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Three weeks ago, the Orioles were situated in the standings about where they are right now, and Vegas gave them 18/1 odds of winning the World Series. With little improvement in their standings in the intervening week, but time running out, their chances have dimmed. They now sit at 28/1.
This is the 12th-highest chance among MLB teams, with the Orioles having significantly better chances than the team immediately trailing them in the wild card chase (Indians 50/1). Just ahead of them is the New York Yankees, who have 25/1 odds of winning it all. New York improved from 40/1 three weeks ago.
No surprise the odds have slipped. It will be a struggle for the O's to make the playoffs at all, and even if they do make it, what happens then is anyone's guess. They are 14/1 to win the American League pennant, which is only the seventh-best chance.
The Los Angeles Dodgers remain the favorites to win the title, sitting at 13/4 odds. The Tigers are 2/1 favorites to be the AL representative in the World Series.
The full odds, including longshots:
Los Angeles Dodgers 13/4
Detroit Tigers 19/4
Atlanta Braves 13/2
Boston Red Sox 15/2
Texas Rangers 10/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 11/1
St. Louis Cardinals 11/1
Oakland Athletics 12/1
Cincinnati Reds 14/1
Tampa Bay Rays 14/1
New York Yankees 25/1
Baltimore Orioles 28/1
Cleveland Indians 50/1
Kansas City Royals 75/1
Washington Nationals 75/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 200/1
The oddsmakers at Bovada have stopped taking bets on the MVP and Cy Young races, believing that both races in both leagues are locked up, with Miguel Cabrera and Max Scherzer making it a Tigers sweep for the AL and Clayton Kershaw and Andrew McCutchen having the NL awards locked up.
If the Orioles don't start a major winning streak soon, their odds will go from long to nonexistent.