clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Let's observe our community projections

New, 3 comments

We've got about two months or so left in the season, but I wanna talk about those community projections we did. This is just gonna be the stats we projected and what has actually happened, but let's take a look. (This is gonna get ugly.)

Bedard, Erik

             IP    ERA   WHIP    K    BB   HR
            167   3.70   1.31   147   55   13
            135   3.85   1.32   115   48   13

Benson, Kris

             IP    ERA   WHIP    K    BB   HR
            173   4.41   1.35    95   --   24
            133   4.71   1.39    62   46   21

Cabrera, Daniel

             IP    ERA    WHIP   K    BB   HR
            183   3.79   1.35   178   77   16
             92   4.95   1.69    97   76    7

Chen, Bruce

             IP    ERA    WHIP   K    BB   HR
            198   3.82   1.30   134   --   30
             84   6.80   1.74    63   28   24

Lopez, Rodrigo

             IP    ERA    WHIP   K    BB   HR
            193   3.97   1.29   126   --   23
            142   6.21   1.56    93   41   26

Ray, Chris

             IP    ERA   WHIP    K    SV
             73   3.34   1.28   76    30
             48   3.35   1.03   40    27

So as far as the pitchers go, we're looking good on Ray, Bedard and Benson. Here's a scary one, though:

Conine, Jeff

             AB   AVG   OBP   SLG   HR   BB
            340  .281  .335  .400    8   36
            339  .271  .332  .413    8   31

Like, whoa, man. Eerie! By the end of the season he'll have more ABs of course, but as far as projecting 340 at-bats of Conine goes, we were on point.

Gibbons, Jay

            AVG   OBP   SLG   HR   RBI   BB
           .277  .327  .515   27    88   39
           .287  .338  .505   11    33   16

Ramon, Razor

             AB   AVG   OBP   SLG   HR    BB/K
            418  .286  .333  .462   21   34/51
            373  .260  .326  .445   15   31/51

Lopez, Javy

             AB   AVG    OBP    SLG   HR  RBI  G-C  G-1B
            476  .288   .345   .492   23   84   32   26
            279  .265   .314   .412    8   31   21    0

Matos, Luis

             AB    AVG    OBP    SLG   HR   SB/CS    BB/K
            329   .272   .329   .405    6    14/6   20/52
            121   .207   .278   .331    2     7/0   10/21

Millar, Kevin

            AVG   OBP   SLG   HR    BB/K
           .275  .351  .434   14   52/75
           .234  .344  .364    8   39/49

Mora, Melvin

            AVG   OBP   SLG   HR  RBI   BB
           .301  .369  .489   25   89   60
           .284  .357  .406   12   60   40

Patterson, Corey

            AVG   OBP   SLG   HR   SB/CS    BB/K
           .261  .299  .432   18    19/6   34/119
           .280  .315  .415   10    36/7    16/70

Roberts, Brian

             AB    AVG    OBP    SLG   2B   HR   SB/CS    BB/K
            596   .297   .372   .423   44   10   28/10   75/78
            366   .290   .363   .399   27    3   28/4    45/45

Tejada, Miguel

            AVG   OBP   SLG   2B   HR   RBI
           .308  .355  .524   44   31   120
           .330  .382  .520   27   20    79

Overall, I don't think we've done too badly at all. The Roddy, Chen and Cabrera projections are embarrassing, but is that OUR fault? No, it's their fault. They're embarrassing. No one could have guessed Matos would be so useless.