FanPost

Buy, Hold, or Sell. The Trade Deadline Edition 1: Jeremy Guthrie

This is the first edition of a series I am going to bring to Camden Chat. As a mostly intelligent blog, I would like to throw a market value out there for a player and have birdland decide whether or not we should Buy(re-sign), Hold(wait until the offseason and/or offer arbitration to get a draft pick), or sell at the deadline for market value.

 

Buy: Guthrie has been our ace and at age 32 optimistic birds fans have to believe that he is still capable of being an inning eater as a #2/#3 starter for a winning Orioles squad. Guthrie is currently making 5.75 Mil this year and is looking at an arbitration rise to about 7 million next year. If we were to extend him we could look at buying out his arbitration year and getting about a 4 year/34 million deal. Of course then we would have Guthrie through his age 36 season. Then again with no injury history he may not be the greatest risk signing into his mid 30's.

Hold: Next year is a more realistic year for the Orioles to be a winning baseball team and fringe playoff contender. The Orioles could keep Guthrie around to energize the fan base as the Orioles would chase .500 and maybe a wild card spot. If the Orioles keep Guthrie, he would continue to anchor a young staff for the rest of the season, and save our bullpen. However the longer the Orioles hold on to Guthrie, the more his value recedes. Holding onto Guthrie into the offseason would allow the Orioles fans to continue to generate excitement toward next season, but would also lose the Orioles some value in potential prospect bait, as many contenders always need workhorse frontline starters (Guthrie could be a legitimate #2 for some contenders.)

Sell: The Orioles young starters have not progressed quick enough for Guthrie to be an integral part of the next playoff Orioles team (when hell freezes over). Perhaps the prospects the Orioles would net for Guthrie (should be built around a top 75 or so prospect with a few other prospects). However, the lack of Guthrie's presence atop the rotation could have disastrous effects on the psyche of fans. Trading away the best pitcher and top innings eater could be catastrophic for the developing Orioles. However, trading our most valuable asset could help turn the Orioles into a playoff contender..... someday.

FanPosts are user-created content and do not necessarily reflect the views of the editors of Camden Chat or SB Nation. They might, though.

SB Nation Featured Video
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Camden Chat

You must be a member of Camden Chat to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Camden Chat. You should read them.

Join Camden Chat

You must be a member of Camden Chat to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Camden Chat. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker