|Rank||Name||Projected WAR thru first six MLB seasons||Actual WAR thru first six MLB seasons|
Fans should recognize the likes of Fred Lewis, Endy Chavez, Gabe Gross, Reggie Willits, and Gregor Blanco. "None of these players were stars, or anything close, but they were all useful players," Mitchell points out. "Fourteen of the top twenty had big-league seasons with positive WAR, and six had seasons with more than 2 WAR. In the world of prospects, where nothing is guaranteed, these are pretty good odds."
Ultimately, Mitchell feels Rickard is a good pick by the Orioles even if his ceiling is a fourth outfielder or a low-end starter. He projects to be better than replacement level and was acquired for nothing. As shown above, KATOH agrees, and that's without knowing about Rickard's spring training.
Rickard's doing his best to prove Mitchell and KATOH right. Through Tuesday's game he had compiled 0.3 fWAR on the strength of a 152 wRC+ and 42 defensive innings in center. His BABIP of .391 is bound to regress to the mean, and he will return to left field when Adam Jones is back. But as Mitchell said, Rickard's control of the strike zone and speed make him an intriguing candidate to stick in the big leagues.
Orioles fans are rooting for that outcome.