, a lefty, has had a fine season with little to show for it. In five starts he has a 3.27 ERA with a K/9 of 9 and a BB/9 of 2.7. The White Sox have lost every game he's started this year. Here are your current O's stats against Danks:

PA H 2B HR BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Vladimir Guerrero 21 4 1 2 0 3 .190 .190 .524 .714
Nick Markakis 21 8 1 1 0 4 .381 .381 .571 .952
Brian Roberts 21 7 1 0 2 2 .368 .429 .421 .850
Adam Jones 16 1 0 0 1 3 .067 .125 .067 .192
Luke Scott 15 4 0 1 1 2 .286 .333 .500 .833
Derrek Lee 11 3 1 0 1 2 .300 .364 .400 .764
Matt Wieters 9 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Cesar Izturis 7 1 1 0 1 0 .167 .286 .333 .619
Jake Fox 3 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .333 .000 .333
Felix Pie 3 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 127 28 5 4 7 19 .233 .276 .375 .651

It'll be a tough task for the O's batters tonight, especially if Buck Showalter again decides that Jake Fox should face the lefty.

Game 2: Chris Tillman vs. Philip Humber

I kind of forgot about Chris Tillman. He hasn't made a start since April 18th, as he was passed over after a rainout to rest his weary groin.

Humber has made four starts this season, two bad, one good, and one fantastic. The fantastic one came in his last start against the Yankees on April 25th. He pitched seven shutout innings and only gave up one hit. Humber is a AAAA kinda guy, bouncing back and forth between the majors and minors since 2006. He's made thirty-two big league appearances and just six have been starts. No Oriole has had more than three plate appearances against him. I guess he'll probably shut them out.

Game 3: Zach Britton vs. Gavin Floyd

Floyd, my favorite baseball playing Mount St. Joe alumnus, has gotten himself off to a pretty good start this season. His last start against the Yankees was particularly impressive. He struck out ten and walked just one in eight innings. This is his fourth full-time season in the majors, and while he doesn't blow anyone away with velocity or strikeouts, he does have good control and gets a lot of ground balls.

Current Orioles against Floyd:

PA H 2B HR BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Vladimir Guerrero 21 4 0 0 0 1 .190 .190 .190 .381
Brian Roberts 18 4 0 2 1 3 .235 .278 .588 .866
Nick Markakis 16 4 2 1 2 1 .286 .375 .643 1.018
Luke Scott 15 3 0 1 1 3 .214 .267 .429 .695
Adam Jones 11 2 0 1 3 1 .333 .636 .833 1.470
Cesar Izturis 10 2 1 0 0 0 .200 .200 .300 .500
Felix Pie 9 5 0 0 0 1 .556 .556 .556 1.111
Matt Wieters 9 1 0 0 1 3 .125 .222 .125 .347
Derrek Lee 6 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .333 .000 .333
Robert Andino 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 116 25 3 5 10 14 .240 .319 .413 .732

 

Game 4: Jeremy Guthrie vs. Mark Buehrle

I like Mark Buehrle for a lot of reasons. One is that he seems like a fun guy, but I also think that he gets overlooked as one of the better pitchers of the last decade. Another reason I like him is that he was drafted in the 38th round, made like thirty appearances in the minors, was called up like two years after he got drafted, and has just been good ever since. He never gets hurt, either. He has pitched at least 200 innings every season since 2001. He doesn't really even seem like he should be all that good. He gives up kind of a lot of hits and he doesn't strike many people out at all. His fastball is about 85 mph. How does he do it? He doesn't walk hardly anyone, for one thing, and he's another ground ball pitcher. He's just one of those magical lefties, I guess.

Orioles vs. Mark Buehrle:

PA H 2B HR BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Vladimir Guerrero 44 12 2 4 7 2 .324 .432 .703 1.135
Brian Roberts 42 13 2 1 1 4 .333 .350 .462 .812
Nick Markakis 26 10 3 1 3 2 .435 .500 .696 1.196
Derrek Lee 18 6 2 1 1 7 .375 .389 .688 1.076
Cesar Izturis 16 4 1 0 0 1 .250 .250 .313 .563
Adam Jones 10 2 0 0 1 2 .222 .300 .222 .522
Felix Pie 10 4 0 2 1 0 .500 .500 1.250 1.750
Matt Wieters 9 3 1 0 0 2 .375 .333 .500 .833
Jake Fox 6 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Luke Scott 6 1 0 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200 .533
Robert Andino 3 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 190 55 11 9 14 21 .324 .372 .547 .919

I think this will be a tough series for the O's, and given the offenses of both teams, I can see a lot of low scoring affairs that could go either way. My prediction is that they split 2-2.

Poll
How many games will the Orioles win in this series?
0
2 votes
1
5 votes
2
66 votes
3
56 votes
4
15 votes

144 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 17 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I agree with Stacey on the series split

I was surprised to see how high some our guys’ BAs are against Buehrle. Him vs. Guts will probably be a good game. I look forward to it.

"Girls laughed at me my whole life, doesn't mean I was funny"
-Gary Thorne

by scohen on Apr 29, 2011 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

lol
rest his weary groin

I am eating you, motherfucker. You cannot hurt me. - PhilR8

by O'sFan21 on Apr 29, 2011 1:03 PM EDT reply actions  

I like our chances to get a split.

I’d take that and be happy. Unless one of the two losses involves some kind of tragic lack of offense or yet another bullpen meltdown in a game we otherwise could have won, which would probably result in me being pissed off.

"What the hell is a Baltimore knot?" "I don't know, but it's never the same thing twice." - The Wire

by Eat More Esskay on Apr 29, 2011 1:05 PM EDT reply actions  

I too voted split

But I think a separate poll on your being happy or pissed off by that split would skew heavily toward pissed off. One of the two losses will include one of those two reasons, with odds on lack of offense.

Like a bad, suave dude. You know what I'm sayin'. COOL. SC 7/24/08

by 33 on Apr 29, 2011 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

btw

listened to CamdenCast 3 in the car this AM and dug it. Thanks for kicking it off right with the Star Trek ref

Like a bad, suave dude. You know what I'm sayin'. COOL. SC 7/24/08

by 33 on Apr 29, 2011 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think that's the first time I let my nerdiness loose on the podcast.

It’s unlikely to be the last.

"What the hell is a Baltimore knot?" "I don't know, but it's never the same thing twice." - The Wire

by Eat More Esskay on Apr 29, 2011 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Speaking of awesome The Wire references on South Side Sox...

An extended metaphor posing as a series preview:

http://www.southsidesox.com/2011/4/29/2134434/step-by-step-a-baltimore-orioles-preview

Derrek Lee as Freamon? We wish!

"What the hell is a Baltimore knot?" "I don't know, but it's never the same thing twice." - The Wire

by Eat More Esskay on Apr 29, 2011 2:37 PM EDT reply actions  

How is Buck Rawls?

He’s such a Daniels

"Girls laughed at me my whole life, doesn't mean I was funny"
-Gary Thorne

by scohen on Apr 29, 2011 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also if Luke's gonna be Herc

You gotta make Jones Carver

"Girls laughed at me my whole life, doesn't mean I was funny"
-Gary Thorne

by scohen on Apr 29, 2011 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jones is Carver in my preview

"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"

by U-God on Apr 29, 2011 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah I figured that was where you were going with how it was composed

I guess you just never came out and said it

I need transparency in all written word! BOOOO subtext

"Girls laughed at me my whole life, doesn't mean I was funny"
-Gary Thorne

by scohen on Apr 29, 2011 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

that preview is worth reading

If you look at those UZR ratings or whatever

by dfa on Apr 29, 2011 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

thank you

i was upset with myself for forgetting to link over here at first (edited it into the article).

"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"

by U-God on Apr 29, 2011 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was especially impressed with the youtube link ready for every comparison.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, everyone loves The Wire around here, except for the people who haven’t seen it.

"What the hell is a Baltimore knot?" "I don't know, but it's never the same thing twice." - The Wire

by Eat More Esskay on Apr 29, 2011 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

i've been doing the opponent previews for three years now

and always look forward to getting to go a bit crazy with the wire references. i’ve been planning this article since last august.

"Many people need desperately to receive this message: 'I feel and think much as you do, care about many of the things you care about, although most people do not care about them. You are not alone.'"

by U-God on Apr 29, 2011 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

I appreciate these references...

…I truly do. But it’s going to be a Herculean task for anyone not from Baltimore and not an Orioles fan to satisfy someone who is both. Mine would go more like this:

Luke Scott is Jimmy McNulty – He’s very good at what he does but constantly putting his foot in his mouth and fucking everything up for both himself and everyone around him. I could also see Luke as a bit of a womanizer as well.

Nick Markakis is Leander Sydnor – He’s quiet, not showy, yet highly competent.

Brian Roberts is Michael Lee – He’s a little guy who knows how to get the job done.

Derrek Lee as Lester Freamon is dead on I think.

Vladimir Guerrero is Omar Little – In Season 5. When he’s limping his ass around town with that goddamn broomstick for a crutch. Yet he’s still one of the most feared men around due to an illustrious career.

Adam Jones is undoubtedly Ellis Carver – hopefully he starts growing up this season though.

Robert Andino is Bodie – always striving, never really getting anywhere.

Mark Reynolds is Prez – Can this fucking guy do anything right?

Matt Wieters is not anyone I’ve seen on The Wire. – sorry but sometimes it just doesn’t fit.

Zach Britton is Marlo Stanfield – the young upstart, about to cut your balls off.

Jeremy Guthrie is Stringer Bell – cold, calculated, underrated, strictly business.

Jake Arrieta is Wee-Bey Brice – a straight out soldier for the organization.

Brian Matusz is a badass, but he’s not on The Wire.

Michael Gonzalez is Blind Butchie – because he couldn’t find the plate with two hands and a fucking map
.
Kevin Gregg is Stanislaus Valchek – mostly because he’s a prick.

Fan-dabby-dozy.....tastic.....

by Jonny Pops on Apr 29, 2011 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Speaking of the wire....

I just saw Sonja Sohn, the actress that plays Kima Greggs up in Cambridge. Just walked right by her and we smiled at each other. I guess she has been in town lately according to this.

by James (Lost in Boston) on Apr 29, 2011 3:05 PM EDT reply actions  

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