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Baltimore Orioles Marcel Projections for 2010

By Stacey

The 2010 Marcel Projections have been released and I pulled out all the Orioles and have listed them below. Marcel projections are one of the more simple projections, based on the three year average of the player regressing to the mean and with age factored in. For more details or projections for non-Orioles, clicky clicky.

The projections for the rookies are going to look at little wonky since there isn't as much data on which to base their information, which is why they have a low reliability factor. I was going to figure in the triple slash numbers for the hitters but ran out of time. Perhaps I'll add them in later.

Enjoy.

Hitters

Last First Age reliability PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO wOBA
Tatum Craig 27 0.24 238 211 25 52 9 1 6 26 3 1 22 38 0.311
Andino Robert 26 0.54 314 285 41 71 13 1 6 28 4 3 25 65 0.298
Atkins Garrett 31 0.85 466 419 54 112 20 2 14 64 2 1 40 72 0.329
Aubrey Michael 28 0.36 252 228 29 61 12 1 8 30 3 1 21 37 0.333
Izturis Cesar 30 0.8 451 414 45 107 15 3 4 32 14 5 28 42 0.292
Roberts Brian 33 0.88 629 551 91 155 42 4 12 59 31 7 69 99 0.349
Turner Justin 26 0.08 211 186 26 49 9 1 5 25 3 1 21 36 0.33
Wigginton Ty 33 0.83 461 421 51 114 22 1 16 51 3 4 32 76 0.334
Jones Adam 25 0.8 511 466 73 129 22 5 15 63 10 4 34 97 0.335
Markakis Nick 27 0.88 625 552 86 164 39 2 18 86 10 4 64 97 0.366
Montanez Luis 29 0.43 257 234 29 59 13 1 6 27 2 2 18 45 0.307
Pie Felix 25 0.66 350 313 45 82 14 3 9 39 6 3 30 72 0.324
Reimold Nolan 27 0.63 406 356 49 99 19 2 14 46 8 2 43 73 0.356
Scott Luke 32 0.83 507 448 60 114 27 2 22 68 3 1 54 104 0.345
Wieters Matt 24 0.62 392 355 42 103 17 1 10 46 3 1 32 78 0.341

 

Look for the pitching projections below the jump

Pitchers

Name Age reliability IP W L SV H R ER ERA HR SO BB
Matt Albers 27 0.61 67 3 5 71 38 36 4.77 7 48 30
Brad Bergesen 25 0.58 122 7 6 122 56 51 3.87 12 78 37
Jason Berken 27 0.57 120 6 10 145 79 75 5.55 17 78 44
Alberto Castillo 35 0.25 34 2 1 35 17 16 4.37 4 26 13
Armando Gabino 27 0.04 44 2 2 47 26 24 4.91 6 34 18
Mike Gonzalez 32 0.54 66 4 4 9 57 30 25 3.61 7 66 28
Jeremy Guthrie 31 0.81 178 9 12 184 94 88 4.5 27 113 56
David Hernandez 25 0.53 109 5 8 117 61 59 5.04 21 80 44
Jim Johnson 27 0.57 67 3 4 4 65 30 29 3.96 6 47 25
Brian Matusz 23 0.33 82 6 4 85 43 40 4.39 10 68 28
Cla Meredith 27 0.61 65 3 3 70 33 30 4.29 6 45 22
Kameron Mickolio 26 0.17 33 2 2 32 16 15 4.09 3 27 13
Kevin Millwood 36 0.81 176 10 10 198 96 88 4.73 23 120 63
Troy Patton 25 0.05 48 3 3 46 24 22 4.03 5 39 18
Dennis Sarfate 29 0.47 46 2 2 43 26 24 4.6 5 42 25
Chris Tillman 22 0.42 93 4 6 97 51 48 4.69 15 67 33
Koji Uehara 35 0.43 93 4 5 99 49 45 4.35 11 68 28

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