My line: 360 AB, .256/.305/.380, 5 HR, 26 BB
The community line (my projection included):
AB AVG OBP SLG HR BB 340 .281 .335 .400 8 36
The other day, when I put the post up to get Conine projections, I said:
Now, my projection may make that seem a bit silly, since I clearly don't think Niner is going to contribute much. Our community projection is more or less calling for a slight dip but similar season to the one he had for Florida in 2005. My projection is lower, one of the two lowest we had, and I have my reasons for this.
1. Did you watch BJ Surhoff in 2005?
2. Did you watch BJ Surhoff in 2004?
Coming into 2005, I had no problem with Surhoff being on the team either. He was still a guy who could get himself on base and provided depth. I've done this before, when Jeff was brought back some weeks ago, but take a look at Surhoff's 2004 v. Conine's 2005:
Surhoff, 2004 (age 39) AB AVG OBP SLG HR BB/K 343 .309 .365 .420 8 30/46 Conine, 2005 (age 39) AB AVG OBP SLG HR BB/K 335 .304 .374 .403 3 38/58
Now, look at Surhoff's 2005:
Surhoff, 2005 (age 40) AB AVG OBP SLG HR BB/K 303 .257 .282 .356 5 11/32
This is troubling to me. Surhoff was an anchor when he played in '05, and I'm fearful that Conine is going to be the same way. In both guys' cases, they're good guys that have done some good things for us in the past, and we'll root for them because they deserve it. But I also found it hard to not boo Surhoff last year, because he deserved that, too, at least at the time.
Jeff Conine is a nice human being and known as a team leader. After Cal retired, Conine was the guy that the rest of the team basically unanimously said was the leader of the club, and that's something to have said about you. I do hope he does well, but hope is a dangerous thing, don't ya know?